2008 State Polls

Democrat Polls

CBS News/New York Times Poll
Date: 1/9-12
Added: 1/14/08
Est. MoE = 4.3% [?]

Quote:

Clinton�s win in New Hampshire was due in part to strong support from women, while men in New Hampshire chose Obama. However, nationally, Clinton not only has a sizable lead among women, by 43 percent to Obama�s 27 percent, but she also maintains a 11 point lead over Obama among men.

However, Obama has gained ground among voters under age 45 and black voters. With black voters, Obama is now the clear choice, leading Clinton 49 percent to 34 percent. In a CBS News Poll conducted last August, the two candidates ran about even among blacks. Obama leads Clinton among both black men and black women.

Although Clinton now outruns Obama among voters under age 45 by eight points, her lead is shrinking. In December, she led among this group by 20 points. She leads Obama by 20 points among voters age 45 and older, and has increased her lead since last month.

Partisanship also plays a factor in the race. Those who identify themselves as Democrats favor Clinton by a wide margin, while independents who intend to vote in a Democratic primary are more closely divided.

There is also still room for movement in the Democratic race. Fifty-seven of Democratic primary voters say their minds are made up, but 43 percent say it�s too soon to say for sure. Neither of the top two candidates enjoys firm support - 39 percent of Clinton�s voters say their minds could change, as do 43 percent of Obama�s.

Republican Polls

CBS News/New York Times Poll
Date: 1/9-12
Est. MoE = 5.5% [?]

Quote:

In the Republican race, many observers have wondered whether conservatives in the party (who make up the majority of primary voters) would embrace McCain, but in this poll he now leads among self-described conservatives with 31 percent to Huckabee's 17 percent. Among moderates, McCain leads by a similar margin.

McCain�s jump in the poll can also be seen in a change in attitudes by Republican primary voters as to who is the most electable in the November general election. In the current poll, 41 percent of Republicans now view McCain as the most electable candidate. Last month, Giuliani led the field in this benchmark with 43 percent, but this month that dropped to 12 percent.

Forty-one percent of Republican primary voters call the Iowa and New Hampshire results important in their own decisions - though few, just six percent, call them �very� important.

However, there are many indications this race is far from settled: 72 percent say they could still change their minds and fewer than half, (43 percent) �strongly� support their candidates. Only 20 percent of Republicans say they like their candidate �a lot better� than the other choices.

Nevertheless, Republican primary voters showed more satisfaction with their nomination choices than they had in previous surveys. Fifty-nine percent say they are satisfied with the choices, compared to 48 percent who said that in October, and just 36 percent in July.

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 CBS News National Polls polls.

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