Election Polls
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2008 State Polls
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Texas Lyceum Poll Shows Ron Paul Has 0%August 15, 2007 This was sent to us from an editor at FreedomsPheonix.com What is your take on this? One of the commenter's (Chantal, Aug. 12) on your website pointed it out, and it looks like it is a scientific poll conducted in Texas (early May) of 303 GOP likely to vote: Texas Lyceum Poll Shows Ron Paul has 0% in Texas. I'm still studying it. Our Response I know about that poll but I didn't much care for it.. There were only 303 people polled (which is pathetic) so the margin of error is about 5%. Then they use a random digit dialing method.. Couple that with a small sample size and I don't think it works well for state polls. This is because different sections of the states vote differently and there is no guarantee that the voters are evenly distributed across the state in proper percentages. This just seems like a cheap poll so I did not bother to report it. And before you think that we are supporting Ron Paul or something, IVR Polls did a similar random digit dialing poll in Texas and found Ron Paul was at 6%.... We chose not to report that either... Interestingly enough, it was published one day prior... IVR Polls says Ron Paul is at 6% in Texas . So how can two polls reported on consecutive days show 1 candidate at 6% and the other show him at 0%... Pretty simple.. as was stated on IVRPolls.com... "Ron Paul's support was relatively strong in the areas around his congressional district and very weak elsewhere." So our contention is that the random digit dialing that the Texas Lyceum poll did was not very reflective of the entire state and somehow (intentionally or accidentally) excluded the area surrounding Ron Paul's district. There may have also been too much of an emphasis on Ron Paul's district in IVR Polls. We do not report many polls with only 300 sampled individuals but we do caution you that many of the college and university polls on our website are the cheap 300 sample polls. But we report those because college/university polls get so much love from the media despite not being very good at all. Who gets your vote in 2012?
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