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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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Democrat Polls

Research 2000 for DailyKos.com
Date: 9/29-10/1
Georgia
Added: 10/6/08

Quote:

Chambliss (R) 46 (53)
Martin (D) 44 (36)

That's a 15-point swing in just two weeks, and our Research 2000 poll confirms SUSA's latest numbers. This one is neck and neck, with Chambliss -- the ass who morphed Democratic war hero and triple amputee Max Cleland into Osama Bin Laden -- suddenly falling well-short of the magic 50 percent "safe" mark for an incumbent.

That means that we can now add the Georgia Senate seat to the ranks of top-tier races, in addition to the 10 existing ones (VA, NM, AK, CO, NH, NC, OR, KY, MN, and MS-B).

Suddenly, the wisdom of a real 50-state strategy becomes obvious yet again: the Obama camp set out to register 500,000 new voters in the state. And while Obama may not win this state this year (he will in 2012), we may pick up a Senate seat because of those efforts.

But don't count out Obama just yet. In the presidential horse race, Obama trails in single digits -- 50 to 43. Georgia may not give Obama his winning margin, but it would be one hell of an exclamation point. And early signs look good for him.

John McCain50%
Barack Obama43%
Source


Insider Advantage Poll Position
Date: 9/30
Georgia
Added: 10/2/08

Quote:

Analysis: �The race in Georgia is back on. But, Sen. Obama has little room for the race to become closer, unless former Rep. Bob Barr starts to concentrate on his home state. The African-American vote has totally collapsed to Obama (96%) a rare occurrence this far out in a Georgia contest. Independents have dropped to 50% for McCain. Male support has dropped to 50% for McCain and 44% for Obama. But, Obama is making little additional progress with white voters (24%) and unless he can improve that percentage, or Barr comes on strong and takes voters away from McCain, Georgia would, at this time, still lean McCain. It is possible the results of the debates could also move the race closer.� Matt Towery
John McCain50%
Barack Obama44%
Unsure4%
Other2%
Source


Survey USA
Date: 9/28-29
Georgia
Added: 10/1/08

John McCain52%
Barack Obama44%
Unsure2%
Other2%
Source


American Research Group
Date: 9/18-21
Georgia
Added: 9/22/08

Quote:

Independents (23%): McCain 59, Obama 35.
John McCain57%
Barack Obama39%
Unsure4%
Source


Insider Advantage Poll Position
Date: 9/17
Georgia
Added: 9/18/08

John McCain51%
Barack Obama43%
Unsure4%
Other2%
Source


Survey USA
Date: 9/14-16
Georgia
Added: 9/18/08

Quote:

In an election for President of the United States in Georgia today, 09/18/08, seven weeks until votes are counted, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama 57% to 41%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WXIA-TV in Atlanta, and for Roll Call, the newspaper of Capitol Hill. McCain leads 3:1 among white voters. Obama leads 23:1 among black voters. McCain leads by double digits among both men and women, among those under age 50 and those age 50+, among the less educated and the more educated, among those who earn more than $50K/year, and in all parts of Georgia outside of greater Atlanta. Obama runs comparatively strongest among Moderates, where he is up 5, in greater Atlanta, where he is up by 5, among Pro-Choice voters, where he is up by 14, among lower-income voters, where he and McCain tie, among voters focused on the Economy, where he trails McCain by 3, and among voters who think alternative sources of energy are more important than off-shore drilling, where he leads McCain 2:1.
John McCain57%
Barack Obama41%
Unsure1%
Other1%
Source


Insider Advantage Poll Position
Date: 9/10
Georgia
Added: 9/12/08

Quote:

InsiderAdvantage�s Matt Towery: �This is a huge slide from what had been, in our prior surveys, a relatively close race. The reason is simple�Obama lost serious ground in virtually every demographic.

�At first glance it would seem that Obama is headed for no better than the low 40 percentile level achieved by John Kerry in 2004. But let me warn observers that in both our national tracking and surveys in other states, the biggest change has been a near parity between the two candidates among the youngest of voters.

�Should that group return to Obama and the African-American vote end up where we expect it to be, the race could be closer in November. But as of now Georgia is no longer a �leans McCain� state. As of this survey, Georgia is in the McCain column.�

The poll, to remain consistent with seven total state polls conducted around the nation by the firm Wednesday evening, does not list Bob Barr as a candidate. �Having Bob Barr�s name on the ballot would likely take a net point or two from McCain, but at least at this stage, Barr�s presence is not an essential piece of the electoral pie in Georgia,� Towery said. �If the race tightens, that could change.�

John McCain56%
Barack Obama38%
Unsure4%
Other2%
Source


Strategic Vision
Date: 9/7-9
Georgia
Added: 9/12/08

Quote:

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 15%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 41% Unfavorable 35% Undecided 24%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 32% Undecided 20%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 54% Unfavorable 28% Undecided 18%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 46% Barack Obama 38% Undecided 16%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 54% Barack Obama 33% Undecided 13%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 39% Disapprove 54% Undecided 7%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy? Approve 33% Disapprove 59% Undecided 8%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq? Approve 49% Disapprove 39% Undecided 12%

John McCain52%
Barack Obama39%
Bob Barr3%
Unsure6%
Source


This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Georgia polls.


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