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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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<< 2007, July 07   |  Calendar  |  2007, July 09 >>

July 8, 2007

Favorability Ratings by Newsweek Poll

Newsweek had favorability ratings for the following Democratic and Republican candidates from July 2-3. See what you think of the results.

Name Favorable Unfavorable Never heard of Unsure
Clinton 57 36 1 6
Obama 54 19 13 14
Richardson 22 14 45 19
Romney 25 24 34 17

Mike Huckabee in New Hampshire Supporting the Troops

Mike Huckabee and his band played at a Support the Troops rally in New Hampshire.

One thing that I have not liked about the Mike Huckabee campaign is that he has not taken a firm stand regarding the war in Iraq and what his plan is. He is not very vocal about it. With Giuliani and F. Thompson you know that America will be on the offensive. With Kucinich, Gravel, and Paul you know America will be getting the troops out. All of the other candidates have some kind of plan in the middle. I assume Huckabee is in the middle but what are the specifics?

Here is why his strategy is smart. The candidates in the middle do not say much about their plans. I have heard the plan of creating 3-states in Iraq to split up the factions. I have heard the bring in the UN troops to police the state. And I have heard the "involve Israel and Syria" approach. As a candidate, you are not going to mobilize anybody by giving your methodology. You can only mobilize people with rhetoric of "No more war" or "We must fight terrorism".

Traditionally, governors have the toughest time with foreign policy issues because they are skilled at managing a state. While the Senators and Congressman are busy voting on policy issues.

It was asked why we continue to mention Mike Huckabee as a "top candidate". Mike has plenty of things going well for him. After the last GOP debate, he was as high as 7% in Iowa. He has since dropped a little bit but that could just be because he went out of the national spotlight. A few more nationally televised debates and an electorate that becomes more interested in the election, his 7% could double. If it does, he is within striking distance of winning Iowa. This is all within realm of reason, just look at other candidates that have done it in Iowa. Particularly John Kerry and John Edwards in 2004 on the Democratic side.

The other thing he has going for him is the fact that he dominates his home state of Arkansas. The last poll in Arkansas by the American Research Group had him at 40%. Doing well in one's home state is a key factor that we use to determine credibility.

The last item is the fact that he is running an issues campaign and sets himself apart from the rest with respect to traditional christian values.

Ames Straw Poll Buzz

I have heard a lot of chatter on the Internet by Ron Paul supporters that August 11, 2007 was an important straw poll for them and that they were going to start a phone call drive to bump up Ron Paul.

According to McCain's campaign manager, "the Ames Straw Poll will not be a meaningful test of the leading candidates". Easy for him to say when neither he nor Giuliani are competing in the state.




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