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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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Democrat Polls

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/30
Georgia
Added: 10/31/08

Quote:

John McCain leads Barack Obama by five percentage points in Georgia for the second straight poll. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state has McCain ahead 52% to 47%.

Support for both candidates is up one point from a poll conducted last week. Prior to that time, McCain held solid leads over the Democrat since the start of the campaign season. Though McCain�s lead has weakened in the state this month, this is still the fifth straight poll the Republican has received at least 50% support.

Voters in Georgia continue to trust McCain more than Obama on the economy, 52% to 45%. However, unaffiliated voters trust the Democrat slightly more by a 47% to 45% margin. McCain also holds a solid advantage on national security issues.

McCain�s favorability ratings have remained stable over the past week. He is viewed favorably by 57% and unfavorably by 43%. Obama�s ratings are 50% favorable, 49% unfavorable. That�s a slight improvement for the Democrat, who was viewed favorably by 48% in the previous poll.

In the latest poll, Obama now leads 53% to 44% among unaffiliated voters in the state. Last week, McCain led those voters by an identical margin. McCain leads 73% to 26% among white voters in Georgia while Obama earns overwhelming support from black voters. While men favor McCain 55% to 45%, women are split between the candidates at 49% each.

John McCain52%
Barack Obama47%
Source


Research 2000 for DailyKos.com
Date: 10/28-30
Georgia
Added: 10/31/08

Quote:

Chambliss (R) 47 (47) Martin (D) 46 (45) Buckley (L) 5 (5)

Call it a gain for Martin if you want, but it's more like float in the MoE. If no candidate gets above 50 percent, this race is headed into a December runoff between the top two vote getters. We may be battling for that 60th Senate seat late into the year. But look at these early voting numbers:

Already voted (12 percent of sample)

Chambliss (R) 39
Martin (D) 56
Buckley (L) 5

Those are real votes we're putting away in the bank -- a nice head start heading into Election Day. Given the tightness of the results, this one will be decided by turnout. Same with the presidential race:

McCain (R) 47 (49)
Obama (D) 44 (43)

Already voted

McCain (R) 40
Obama (D) 55

We can really win this one, which is why Obama is back on the air in the Georgia. Let's close this out, for both Obama and Martin.

John McCain47%
Barack Obama44%
Source


CNN TIME
Date: 10/23-28
Georgia
Added: 10/30/08

John McCain52%
Barack Obama47%
Source


Insider Advantage Poll Position
Date: 10/27
Georgia
Added: 10/28/08

John McCain48%
Barack Obama47%
Bob Barr1%
Unsure3%
Other1%
Source


Mason Dixon for NBC
Date: 10/22-23
Georgia
Added: 10/26/08

John McCain49%
Barack Obama43%
Source


Strategic Vision
Date: 10/20-22
Georgia
Added: 10/24/08

Quote:

2. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 39% Undecided 13%

3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 43% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 19%

4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 37% Undecided 14%

5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 51% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 13%

6. Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 45% Barack Obama 42% Undecided 13%

7. Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 52% Barack Obama 38% Undecided 10%

John McCain51%
Barack Obama45%
Bob Barr2%
Unsure2%
Source


Insider Advantage Poll Position
Date: 10/23
Georgia
Added: 10/24/08

Quote:

Matt Towery on the presidential race:

�Obama is doing better among white voters than Kerry did in 2004 (according to exit polls of that race), carrying some 28 percent of the white vote. He�s carrying around 75 percent both of the Hispanic and �other� vote, which makes up between four and five percent of Georgia�s electorate. He is winning among independents, outside of the margin of error of the poll.

�While this is a tight race, the problem for McCain is that all but 3 percent of whites have made their decision and approximately 8 percent of black voters have continued to say they are undecided or voting �other.� This will likely move closer to 95 percent for Obama when all said and done. Obama has room to go up.

�If the race were to remain the way it is today, you won�t see these numbers come to fruition until very late in the night of Nov. 4 or perhaps the next day. The early numbers will likely show McCain ahead, as the counties where Obama is doing best are some of the largest counties and will be the slowest to report.�

Barack Obama48%
John McCain47%
Unsure3%
Other2%
Source


Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/22
Georgia
Added: 10/24/08

Quote:

However, while Obama continues to gain ground, this is the fourth straight poll of Georgia voters to find McCain at the 50% level of support or above. In August, McCain led Obama 50% to 43%.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters in the state expect McCain to win Georgia on Election Day.

Just 36% of Georgia voters agree with Obama�s quote that when you spread the wealth around, it�s good for everyone. Fifty percent (50%) disagree.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Georgia voters have a favorable opinion of McCain, including 37% with a Very Favorable opinion.

For Obama, 48% have a favorable view, including an amazing 42% with a Very Favorable opinion. The bad news for Obama is that 51% of Georgia voters still voice an unfavorable opinion about him. Only 42% say the same about McCain.

McCain is supported by 70% of white voters, Obama by 92% of African-American voters.

John McCain51%
Barack Obama46%
Source


Research 2000 for DailyKos.com
Date: 10/14-15
Georgia
Added: 10/17/08

Quote:

Just a little noise in the MoE the last two weeks, as Martin's one-point deficit is now two points. Same thing in the presidential race, just a little noise. The race is static right now.

Chambliss has gone negative on Martin in the last week, and so far it appears to be having little effect.

Martin's white support remains unchanged at 26 percent. Georgia Democrats tell me that they need to get to 30 percent for a chance of winning. Well, either that or a killer African American turnout. And so far, so good on that front.

Georgia Democrats -- both this Senate race and the presidential are winnable. So GOTV, GOTV, GOTV! And everyone else who wants to help a true progressive give the odious Saxby Chambliss his comeuppance, give Jim Martin some coin to fight the Chambliss smear machine. Don't ever forget what he did to Max Cleland.

John McCain49%
Barack Obama43%
Source


CNN/TIME
Date: 10/11-14
Georgia
Added: 10/15/08

Quote:

Georgia, a state that Bush won by 17 points over Kerry four years ago and that hasn't voted for the Democrats in a presidential contest in 16 years, the poll suggests only a 6-point lead for McCain, 51 percent to 45 percent.

"It looks like McCain has to play defense in states that Republicans have been able to count on in previous elections," Holland said. "That doesn't mean he will ultimately lose those states, but it does mean he has less time and money to spend in the swing states that are likely to decide this election."

John McCain53%
Barack Obama45%
Source


Survey USA
Date: 10/11-12
Georgia
Added: 10/14/08

Quote:

In Georgia, McCain Continues to Lead Obama by 8, But Bush Carried the State by 17 Points in 2004: In an election for President of the United States in Georgia today, 10/13/08, three weeks until votes are counted, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama 51% to 43%, according to this SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted for WXIA-TV in Atlanta and WMAZ-TV in Macon. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll two weeks ago, McCain and Obama are each down one point, "other," which would include Georgian Bob Barr, is up 2 points.

McCain is holding his ground among men, Republicans, Conservatives, and Independents. McCain is losing ground among women, moderates, and lower-income voters.

Early and absentee voting began in Georgia on 09/22/08. Among the 18% of Georgia voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, Obama leads by 6 points; among those who have not yet voted, McCain leads by 11.

John McCain51%
Barack Obama43%
Unsure2%
Other4%
Source


Insider Advantage
Date: 10/9
Georgia
Added: 10/10/08

John McCain49%
Barack Obama46%
Unsure3%
Other2%
Source


Strategic Vision
Date: 10/5-7
Georgia
Added: 10/9/08

Quote:

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 50% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 12%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 43% Unfavorable 37% Undecided 20%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 14%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 52% Unfavorable 34% Undecided 14%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 44% Barack Obama 42% Undecided 14%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 52% Barack Obama 37% Undecided 11%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 35% Disapprove 57% Undecided 8%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy? Approve 29% Disapprove 62% Undecided 9%

John McCain50%
Barack Obama43%
Bob Barr2%
Unsure5%
Source


This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Georgia polls.


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