Democrat Polls
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Date: 6/26-29
Added: 7/2/08
Quote: . The poll suggests that few of the McCain campaign's criticisms of Obama's trip have stuck, especially charges Obama was presumptuously acting as if he had already won the election and claims that he nixed a visit with injured troops because members of the media could not accompany him. Instead, more than two-thirds of voters surveyed said the trip was appropriate for a presidential candidate, and 72 percent said they think Obama cares about veterans and the troops in Iraq. A third of voters polled said they believe that Obama is arrogant, about the same number who said that of McCain. That result comes the same day the McCain campaign released a hard-hitting ad that declares Obama is the "biggest celebrity in the world." "There is some danger for McCain in making these charges. Forty percent say he is attacking Obama unfairly, while only 22 percent say Obama is unfairly attacking McCain," Holland said. "Nonetheless, both men have very high favorable ratings." McCain falls behind Obama in every single economic and domestic issue tested by the poll, especially when it comes to jobs and health care. Obama polls ahead in both those categories by double-digit margins. McCain, who has pledged to extend President Bush's tax cuts despite his initial opposition to them in the Senate, trails Obama in that category by 6 points. The Arizona senator also polls lower on the issue of high gas prices, a problem McCain has repeatedly said he's better able to alleviate than Obama. "Every standard telephone poll taken in June has shown Obama ahead of McCain, with nearly all of them showing Obama's margin somewhere between three and six points," Holland said. "In most of them, that margin is not enough to give him a lead in a statistical sense, but it appears that June has been a good month for Obama." But the new CNN/ORC polls shows the race gets even tighter when the two most prominent third-party presidential candidates are considered. In a four way match-up that includes independent candidate Ralph Nader and Libertarian candidate Bob Barr, Obama's lead over McCain dwindles to 3 percentage points, 46 percent to 43 percent. (Nader registers 6 percent while Barr gets 3 percent.) But it remains unclear just how much effect Nader and Barr will have on the election, as summertime surveys often overstate the eventual Election Day showing of third-party candidates. "A useful rule of thumb is that third-party candidates in November get no more than half the support polls show them having in June or July," Holland said. Meanwhile, one day after the Illinois senator sharply defended his devotion to America during a high-profile speech in the crucial swing state of Missouri, the new survey shows some voters continue to have lingering questions about his patriotism. One quarter of all registered voters say Obama lacks patriotism, according to the poll. That breaks down to 10 percent of Democrats, 29 percent of Independents, and 40 percent of Republicans who say Obama lacks patriotism. But it's likely the issue will not have a significant impact this fall. "Strategically speaking, the question is not how many people consider Obama unpatriotic � it's how many people consider Obama unpatriotic who would have voted for him otherwise," Holland said "Most of the respondents who think Obama is unpatriotic are Republicans. That indicates that Obama may not have lost a lot of votes � so far � on this matter."
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Date: 6/7/08
Added: 6/7/08
Quote: . The poll suggests that few of the McCain campaign's criticisms of Obama's trip have stuck, especially charges Obama was presumptuously acting as if he had already won the election and claims that he nixed a visit with injured troops because members of the media could not accompany him. Instead, more than two-thirds of voters surveyed said the trip was appropriate for a presidential candidate, and 72 percent said they think Obama cares about veterans and the troops in Iraq. A third of voters polled said they believe that Obama is arrogant, about the same number who said that of McCain. That result comes the same day the McCain campaign released a hard-hitting ad that declares Obama is the "biggest celebrity in the world." "There is some danger for McCain in making these charges. Forty percent say he is attacking Obama unfairly, while only 22 percent say Obama is unfairly attacking McCain," Holland said. "Nonetheless, both men have very high favorable ratings." McCain falls behind Obama in every single economic and domestic issue tested by the poll, especially when it comes to jobs and health care. Obama polls ahead in both those categories by double-digit margins. McCain, who has pledged to extend President Bush's tax cuts despite his initial opposition to them in the Senate, trails Obama in that category by 6 points. The Arizona senator also polls lower on the issue of high gas prices, a problem McCain has repeatedly said he's better able to alleviate than Obama. "Every standard telephone poll taken in June has shown Obama ahead of McCain, with nearly all of them showing Obama's margin somewhere between three and six points," Holland said. "In most of them, that margin is not enough to give him a lead in a statistical sense, but it appears that June has been a good month for Obama." But the new CNN/ORC polls shows the race gets even tighter when the two most prominent third-party presidential candidates are considered. In a four way match-up that includes independent candidate Ralph Nader and Libertarian candidate Bob Barr, Obama's lead over McCain dwindles to 3 percentage points, 46 percent to 43 percent. (Nader registers 6 percent while Barr gets 3 percent.) But it remains unclear just how much effect Nader and Barr will have on the election, as summertime surveys often overstate the eventual Election Day showing of third-party candidates. "A useful rule of thumb is that third-party candidates in November get no more than half the support polls show them having in June or July," Holland said. Meanwhile, one day after the Illinois senator sharply defended his devotion to America during a high-profile speech in the crucial swing state of Missouri, the new survey shows some voters continue to have lingering questions about his patriotism. One quarter of all registered voters say Obama lacks patriotism, according to the poll. That breaks down to 10 percent of Democrats, 29 percent of Independents, and 40 percent of Republicans who say Obama lacks patriotism. But it's likely the issue will not have a significant impact this fall. "Strategically speaking, the question is not how many people consider Obama unpatriotic � it's how many people consider Obama unpatriotic who would have voted for him otherwise," Holland said "Most of the respondents who think Obama is unpatriotic are Republicans. That indicates that Obama may not have lost a lot of votes � so far � on this matter." .
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 CNN National Polls polls.
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