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2008 State Polls
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Democrat Polls
Research 2000 for DailyKos.com
Date: 7/28-30
Idaho
Added: 8/1/08
Quote: �By comparison, other Intermountain West states such as Montana, Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico are virtual dead heats. As an Intermountain West native, I know the character of Intermountain West states are generally more conservative and/or have proportionately more LDS church members than elsewhere. And this year, the region includes at least two �battleground states�, strongly suggesting Romney be considered for McCain�s vice-presidential pick. Add his highly successful management of the 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City amid potential crises as well as his debating style vis�-a-vis� that of Joe Biden, and we feel that the plusses of his Vice-Presidential candidacy outweigh the advantages of such other strong candidates as Governor Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota, former Governor Tom Ridge of Pennsylvania, or Senator Joe Lieberman of Connecticut, even when considering �housing� comments made by McCain.� Smith added, �We fully expect some to say things as �Greg, why then did 16,000 people show up at Taco Bell Arena in Boise not long ago to see Barack Obama speak?� And, from Obama for Idaho staffers, �Aren�t you an ardent Republican, and therefore your polling isn�t to be trusted?� For one, many people who are/were not necessarily Obama supporters attended his visit. After all, we here in Idaho have few chances to see someone who may become President! And for those who might think our work may be biased, I might remind them that (1) we boast over twenty years of experience in the marketing research industry, and are well known for our quality research and analytical insight, and (2) we produced results almost exactly two years ago which showed now-Congressman Bill Sali (R) dropping precipitously in support to then-challenger Larry Grant (D), and were unpopular among many Republicans at the time. As a friend of mine told me once, there are two kinds of people with no friends: journalists and pollsters!� Smith noted, �This poll was conducted during the week leading up to the choice of Joe Biden as Obama�s vice-presidential nominee. So, there could be some change in Idaho voter attitudes since then, although national results do not suggest this.� �We will be releasing poll results regarding Idaho�s U.S. Senate race (to replace Larry Craig) on Thursday, August 28.� Greg Smith & Associates is a marketing/public opinion research/polling and marketing consulting firm headquartered inEagle (Boise), Idaho, with numerous clients in the private and public sectors. A 16-point deficit seems ugly until you consider that Bush defeated Kerry 69-30 in the state in 2004. This was one of my top pro-Obama arguments in the primary. LaRocco would have little hope of overcoming a 39-point deficit at the top of the ticket. But 16 or even 20 or 25? Not easy, but easier. By running tighter, Obama makes it easier for down-ticket Democrats to win.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Idaho polls.
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