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2008 State Polls

State	Obama	McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida	51	48
Nevada	55	43
Colorado	54	45
Minnesota	54	44
Missouri	49	50
North Dakota	45	53
Pennsylvania	55	44
Iowa	54	45
South Dakota	45	53
New Mexico	57	42
Georgia	47	52
Ohio	52	47
New Hampshire	54	45
Wisconsin	56	43
Virginia	53	47
Arkansas	39	59
North Carolina	50	49
Indiana	50	49
Blue States
California	61	37
Connecticut	61	38
Delaware	62	37
Hawaii	72	27
Illinois	62	37
Maine	58	40
Maryland	62	37
Massachusetts	62	36
Michigan	57	41
New Jersey	57	42
New York	63	36
Oregon	57	41
Rhode Island	63	35
Vermont	68	31
Washington	58	41
Wisconsin	56	43
Red States
Alabama	39	61
Arizona	45	54
Idaho	36	61
Kansas	42	57
Kentucky	41	58
Louisiana	40	59
Montana	47	50
Nebraska	42	57
Oklahoma	34	66
South Carolina	45	54
Tennessee	42	57
Texas	44	55
Utah	34	63
West Virginia	43	56

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Bill Richardson Talks Poll Numbers with the Media

8/27/07

Bill Richardson says he can win in the west. He continually harps on about the fact that if the Democrats had won New Mexico in 2004, they would have won the Whitehouse. He is also trying to campitalize on his familiarity in the West.

Here is how Bill Richardson's poll numbers stack up based on region and type of state (we averaged all of the state polls for a given month to see a trend). He has a clear advantage in Western states. (The inflated average he has in January is due to New Mexico being included that month).

For a candidate that is not at the top of the polls to highlight his strengths is always a good thing. But he may be good in the West because of name recognition and a stronger team on the ground so it could be a moot point.

State	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	June	July
Southern States	1.3	1.6	2.8	2.3	2.5	3.1	2.8	4.5
Western States	14.5	2.5	4.4	4.5	5.3	4.7	8.5	8.0
Red States	3.1	3.1	3.0	3.2	4.3	4.0	4.3	5.7
Blue States	1.7	1.6	3.0	2.7	4.6	5.4	7.0	1.9

Bill Richardson says his poll numbers are going up. He is gaining in the early states of Iowa and New Hampshire as well as everywhere else in the country. You can clearly see Bill Richardson is gaining every month in a lot of the key states. This has not sufficiently been reported by the media; that is why it becomes so essential that Bill Richardson does so.

State	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	June	July
Arizona	-	4.0	7.0	-	7.0	-	9.0	-
California	1.0	-	4.3	4.0	3.0	3.5	-	5.0
Colorado	-	-	2.0	-	-	-	8.0	-
Florida	1.0	2.0	3.0	2.0	3.5	3.5	4.0	5.5
Iowa	1.0	3.0	2.7	5.0	7.7	9.8	11.7	11.5
Nevada	-	-	4.5	5.0	6.0	7.0	-	11.0
New Hampshire	1.0	2.0	3.0	2.5	9.0	8.7	8.6	-

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