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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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Mitt Romney Election Polls Stat Sheet

Date: Nov04-Aug05 | Sep05-Jun06 | Jul06-Apr07 | Latest Mitt Romney Polls

Last Updated: 8/16/08

State Averages by Month

State
Election Date
[min, max]
May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
California
2/5/08
[5, 31]
11.0 10.0 - 16.0 16.0 12.0 15.0 15.0 22.3
Texas
3/4/08
[6, 30]
- 12.0 6.0 15.0 - 14.0 12.0 14.0 20.5
New York
2/5/08
[3, 24]
7.0 4.5 7.0 - 5.5 7.0 8.0 6.0 15.3
Florida
1/29/08
[5, 34]
10.0 7.2 9.3 9.5 11.0 15.5 16.0 17.2 25.4
Illinois
2/5/08
[11, 34]
- - 11.0 - - - - 14.0 25.0
Pennsylvania
4/22/08
[3, 12]
9.0 6.0 6.0 7.3 7.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 7.0
Ohio
3/4/08
[7, 22]
11.0 7.5 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 11.0 7.0 22.0
Michigan
1/15/08
[6, 39]
24.0 - 15.0 19.3 39.0 14.0 25.0 21.0 26.6
Georgia
2/5/08
[6, 27]
- 6.0 - 14.0 6.0 6.0 - 10.0 19.6
New Jersey
2/5/08
[5, 31]
- 7.0 5.0 5.0 7.0 6.5 - 7.0 19.0
North Carolina
5/6/08
[6, 14]
14.0 6.0 - - 8.0 - 10.0 9.0 -
Virginia
2/12/08
[9, 9]
- - - - - 9.0 - - -
Massachusetts
2/5/08
[48, 57]
- - - - - - - - 52.5
Missouri
2/5/08
[11, 30]
- - - 11.0 - - 17.0 - 24.4
Tennessee
2/5/08
[7, 29]
- - - - - - - - 18.8
Washington
2/19/08
[11, 15]
- - - - - 11.0 15.0 - -
Arizona
2/5/08
[7, 34]
7.0 - 7.0 19.0 17.0 18.0 11.0 - 25.0
Maryland
2/12/08
[8, 10]
- - - 8.0 - 10.0 - - -
Minnesota
2/5/08
[5, 17]
- - - - 5.0 - - - 17.0
Wisconsin
2/19/08
[5, 11]
6.0 - 7.0 - 7.0 - 8.0 8.0 -
Alabama
2/5/08
[3, 21]
- - 5.0 3.0 7.0 7.0 5.0 - 15.1
Colorado
2/5/08
[8, 43]
- - 9.0 - 8.0 - - - 43.0
South Carolina
1/19/08
[4, 29]
10.0 9.5 5.7 10.0 17.5 20.5 19.6 17.9 15.5
Connecticut
2/5/08
[9, 31]
9.0 - - - - 9.0 13.0 - 23.3
Iowa
1/3/08
[16, 36]
19.7 24.5 24.0 30.6 25.8 27.2 27.0 25.1 24.3
Oklahoma
2/5/08
[8, 19]
- - - - - - - 9.0 14.7
Oregon
5/20/08
[10, 21]
- - - 15.0 - - - 10.0 21.0
Arkansas
2/5/08
[7, 7]
- - - - - - - 7.0 -
New Mexico
6/3/08
[20, 20]
- - - - - - - - 20.0
Nevada
1/19/08
[15, 51]
15.0 20.0 - 28.0 - 23.5 21.0 24.5 28.8
Utah
2/5/08
[65, 65]
- - - - - 65.0 - - -
Hawaii
-
[16, 16]
- - - - - - - - 16.0
Idaho
5/27/08
[38, 38]
- - 38.0 - - - - - -
Maine
2/1/08
[15, 15]
- - - - - 15.0 - - -
New Hampshire
1/8/08
[17, 37]
30.0 27.4 30.0 27.0 25.7 27.0 32.2 31.1 28.0
Delaware
2/5/08
[10, 10]
- - - - - 10.0 - - -

Miscellaneous Averages

State May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Southern States 10.6 7.4 7.1 9.3 11.1 15.7 16.1 15.9 20.8
Western States 11.0 12.5 8.0 19.8 12.3 25.7 17.8 18.2 24.9
Red States 12.2 10.8 10.8 14.6 11.8 16.7 17.8 18.9 20.7
Blue States 15.4 13.0 19.9 13.9 16.3 15.6 23.8 23.0 25.0
Feb 5th States 8.2 7.3 11.7 12.0 8.3 14.5 11.5 10.8 20.0
Midwestern States 16.5 18.8 15.0 23.0 19.6 21.3 24.2 22.9 25.3
Northeastern States 17.4 13.6 23.5 10.8 16.1 17.8 26.5 26.7 25.5

National Averages by Month

Clicking on the month will sort the list in ascending-descending order.

Pollster
[min, max]
May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
ABC News
[9, 24]
- 9.3 - - 9.0 11.0 - 17.0 21.5
American Research Group
[8, 21]
8.0 10.0 10.0 16.0 9.0 15.0 21.0 16.0 -
CNN
[9, 19]
10.7 10.0 - 11.0 10.5 13.0 11.0 16.0 16.5
Cook Political Report
[7, 13]
9.8 9.6 - 7.5 9.3 - 12.0 - -
Diageo
[8, 15]
8.0 - 8.0 15.0 - - - 13.0 15.0
Fox News
[7, 20]
10.5 10.3 10.3 12.0 8.0 9.0 8.0 11.0 20.0
Gallup
[6, 24]
8.5 7.5 8.5 9.0 7.3 9.5 13.0 13.0 17.2
Ipsos
[7, 16]
- 10.0 11.0 - 8.3 10.0 12.0 12.0 16.0
CBS News
[6, 16]
15.0 7.0 8.0 13.0 14.0 12.0 - 16.0 8.0
Los Angeles Times
[9, 14]
- 12.0 - - - 11.0 - 9.0 -
Marist
[13, 13]
- - - - - 13.0 - - -
McLaughlin
[7, 7]
7.0 - - - - - - - -
NBC
[11, 20]
- 14.0 11.0 - 11.0 - 11.0 20.0 17.0
Newsweek
[10, 21]
20.5 12.0 - 10.0 - - 12.0 - -
Pew Research
[9, 17]
- - 10.0 - 9.0 9.0 13.0 12.0 17.0
Quinnipiac
[10, 15]
- 10.0 - 15.0 - 14.0 - - -
Rasmussen Reports
[11, 16]
- - - - 14.0 - 13.5 13.5 -
USA Today
[6, 14]
- 10.3 8.5 8.7 8.0 9.5 14.0 13.0 10.0
Zogby
[9, 16]
- - 11.0 - - 14.0 9.0 16.0 13.0
Misc Pollsters
[10, 16]
- 12.0 - - - - - 16.0 -

 

Romney Ropes Straw Poll, But Is It Enough?

8-13-07

Mitt Romney, not even counting the early straw poll, has been the favorite Republican candidate in the sought after Iowa polls since May. His finances have been aimed at luring Iowa his way, like many presidential candidates, next he’ll set his sights on New Hampshire and South Carolina. He is said to be worth almost two hundred and fifty million dollars, which helped him to shell out more money for his straw poll campaign than any other candidate. Hillary Clinton recently joined him in launching her ad campaign in the state, something that was lonely to Romney. Tailing behind several other candidates – ones who elected not to participate in the early straw poll – hasn’t deterred him at all.

The candidates who did not participate in the straw poll simply did not have the assets or method of pulling together a campaign for the poll. Even though Romney won the early poll, the standings are the same as before with him behind Giuliani, Fred Thompson and John McCain. In hopes of keeping up with Romney, Giuliani will launch television campaigns in Iowa as well as New Hampshire and South Carolina. Lucky in his brushes with the media, Romney has not been burned much at all but this promises to change as the election barrels on. The early straw poll victory unfortunately will not make the campaign trail smoother to ride on because the leading candidates declined to join in. However, Romney and his staff did have reason to celebrate as the Iowa votes are highly coveted.

 

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