Democrat Polls
Mason Dixon for Denver Post
Date: 10/28-29
Colorado
Added: 11/2/08
Quote: Obama leads McCain 49 percent to 44 percent. Colorado unaffiliated voters, the critical voting bloc making up more than one-third of the state electorate, are backing Obama 57 percent to 32 percent. Four percent of those polled, however, were still undecided. In a Denver Post poll one month ago, the two candidates were tied, with 8 percent of voters undecided. Since then, Obama has increased his lead over McCain among men, women, independents and voters older than 35. Brad Coker, pollster for Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. who conducted the poll for The Post, said the number of undecideds in Colorado is smaller than in other battleground states. While those voters could have an impact, especially if they all throw their weight behind McCain, Obama has momentum. "Obama looks like he's in good shape. Even if all the undecideds break to McCain, Obama could likely still hang on," Coker said. McCain spokesman Tom Kise said in the final few days of a campaign, polls are "all over the board." "The only poll that is going to matter is the one on Election Day," he said. "In these last 96 hours . . . we are fully confident that we will turn our people out and Colorado will be a red state on Election Day."
American Research Group
Date: 10/28-30
Colorado
Added: 10/31/08
Marist College
Date: 10/27-28
Colorado
Added: 10/30/08
Quote: Early Voters Make the Difference in Colorado�Obama with 9 Percentage Point Lead Among Registered Voters�Has 6 Point Advantage Among Likely Voters: Just two months ago, Senator Barack Obama accepted his party�s nomination in the Centennial State, and today, Colorado voters give Barack Obama a lead in the contest against his Republican rival Senator John McCain for the state�s 9 electoral votes. Among registered voters in Colorado, Obama receives 52% to McCain�s 43%. The race tightens a bit among likely voters including early voters and those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. These voters favor Obama 51% to McCain�s 45%. Obama�s lead among this group is due largely to early voters. 44% of Colorado�s registered voters say they have already cast their ballots. Take them out of the equation, and Obama and McCain are tied -- 46% to 46% -- among likely voters. And, while support for the candidates divides along party lines, 58% of Independent likely voters say they are behind Barack Obama compared with 35% for McCain.
National Journal FD
Date: 10/23-27
Colorado
Added: 10/30/08
Quote: In Colorado, hard independents have moved dramatically toward Obama. September's poll found the two nominees essentially tied among them -- 39 percent favoring McCain and 38 percent supporting Obama. But now, 56 percent are backing Obama while only 34 percent say they plan to vote for McCain.
CNN TIME
Date: 10/23-28
Colorado
Added: 10/30/08
Associated Press GFK
Date: 10/22-26
Colorado
Added: 10/29/08
Insider Advantage for Politico
Date: 10/26
Colorado
Added: 10/28/08
Quote: Barack Obama is firmly ahead of John McCain in both Colorado and Pennsylvania, a new Politico/InsiderAdvantage poll shows. In the swing state of Colorado, Obama posts an 8-point lead over McCain, besting him 53 percent to 45 percent. He holds a similar advantage in Pennsylvania, where he tops McCain by 9 percentage points, 51 percent to 42 percent. McCain, however, is fighting Obama to a draw in two of those states' key battleground counties: Jefferson County, a suburb of Denver, and Bucks County, in suburban Philadelphia. In Jefferson, a onetime Republican stronghold that has become more competitive in recent years, McCain and Obama are statistically tied, with the Republican leading 47 percent to 45 percent. That two-point margin matches the result of an Oct. 12 Politico/InsiderAdvantage survey, which showed McCain edging Obama in Jefferson, 45 percent to 43 percent, though in this week's poll there are half as many undecided.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/26
Colorado
Added: 10/28/08
Quote: But Obama has not fallen below 50% all month while McCain has been stuck in the 45%-46% range. One percent (1%) of Colorado voters are for Independent candidate Ralph Nader, while two percent (2%) remain undecided. Eighty-eight percent (88%) of McCain voters are certain they will not change their mind before voting along with 91% of those for Obama. Among those who have already voted, 57% back Obama compared to 42% for McCain. The Republican has an 11-point lead among those who have not yet voted.
Public Opinion Strategies Rocky Mountain News
Date: 10/21-23
Colorado
Added: 10/25/08
Quote: "Clearly, the beginning of October is not a happy time in American history, and voters are sort of internalizing the financial crisis," said pollster Lori Weigel. Since early August, when Colorado independents were almost evenly split between the two presidential candidates, Obama has opened up a more than 2-to-1 advantage in that pivotal voting group, the poll found. In the latest survey, only 11 percent of Coloradans said the country was heading in the right direction, while 83 percent said it was on the wrong track. At a time when Republicans control the White House, that pessimism has created a steep climb for Sen. John McCain, who is now struggling to stay competitive in Colorado and several other states that President Bush carried in 2004. "You've got a difficult war. You've got now a very, very pessimistic electorate that's laser-focused on the economy as an issue," Weigel said. "There are plenty of campaigns that have had to run uphill. This is not running uphill. This is downhill skiing uphill."
Insider Advantage
Date: 10/20
Colorado
Added: 10/22/08
Rasmussen Reports for FOX News
Date: 10/19
Colorado
Added: 10/20/08
Quote: Eleven percent (11%) of those who now support McCain say they could change their mind before voting. Fourteen percent (14%) of Obama supporters say the same. Colorado was won by the Republicans in nine of the last ten presidential elections. Obama has the support of 93% of Democrats while McCain is backed by 88% of Republicans. Unaffiliated voters favor Obama by 14 points. The Republican has a seven-point lead among men but trails by 14 among women voters. White voters are closely divided but lean toward McCain. Non-white voters prefer Obama 67% to 31%. Fifty-four percent (54%) have a favorable view of McCain, while 44% regard him unfavorably. Obama is seen favorably by 56% and unfavorably by 43%.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/16
Colorado
Added: 10/18/08
Quote: McCain has lost ground among men voters, who now support Obama 49% to 47%. The Democrat leads among women by 11 points. Colorado was carried by the Republican candidates in the last three presidential elections. Fifty-one percent (51%) of Colorado voters have a favorable opinion of McCain, but 48% regard him unfavorably. Obama is viewed favorably by 57% and unfavorably by 43%. While a plurality (46%) say the tone of Obama�s campaign has been generally positive, 54% believe the tone of McCain�s campaign has been generally negative.
CNN/TIME
Date: 10/11-14
Colorado
Added: 10/15/08
Quote: Colorado, a state that hasn't voted for a Democrat in the race for the White House in 16 years. The new poll indicates the Illinois senator holds a four-point edge over McCain, 51 percent to 47 percent.
Suffolk University
Date: 10/10-13
Colorado
Added: 10/14/08
Quote: "Despite a small Obama lead, Colorado is up for grabs,� said David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Suffolk University in Boston. "When the history of this election is written, one common thread will be how voters have repeatedly up-ended the conventional wisdom.� Libertarian Party nominee Bob Barr polled 1 percent and Independent Ralph Nader secured 2 percent, while 6 percent of voters surveyed were undecided. There are 16 candidates for president listed on the Colorado ballot. Those optimistic about the economy next year favor John McCain by a 49 percent to 44 percent margin while those who believe the economy will get worse next year support Obama 48 percent to 37 percent. Overall, Colorado voters appear to be optimistic about the economy looking ahead to next year. Exactly 49 percent said the economy will get better next year and just 31 percent said worse, while 7 percent said it will stay the same and 12 percent were undecided. "The 4 percent Obama lead includes a 20 percent lead among independents," said Paleologos. "If McCain can convince Colorado independents that there is bi-partisan hope at the end of the economic tunnel, he will close the overall margin in the state. If Obama makes the presidential election a referendum on the current state of the economy, he will extend his lead." More Colorado respondents are now comfortable with the thought of a President Obama versus a President McCain. Despite personal preferences, when voters were asked to define their comfort level, 43 percent said they were extremely or very comfortable with Barack Obama while just 30 percent said the same about John McCain. In addition, 34 percent said they were not at all comfortable with Obama, but 37 percent were not at all comfortable with McCain.
Quinnipiac WSJ WP
Date: 10/8-12
Colorado
Added: 10/14/08
Quote: In Colorado's open seat Senate race, Democratic Rep. Mark Udall holds a commanding 54 percent to 40 percent lead over former Republican Rep. Bob Schaffer.
Public Policy Polling
Date: 10/8-10
Colorado
Added: 10/12/08
Quote: Obama leads John McCain 52-42, up from a seven point advantage in a PPP Colorado survey three weeks ago. With only 6% of voters undecided and just 6% of those with a current preference open to changing their minds McCain is basically in a situation right now where he will need to take every undecided voter and also every Obama supporter willing to consider changing their mind to have any chance at winning the state. Most of Obama�s gains over the last three weeks can be traced to the Hispanic vote. Where his lead among those voters was previously 57-36, he has now upped it to 71-21. The breakdown of white voters is exactly the same as it was previously, a 48-47 lead for Obama. �The overwhelming support Barack Obama is receiving from Hispanic voters in Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada is likely to flip that trio of states into the Democratic column after they all went for George W. Bush in 2004,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Perhaps more significantly though, they could be the harbinger of a long term movement toward the Democrats in the Mountain West.� In the race for Colorado�s open US Senate seat, Democrat Mark Udall continues to enjoy a solid lead over Bob Schaffer, 49-39. Udall has a commanding 53-28 advantage with independent voters in the state.
Insider Advantage Poll Position
Date: 10/6
Colorado
Added: 10/7/08
Quote: Analysis: �The undecided vote in Colorado is coming down and while Sen. McCain leads among men by a 7% margin over Sen. Obama, he continues to fight for the independent vote and is suffering among the female voters. We see Colorado as either consistently leaning Obama or in the Obama column as of now.� Matt Towery
Rasmussen Reports for FOX News
Date: 10/5
Colorado
Added: 10/6/08
Quote: Eighty-two percent (82%) of Colorado voters are now certain who they will vote for, up four points from a week ago. Eighteen percent (18%) say they may still change their minds, including one-third of unaffiliated voters in the state. For Obama the findings are good news since moving Colorado to the Democratic column is considered critical to his winning the White House. A classic swing state, Colorado went for George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004 and GOP nominee Bob Dole in 1996 after supporting Democrat Bill Clinton four years earlier. Nationally, Obama has opened a steady lead over McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and Electoral College projections. Colorado is one of several battleground states where Obama has gained ground in this week�s round of Fox News/Rasmussen Reports surveys. In Colorado, McCain has a five-point lead among men but trails Obama by 15 points among women voters. Obama leads by 14 points among unaffiliated voters. McCain is viewed favorably by 53% and unfavorably by 46%. Obama has 55% favorables and 43% unfavorables.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Colorado polls.
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