Election Polls

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2008 State Polls

State	Obama	McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida	51	48
Nevada	55	43
Colorado	54	45
Minnesota	54	44
Missouri	49	50
North Dakota	45	53
Pennsylvania	55	44
Iowa	54	45
South Dakota	45	53
New Mexico	57	42
Georgia	47	52
Ohio	52	47
New Hampshire	54	45
Wisconsin	56	43
Virginia	53	47
Arkansas	39	59
North Carolina	50	49
Indiana	50	49
Blue States
California	61	37
Connecticut	61	38
Delaware	62	37
Hawaii	72	27
Illinois	62	37
Maine	58	40
Maryland	62	37
Massachusetts	62	36
Michigan	57	41
New Jersey	57	42
New York	63	36
Oregon	57	41
Rhode Island	63	35
Vermont	68	31
Washington	58	41
Wisconsin	56	43
Red States
Alabama	39	61
Arizona	45	54
Idaho	36	61
Kansas	42	57
Kentucky	41	58
Louisiana	40	59
Montana	47	50
Nebraska	42	57
Oklahoma	34	66
South Carolina	45	54
Tennessee	42	57
Texas	44	55
Utah	34	63
West Virginia	43	56

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Democrat Polls

Gallup Poll
Date: 2/10/08
Added: 2/10/08

Quote:

With the unaided question used in the new poll, 83% of registered voters named either Obama (45%) or McCain (38%) as their preferred candidate. Obama's 7-point advantage over McCain on the open-ended ballot is similar to the 5-point lead he currently holds in Gallup's Daily tracking poll.
There are certainly trade-offs in trying to get an accurate read on third-party candidate support. Each election year, Gallup uses a variety of approaches, including third-party candidate name identification, the open-ended question reported here, and prompted ballots, in which the names of all candidates who will appear on the ballot in most states are read, to try to assess the level of third-party voting. These questions help inform Gallup about the level of third-party voting but they also inform Gallup about whether a third-party candidate merits inclusion in its standard presidential trial-heat question.
The standard closed-ended Gallup trial-heat question used in Gallup Poll Daily tracking and USA Today/Gallup polling has thus far in 2008 not included the names of minor-party candidates. Doing so runs the risk of overestimating their actual support and affecting poll accuracy, based on a comparison of final pre-election poll estimates to the actual vote on Election Day. Typically, unless there has been a well-known and well-funded third-party candidate running (like Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996), minor-party candidates have accounted for about 1% to 2% of the actual vote on Election Day. Recent polls by other firms that have included the names of minor-party candidates in their presidential trial heats find total third-party support ranging from 5% to 10% among registered voters.
Even though Gallup does not read the names of minor-party candidates in its standard question, it does accept volunteered responses of minor-party candidates in its closed-ended questions (about 1% in tracking so far this year). .

Barack Obama	50%
John McCain	46%
Unsure	1%

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Gallup National Polls polls.

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