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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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Democrat Polls

AEA / Capital Survey Research Center
Date: 1/29-2/1
Alabama
Added: 2/4/08
Est. MoE = 5.1% [?]

Hillary Clinton42%
Barack Obama40%
Unsure18%
Source


Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/31
Alabama
Added: 2/3/08
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Quote:

In Alabama, Clinton leads by eight among women and by two percentage points among men.

While Obama leads by a two-to-one margin among African-American voters in the state, Clinton still attracts 30% of this important segment of the electorate.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Clinton�s voters say they are �certain� they will vote for her. Five percent (5%) of her supporters say there�s a good chance they could change their mind while another 20% say they might change their mind.

For Obama, 82% are �certain� and just 2% say there�s a good chance they could change their mind. Another 16% of Obama�s voters say they might change their mind.

Clinton is viewed favorably by 82% of the state�s Likely Primary Voters, Obama by 70%. Obama is viewed favorably by 89% of African-American voters but just 51% of White Voters.

Eighty-four percent (84%) say that Clinton would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. That figure includes 52% who believe she would be Very Likely to win.

Seventy-two percent (72%) say Obama would be at least somewhat likely to win, including 41% who believe he would be Very Likely to win.

Hillary Clinton46%
Barack Obama41%
Unsure13%
Source


Survey USA
Date: 1/31
Alabama
Added: 2/2/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Quote:

Northern AL votes for Hillary Clinton. Southern AL votes for Barack Obama. Older voters back Clinton. Younger voters back Obama. White voters back Clinton. Black voters back Obama. Moderates back Clinton. Liberals back Obama. Pro-choice voters back Clinton. Pro-life voters back Obama. Registered Democrats back Clinton. Independents back Obama. Regular church goers back Obama. Less-regular church goers back Clinton. When all the sub-groups are totaled, today, 4 days to Super Tuesday, it's Clinton 47%, Obama 47%, a fierce fight that could go either way on Tuesday.
Hillary Clinton47%
Barack Obama47%
Unsure2%
Other5%
Source


Capital Survey Research Center/Alabama Education Association
Date: 1/23-24,28-29
Alabama
Added: 2/1/08
Est. MoE = 5.0% [?]

Barack Obama40%
Hillary Clinton35%
John Edwards9%
Unsure16%
Source


Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/23
Alabama
Added: 1/26/08
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Quote:

Clinton leads by nineteen points among women and just seven points among men. She trails among African-Americans by a two-to-one margin but leads 58% to 9% among white voters (Edwards picks up 24% of the white vote).

Among Likely Democratic Primary Voters, Clinton is viewed favorably by 76%, Edwards by 66%, and Obama by 62%.

Eighty-one percent (81%) believe that Clinton would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. That figure includes 48% who say that Clinton is Very Likely to win in November.

Sixty-one percent (61%) say Obama is at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Twenty-nine percent (29%) believe he would be Very Likely to win.

Eighty-nine percent (89%) of Alabama�s Likely Democratic Primary voters say that the economy is a Very Important voting issue. Eighty-six percent (86%) say the same about Health Care. Government ethics and corruption is Very Important to 72% while 65% say the same about Iraq.

Hillary Clinton43%
Barack Obama28%
John Edwards16%
Unsure13%
Source


University of South Alabama / Press Register
Date: 1/7-15
Alabama
Added: 1/22/08
Est. MoE = 4.3% [?]

Quote:

Edwards, with strong connections to the state's trial lawyer community, outraised his opponents in Alabama through Sept. 30, according to federal campaign disclosure reports. However, Alabama Democrats began putting more cash into the wallets of Clinton and Obama by the end of the year.

The results of the latest Press-Register/USA survey also suggest a split among white and black voters. Thirty-nine percent of white Democrats favored Clinton, while Obama and Edwards each received 13 percent. Thirty-five percent were undecided.

Obama led among black Democrats, with 49 percent to Clinton's 18 percent. One percent chose Edwards.

Thirty-two percent of black voters were undecided.

David Lanoue, a political science professor at the University of Alabama, said those numbers reflect national trends, which suggest that Obama's name recognition has gradually improved his prospects among black voters.

"(Hillary Clinton) had superior name recognition, and there was the strong support (former President) Clinton had among the African-American community," Lanoue said. "But as Obama became better known, and it was increasingly clear he was a strong and viable candidate, I think his appeal among African-Americans has grown."

Hillary Clinton31%
Barack Obama28%
John Edwards8%
Unsure33%
Source


Republican Polls

AEA / Capital Survey Research Center
Date: 1/29-2/1
Alabama
Est. MoE = 5.0% [?]

John McCain42%
Mike Huckabee28%
Mitt Romney13%
Ron Paul4%
Unsure11%
Source


Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/31
Alabama
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Quote:

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of the state�s Likely Republican Primary Voters name the economy as the top voting issue at this time. Seventeen percent (17%) think immigration is the highest priority while 15% say it�s the War in Iraq and 12% name National Security.

McCain leads among those who see the economy as the top issue and among those who name the War in Iraq as the highest priority. McCain, Huckabee, and Romney evenly divide those who name immigration as the most important issue.

Among Evangelical Christian s, Huckabee leads with 43% support. McCain earns the vote from 33% of Evangelicals while Romney gets 15%.

Among other Protestants, McCain is at 45%, Romney 23%, and Huckabee 22%.

McCain is viewed favorably by 72% of the Likely Republican Primary Voters, Huckabee by 70%, and Romney by 59%.

Eighty-one percent (81%) believe McCain would be at least somewhat likely to win in November if nominated. Just 56% say the same about Romney and 51% believe Huckabee would have a chance.

John McCain38%
Mike Huckabee30%
Mitt Romney20%
Ron Paul5%
Source


Insider Advantage / Majority Opinion Research
Date: 1/31
Alabama
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Quote:

Among 18-29 year olds: Huckabee 38%, McCain 30%, Romney 14%, Paul 7%, Other/Undecided 12%.

Among 65+: McCain 44%, Huckabee 26%, Romney 18%, Paul 2%, Other/Undecided 10%.

John McCain37%
Mike Huckabee35%
Mitt Romney14%
Ron Paul5%
Unsure8%
Other1%
Source


Survey USA
Date: 1/31
Alabama
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Quote:

Among Conservatives, Huckabee and McCain tie. Among those who attend church regularly, Huckabee and McCain tie. But when all likely Republican Primary voters are examined, McCain finishes at 40%, Huckabee at 31%, Mitt Romney at 21%. McCain's 23-point lead among Moderates provides his margin of victory.
John McCain40%
Mike Huckabee31%
Mitt Romney21%
Ron Paul5%
Unsure2%
Other1%
Source


Capital Survey Research Center/Alabama Education Association
Date: 1/23-24,28-29
Alabama
Est. MoE = 4.5% [?]

John McCain29%
Mike Huckabee24%
Mitt Romney15%
Rudy Giuliani9%
Ron Paul4%
Unsure21%
Source


Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/23
Alabama
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Quote:

John McCain and Mike Huckabee are tied for the lead in Alabama�s Republican Presidential Primary. McCain and Huckabee each attract 27% support while Mitt Romney is a distant third at 15%. Rudy Giuliani is the choice for 8% while Ron Paul is supported by 3% and 20% are not sure.

Huckabee currently attracts support from 37% of Evangelical Christians likely to participate in the Primary while McCain leads among other Protestant voters with 32%.

Just 40% of the state�s Likely Primary Voters are certain they won�t change their mind before the February 5 Primary.

McCain is viewed favorably by 75%, Huckabee by 71%, Giuliani by 64%, Romney by 60% and Paul by 23%.

John McCain is seen as the most electable candidate. Seventy-six percent (76%) believe that McCain would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. Just 59% of the state�s Primary Voters are that confident about Huckabee, 56% say the same about Giuliani, and 56% hold that view of Romney. Just 12% think Paul would have a chance of winning in November if nominated.

John McCain27%
Mike Huckabee27%
Mitt Romney15%
Rudy Giuliani8%
Ron Paul3%
Unsure20%
Source


University of South Alabama / Press Register
Date: 1/7-10
Alabama
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Quote:

"It's a little unusual in that we're fairly close to the election to have almost 30 percent undecided," said Keith Nicholls, the poll's director and a political scientist at the University of South Alabama.

Nicholls said the large undecided vote may stem from the long list of GOP candidates and people having difficulty deciding which way to go.

Mike Huckabee25%
John McCain22%
Fred Thompson9%
Mitt Romney8%
Rudy Giuliani5%
Ron Paul3%
Unsure29%
Source


This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Alabama polls.


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