Democrat Polls
CBS News/New York Times Poll
Date: 8/29-31
Added: 9/2/08
Quote: Obama led McCain by three points in a CBS News/New York Times survey released on August 20th, just before the political conventions, and led by 8 points in CBS News polling just after the Democratic National Convention. A CBS News survey conducted last week found the two candidates tied. Though Obama supporters had been much more enthusiastic about their candidate than McCain supporters prior to the conventions, the enthusiasm gap has narrowed considerably. Forty-two percent of McCain's backers now say they are enthusiastic about their candidate, up from 24 percent before the conventions. Fifty-three percent of Obama supporters say the same of their candidate, up slightly from the pre-convention survey. Roughly 80 percent of both candidates' backers say their minds are made up. Registered voters have responded positively to the convention address given by McCain running mate Sarah Palin, who was added to the Republican ticket just more than a week ago. Nearly half say the have a better opinion of the Alaska governor as a result of the speech; just 16 percent say the speech gave them a worse impression of her. Thirty-eight percent say they have a favorable view of Obama, compared 34 percent unfavorable and 27 percent undecided. For McCain, it's 37 percent favorable, 36 percent unfavorable and 27 percent undecided. McCain maintains his large advantage on the likelihood of being an effective commander-in-chief - 46 percent of voters say it is "very likely" McCain would be an effective commander-in-chief, compared to 24 percent who say that about Obama. But McCain still has one big deficit to make up -- just 44 percent of voters say he understands their needs and problems, compared with 60 percent who say that about Obama. In the poll, Obama continues to have a lead with women voters, 43 percent to 38 percent, while McCain has the edge with men, 46 percent to 41 percent. As has been standard in this campaign, voters under age 45 are backing Obama, while older voters are supporting McCain. McCain wins the support of married voters and Obama has the backing of voters who are not married. It should be noted, though, that most married voters are older while those who are not married tend to be younger. Independents in this poll are divided. In the poll conducted over the weekend, Obama had a six-point advantage with this group, but now the lead is three points, 39 percent to 36 percent. Obama wins the support of independent voters in this poll; before the convention, McCain had a 12 point advantage with this group. Obama�s lead among women has also grown, to 14 points from 8 points before the convention. And Obama maintained the lead he had before the convention among those voters who supported Senator Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primaries. Support from each candidate�s partisan identifiers remains unchanged; 82% of Democrats favor Obama, 81% of Republicans favor McCain.
CBS News/New York Times Poll
Date: 8/15-19
Added: 8/21/08
Quote: Obama led McCain by three points in a CBS News/New York Times survey released on August 20th, just before the political conventions, and led by 8 points in CBS News polling just after the Democratic National Convention. A CBS News survey conducted last week found the two candidates tied. Though Obama supporters had been much more enthusiastic about their candidate than McCain supporters prior to the conventions, the enthusiasm gap has narrowed considerably. Forty-two percent of McCain's backers now say they are enthusiastic about their candidate, up from 24 percent before the conventions. Fifty-three percent of Obama supporters say the same of their candidate, up slightly from the pre-convention survey. Roughly 80 percent of both candidates' backers say their minds are made up. Registered voters have responded positively to the convention address given by McCain running mate Sarah Palin, who was added to the Republican ticket just more than a week ago. Nearly half say the have a better opinion of the Alaska governor as a result of the speech; just 16 percent say the speech gave them a worse impression of her. Thirty-eight percent say they have a favorable view of Obama, compared 34 percent unfavorable and 27 percent undecided. For McCain, it's 37 percent favorable, 36 percent unfavorable and 27 percent undecided. McCain maintains his large advantage on the likelihood of being an effective commander-in-chief - 46 percent of voters say it is "very likely" McCain would be an effective commander-in-chief, compared to 24 percent who say that about Obama. But McCain still has one big deficit to make up -- just 44 percent of voters say he understands their needs and problems, compared with 60 percent who say that about Obama. In the poll, Obama continues to have a lead with women voters, 43 percent to 38 percent, while McCain has the edge with men, 46 percent to 41 percent. As has been standard in this campaign, voters under age 45 are backing Obama, while older voters are supporting McCain. McCain wins the support of married voters and Obama has the backing of voters who are not married. It should be noted, though, that most married voters are older while those who are not married tend to be younger. Independents in this poll are divided. In the poll conducted over the weekend, Obama had a six-point advantage with this group, but now the lead is three points, 39 percent to 36 percent. Obama wins the support of independent voters in this poll; before the convention, McCain had a 12 point advantage with this group. Obama�s lead among women has also grown, to 14 points from 8 points before the convention. And Obama maintained the lead he had before the convention among those voters who supported Senator Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primaries. Support from each candidate�s partisan identifiers remains unchanged; 82% of Democrats favor Obama, 81% of Republicans favor McCain. There is only a small undercurrent of negative voting, mostly from McCain supporters. As has been the case all summer, Obama�s supporters are much more enthusiastic. In this poll, twice as many Obama voters as McCain voters are enthusiastic about their choice. About one in four McCain supporters admit they are voting for him only because he is the Republican nominee or that their vote is a vote AGAINST Obama. That�s twice the percentage of Obama supporters who give either of those reasons for their support of him. While Obama continues to hold a lead among women overall, he has lost the edge he held recently among men. McCain now leads slightly among men overall, and this is driven by a surge of support over the last month among white men. 54% of white men now support McCain, up from 45% at the beginning of the month. McCain is again leading among working class whites � those making under $50,000 a year with less than a college education. While earlier this month he was leading among less educated whites, he is now leading among lower income whites as well.
CBS News
Date: 7/31-8/5
Added: 8/7/08
Quote: Obama led McCain by three points in a CBS News/New York Times survey released on August 20th, just before the political conventions, and led by 8 points in CBS News polling just after the Democratic National Convention. A CBS News survey conducted last week found the two candidates tied. Though Obama supporters had been much more enthusiastic about their candidate than McCain supporters prior to the conventions, the enthusiasm gap has narrowed considerably. Forty-two percent of McCain's backers now say they are enthusiastic about their candidate, up from 24 percent before the conventions. Fifty-three percent of Obama supporters say the same of their candidate, up slightly from the pre-convention survey. Roughly 80 percent of both candidates' backers say their minds are made up. Registered voters have responded positively to the convention address given by McCain running mate Sarah Palin, who was added to the Republican ticket just more than a week ago. Nearly half say the have a better opinion of the Alaska governor as a result of the speech; just 16 percent say the speech gave them a worse impression of her. Thirty-eight percent say they have a favorable view of Obama, compared 34 percent unfavorable and 27 percent undecided. For McCain, it's 37 percent favorable, 36 percent unfavorable and 27 percent undecided. McCain maintains his large advantage on the likelihood of being an effective commander-in-chief - 46 percent of voters say it is "very likely" McCain would be an effective commander-in-chief, compared to 24 percent who say that about Obama. But McCain still has one big deficit to make up -- just 44 percent of voters say he understands their needs and problems, compared with 60 percent who say that about Obama. In the poll, Obama continues to have a lead with women voters, 43 percent to 38 percent, while McCain has the edge with men, 46 percent to 41 percent. As has been standard in this campaign, voters under age 45 are backing Obama, while older voters are supporting McCain. McCain wins the support of married voters and Obama has the backing of voters who are not married. It should be noted, though, that most married voters are older while those who are not married tend to be younger. Independents in this poll are divided. In the poll conducted over the weekend, Obama had a six-point advantage with this group, but now the lead is three points, 39 percent to 36 percent. Obama wins the support of independent voters in this poll; before the convention, McCain had a 12 point advantage with this group. Obama�s lead among women has also grown, to 14 points from 8 points before the convention. And Obama maintained the lead he had before the convention among those voters who supported Senator Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primaries. Support from each candidate�s partisan identifiers remains unchanged; 82% of Democrats favor Obama, 81% of Republicans favor McCain. There is only a small undercurrent of negative voting, mostly from McCain supporters. As has been the case all summer, Obama�s supporters are much more enthusiastic. In this poll, twice as many Obama voters as McCain voters are enthusiastic about their choice. About one in four McCain supporters admit they are voting for him only because he is the Republican nominee or that their vote is a vote AGAINST Obama. That�s twice the percentage of Obama supporters who give either of those reasons for their support of him. While Obama continues to hold a lead among women overall, he has lost the edge he held recently among men. McCain now leads slightly among men overall, and this is driven by a surge of support over the last month among white men. 54% of white men now support McCain, up from 45% at the beginning of the month. McCain is again leading among working class whites � those making under $50,000 a year with less than a college education. While earlier this month he was leading among less educated whites, he is now leading among lower income whites as well. Voters� attention to the campaign is about as high today as it was in October 2004, less than a month before that election. But things are much more fluid now. 13% of voters today remain undecided; and even though most voters who support each candidate say their minds are made up, 27% of Obama voters and 31% McCain voters say they could still change their minds. 54% of Obama voters say they like their candidate �a great deal� better than McCain, compared to 48% of McCain supporters who like him �a great deal� better than Obama. 22% of those currently supporting McCain see him as only �a little� better than the Illinois Senator.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 CBS News National Polls polls.
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