2008 State Polls

Democrat Polls

Denver Post poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Date: 1/21-23
Colorado
Added: 1/28/08
Est. MoE = 4.6% [?]

Quote:

The poll showed 51 percent of Democrats see change as more important than experience � and the ability to bring change is a trait they overwhelmingly associate with the Illinois senator.

The issues on voters' minds are familiar, with the economy, the war, health care, immigration and homeland security topping the list. But poll results show those issues play very differently depending on party affiliation.

The war is the biggest issue on the minds of Democrats, but it ranks relatively low with Republicans. Immigration is an important issue with Republicans but not Democrats. And the economy, while important to voters of both parties, tops the list as the most important issue in the campaign because it is the biggest issue on the minds of unaffiliated voters. That group � more than a third of Colorado voters � won't be participating in the caucuses, however.

Democrats in the state have been predicting a heavy turnout for their caucuses this year after a calendar change moved up their vote to a week when the race is still on. In 2004 and 2000, Colorado Democrats voted so late that John Kerry and Al Gore had long since whipped the field.

Republican Polls

Denver Post poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Date: 1/21-23
Colorado
Est. MoE = 4.9% [?]

Quote:

Colorado Republicans leaning toward former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney latch on to his successful businessman image and, like other Western voters, are more open to his Mormon roots, according to the voters and a poll analyst.

"He's put together, more than most of the candidates," said Leo Schmitz of Castle Rock. "Being a good businessman, maybe that's what we need with the economy the way it is."

But, like Clinton for the Democrats, Romney was perceived far more negatively than positively among all respondents, suggesting he'll have trouble appealing to a wider audience that includes Colorado's swing voters. He's too scripted and lacks warmth, many voters said.

"I'm the kind of person who gets gut feelings. His mannerisms, the way he talks, it just doesn't seem sincere," Shawn Schultz, a 52-year-old Qwest employee from Elizabeth, said of Romney.

Romney dominated the Nevada caucuses and has done well throughout the West, where Mormons are neighbors instead of a distant question mark, said Brad Coker of the polling firm Mason-Dixon. Coker's firm called 800 registered Colorado voters Jan. 21-23 and narrowed the responses down to those most likely to go to their party's caucuses.

The poll doesn't reflect the candidate preferences of independent voters, a key swing group on the rise in Colorado, and that's an important caveat in an election season featuring wide swerves in affinity.

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Colorado polls.

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