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2008 State Polls
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Democrat Polls
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Date: 1/14-17
Added: 1/19/08
Est. MoE = 5.0% [?]
Quote: "There's been a huge shift among African-American Democrats from Clinton to Obama. African-American Democrats used to be reluctant to support Obama because they didn't think a black man could be elected. Then Obama won Iowa and nearly won New Hampshire. Now they believe," said Bill Schneider, CNN senior political analyst. "Obama's lead over Clinton among black men is more than 50 points, and among black women, once a Clinton stronghold, Obama has an 11 point advantage," said CNN polling director Keating Holland. It also appears the recent bickering between Clinton and Obama and their campaigns over race has hurt both candidates. Clinton has the support of 42 percent of all registered Democrats in the new survey, down seven points from last week's CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll. Obama has the backing of 33 percent of those questioned, down three percentage points in a week. The beneficiary appears to be former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina, who jumped 5 points, to 17 percent. "Why have Clinton and Obama both lost support over the past week? One word: squabbling. If two candidates get into a fight, the third candidate usually gains. Sure enough, John Edwards gained," Schneider said.
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Date: 1/9-10/08
Added: 1/11/08
Est. MoE = 4.7% [?]
Quote: "Clinton is also seen by Democrats nationwide as more likely to have a clear plan for the economy, Iraq and health care. A potential Clinton victory also generates more enthusiasm among Democrats than the prospects of Obama winning the party's nod," Holland said. There's also another front-runner, and that's the economy. Thirty-five percent of registered voters polled said the economy is the most important issue when it comes to their vote for president. That's up 6 points from December. Sixty-one percent of those questioned said the economy is in a recession, up 4 points from December and up 15 points since October.
Republican Polls
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Date: 1/14-17
Est. MoE = 4.6% [?]
Quote: "There was a Michigan bounce," Schneider said. "But McCain still leads. Conservatives, however, are divided between McCain at 26 percent, Huckabee at 24 percent and Romney at 20 percent. Saturday's South Carolina GOP primary should tell us if there's going to be a conservative favorite in this race." About half the interviews for the new poll were taken before the Michigan primary results were known. The poll indicates Huckabee may be hurt by perceptions about his leadership abilities. "Nearly half of registered Republicans say he does not have the leadership skills and vision a president should have. Romney and McCain score much better on this measure," Holland said. Rudy Giuliani is at 14 percent in the new survey. That's a drop of four points from last week's poll for the former New York mayor. "Giuliani's support is half of what it was in November, when he last led in the national polls. Giuliani has a problem on issues. Forty-five percent of registered Republicans say they disagree with him on issues that matter to them. McCain ranks highest among registered Republicans on both measures," Holland said.
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Date: 1/9-10/08
Est. MoE = 4.7% [?]
Quote: "Only McCain gained support among Republicans nationally. McCain's now the clear Republican front-runner," said Bill Schneider, CNN senior political analyst. "Giuliani has lost the 'inevitability factor.' Back in October, half of all Republicans nationwide said that he was most likely to win the nomination. Now that is down to 15 percent. McCain is now seen as the most likely GOP nominee -- 45 percent feel that way about him, up from 13 percent in October," said CNN polling director Keating Holland.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 CNN National Polls polls.
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