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2008 State Polls

State	Obama	McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida	51	48
Nevada	55	43
Colorado	54	45
Minnesota	54	44
Missouri	49	50
North Dakota	45	53
Pennsylvania	55	44
Iowa	54	45
South Dakota	45	53
New Mexico	57	42
Georgia	47	52
Ohio	52	47
New Hampshire	54	45
Wisconsin	56	43
Virginia	53	47
Arkansas	39	59
North Carolina	50	49
Indiana	50	49
Blue States
California	61	37
Connecticut	61	38
Delaware	62	37
Hawaii	72	27
Illinois	62	37
Maine	58	40
Maryland	62	37
Massachusetts	62	36
Michigan	57	41
New Jersey	57	42
New York	63	36
Oregon	57	41
Rhode Island	63	35
Vermont	68	31
Washington	58	41
Wisconsin	56	43
Red States
Alabama	39	61
Arizona	45	54
Idaho	36	61
Kansas	42	57
Kentucky	41	58
Louisiana	40	59
Montana	47	50
Nebraska	42	57
Oklahoma	34	66
South Carolina	45	54
Tennessee	42	57
Texas	44	55
Utah	34	63
West Virginia	43	56

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Ron Paul Surging in the Polls Among Moderates

10/8/07

There is more great news for the Ron Paul campaign, not just the money he raised in the third quarter but also that this is starting to translate into real life support. Among moderates in New Hampshire, Ron Paul is in the double digits. The sample size of moderates in this poll is only 203 but is as high as some of the University polls that are reported widely in the media.

John McCain	26%
Mitt Romney	17%
Rudy Giuliani	16%
Ron Paul	10%
Fred Thompson	5%
Mike Huckabee	4%
Unsure	21%
Source

In Michigan, out of a sample size of 307, Ron Paul is sitting at 8% among moderates.

John McCain	20%
Rudy Giuliani	16%
Ron Paul	8%
Mitt Romney	6%
Fred Thompson	5%
Mike Huckabee	5%
Sam Brownback	2%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	38%
Source

This is very promising news for Ron Paul because the moderates tend to be the most Undecided of all the voters. New Hampshire (21%), Michigan (39%) so as those voters learn of Ron Paul, more gains are expected. The other item to note is that Independents in New Hampshire are allowed to vote for Ron Paul in the primaries if they wish. Thus, Ron Paul will be gaining in the polls shortly.

Ron Paul's Fundraising Success Is Translating Into Surging Poll Numbers Among Moderates

Ron Paul is the only Republican candidate for President that is anti-war -- something that gets him favor among Liberals and Moderates. And according to the latest polls in Michigan and New Hampshire, he is polling at 8% and 10% respectively among moderates in those states.

Moderates tend to be highly Undecided at this stage of the election and USAElectionPolls.com believes that as soon as Paul's name recognition grows coupled with these voters settling on a candidate, Ron Paul should see more signs of improvement.

According to USAElectionPolls.com, leaving out Moderates that would vote in the Primaries happens far too often. "Some pollsters think that it is okay to leave off moderates because they do not fit in line with their label 'Likely Republican Voter' but it does a disservice to candidates that appeal to them like a Ron Paul. We have been making claims that Ron Paul is really higher in the polls since May 2007 and this is just one of those biases."

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