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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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Tommy Thompson Election Polls Stat Sheet

Date: Sep05-Jun06 | Jul06-Apr07 | Latest Tommy Thompson Polls

Last Updated: 8/16/08

State Averages by Month

State
Election Date
[min, max]
May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
California
2/5/08
[1, 1]
1.0 - - 1.0 - - - - -
Texas
3/4/08
[1, 1]
- - 1.0 - - - - - -
New York
2/5/08
[4, 4]
4.0 - - - - - - - -
Florida
1/29/08
[1, 2]
1.0 1.2 1.3 1.0 - - - - -
Illinois
2/5/08
[1, 1]
- - 1.0 - - - - - -
Pennsylvania
4/22/08
[1, 1]
- 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - -
Ohio
3/4/08
[1, 2]
2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - -
Michigan
1/15/08
[1, 4]
2.0 - 1.0 2.5 - - - - -
Georgia
2/5/08
[1, 1]
- 1.0 - - - - - - -
New Jersey
2/5/08
[1, 1]
- 1.0 1.0 - - - - - -
Missouri
2/5/08
[1, 1]
- - - 1.0 - - - - -
Wisconsin
2/19/08
[15, 16]
16.0 - 15.0 - - - - - -
Alabama
2/5/08
[1, 1]
- - 1.0 - - - - - -
South Carolina
1/19/08
[1, 4]
1.0 1.0 4.0 - - - - - -
Connecticut
2/5/08
[1, 1]
1.0 - - - - - - - -
Iowa
1/3/08
[2, 7]
4.3 3.3 2.7 - - - - - -
Oregon
5/20/08
[2, 2]
- - - 2.0 - - - - -
Nevada
1/19/08
[1, 1]
1.0 1.0 - - - - - - -
New Hampshire
1/8/08
[1, 1]
1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - - -

Miscellaneous Averages

State May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Southern States 1.0 1.1 2.2 1.0 - - - - -
Western States 1.0 1.0 - 1.0 - - - - -
Red States 2.1 2.0 1.6 1.3 - - - - -
Blue States 3.4 1.0 2.3 1.7 - - - - -
Feb 5th States 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - -
Midwestern States 5.1 2.5 3.7 2.0 - - - - -
Northeastern States 1.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - -

National Averages by Month

Clicking on the month will sort the list in ascending-descending order.

Pollster
[min, max]
May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
ABC News
[1, 1]
- 1.0 - - - - - - -
American Research Group
[1, 1]
1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - -
CNN
[1, 2]
1.7 1.0 - 1.0 - - - - -
Cook Political Report
[2, 4]
2.0 3.4 - 2.0 - - - - -
Diageo
[1, 1]
1.0 - - - - - - - -
Fox News
[1, 3]
2.0 2.3 1.0 - - - - - -
Gallup
[1, 2]
1.5 2.0 1.3 - - - - - -
Los Angeles Times
[2, 2]
- 2.0 - - - - - - -
NBC
[2, 2]
- - 2.0 - - - - - -
Newsweek
[1, 2]
- 2.0 - 1.0 - - - - -
Pew Research
[1, 1]
- - 1.0 - - - - - -
Quinnipiac
[1, 1]
- 1.0 - 1.0 - - - - -
USA Today
[1, 2]
- 1.5 1.3 1.5 - - - - -
Misc Pollsters
[2, 2]
- 2.0 - - - - - - -

 

Tommy Thompson Not On the Missouri Bellwether Curve

The former secretary of health and human services is a bit of an oddball candidate. Hoping for the republican nod for the nomination, Tommy Thompson is quoted by many a pundit, but it is actually hard to pin down exactly what his positions are on a variety of subjects. Perhaps because being overshadowed by his somewhat controversial statements about Jewish fiscal prowess and his seeming favoring of homosexual discrimination have put this candidate at odds with the tried and true Missouri bellwether reputation.

Of course, while it would be easy to simply discredit Mr. Thompson’s run for office, it is noteworthy that although the compilation of polling data on the USA Election Polls website shows him suffering along with single digits, the fact that he was able to rally support in his native Wisconsin to the tune of 22% in February and then 24% in April – when he announced his run – makes him a serious contender. None of the other single digit candidates can boast of overwhelming home state support when compared to Tommy Thompson and he knows it.

While it is impossible to predict the future of his run or the odds in an ever changing political climate, it is important to realize that he is not giving up. As a matter of fact, he is positioning himself firmly in the debates and will not permit his voice to be overshadowed by the more successful candidates. For all intents and purposes, he may become the black horse that some constituents are fervently hoping for!

 

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