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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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Poll of Polls - Results By State

Last Updated: 11/4/08

Our current method:

  • if one or more polls were conducted in the last 30 days, average them
  • 2 else, use the last poll ever conducted in the state

Note: this method is likely to change. 30 days is fine now but as we approach the election, it will seem like an eternity of a window to average.

State #EV Barack ObamaJohn McCain
California 55 52.534.5
Texas 34 44.054.0
New York 31 65.029.0
Florida 27 48.246.2
Illinois 21 60.035.0
Pennsylvania 21 51.842.7
Ohio 20 49.344.8
Michigan 17 53.638.4
Georgia 15 46.149.7
New Jersey 15 54.338.3
North Carolina 15 48.447.5
Virginia 13 50.644.8
Massachusetts 12 53.034.0
Indiana 11 46.447.4
Missouri 11 47.647.8
Tennessee 11 38.054.0
Washington 11 53.041.3
Arizona 10 45.850.0
Maryland2 10 54.039.0
Minnesota 10 54.540.5
Wisconsin 10 52.441.1
Alabama2 9 36.051.0
Colorado 9 50.944.2
Louisiana 9 41.057.0
Kentucky 8 43.052.7
South Carolina 8 43.052.5
Connecticut2 7 56.031.0
Iowa 7 53.038.0
Oklahoma2 7 35.059.0
Oregon 7 55.542.0
Arkansas 6 43.052.3
Kansas 6 41.053.0
Mississippi 6 45.053.0
Nebraska2 5 37.056.0
New Mexico 5 55.043.0
Nevada 5 50.543.5
Utah 5 32.057.0
West Virginia 5 42.050.7
Hawaii2 4 63.032.0
Idaho2 4 29.068.0
Maine 4 56.043.0
New Hampshire 4 52.240.5
Rhode Island2 4 58.039.0
Alaska 3 41.056.5
Delaware2 3 56.041.0
South Dakota 3 42.551.5
Montana 3 45.648.4
North Dakota 3 46.047.0
Vermont2 3 56.038.0
Wyoming2 3 37.058.0
District of Columbia2 3 82.013.0

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