Democrat Polls
American Research Group
Date: 10/28-31
Indiana
Added: 11/1/08
Survey USA
Date: 10/27-30
Indiana
Added: 10/31/08
Quote: Both McCain and Obama have mobilized their partisan bases. Both have double-digit defections by their own weak partisans, but receive overwhelming support from strong partisans and independents leaning toward their party. To McCain�s benefit, there are slightly more Republicans in our sample (44%) than Democrats (42%). However, Obama holds a greater than the margin-of-error lead among Hoosier self-described independents 44% to 37%. Most Hoosiers long-ago decided who they would support for president. However, some distinctive patterns of vote decision timing appear for each candidate. McCain�s support is greater among those who knew all along how they would vote. Relative to McCain, Obama received more support from those who decided after the party conventions but before the bailout and debates. He also received two-thirds of those deciding after the debates but before the past few days. Twice as many of those deciding in the past few days support McCain over Obama, though there are only fifteen percent of Hoosiers who decided after the debates and in the past few days.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/28-29
Indiana
Added: 10/31/08
Quote: The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds John McCain slipping below the 50% level of support and clinging to a three-point lead over Barack Obama. McCain now attracts support from 49% of voters and Obama is supported by 46%. Earlier in the month, McCain had a seven-point lead in the Hoosier State. Although Indiana has been one of the most reliably Republican states in the nation, it has clearly been a target for the Obama campaign this year. Parts of northwestern Indiana are effectively suburbs of Chicago, Obama�s home base. During the Indiana Democratic Primary, strong turnout in this region almost enabled Obama to pull off an upset victory over Hillary Clinton. It is possible that a strong turnout in that region of the state could do the same again in the general election. Nationally, Obama has been leading McCain every day for more than a month in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. He also has a healthy lead in the Electoral College projections. With release of this poll, Indiana moves from "Leans Republican" to "Toss-Up" in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Today, Montana also has moved from McCain's column to Toss-Up status. In Indiana, McCain is viewed favorably by 57%, Obama by 49%. McCain leads among those who regularly attend church while Obama leads among those who rarely or never attend services.
Research 2000
Date: 9/29-10/3
Indiana
Added: 10/31/08
Indy Star Selzer WTHR
Date: 10/26-28
Indiana
Added: 10/30/08
Quote: The results are even tighter than they were in the last Star-WTHR poll in mid-September, when Obama led, 47 percent to 44 percent. It portends a cliff-hanger election in Indiana, a state that usually is declared "red" by the TV networks within minutes of most polls in the state closing at 6 p.m. "It's just that close," said pollster Ann Selzer. There are, she said, several factors that could tip this race either way: New voters: More than 525,000 new voter registrations have been submitted since 2006. Among those first-time voters, Obama, a Democrat, is getting more than twice as much support as McCain, a Republican. Among people who voted in the past -- and who may be considered likely to vote this time -- McCain has the advantage. Young voters: Obama is the favorite, by far. Among likely voters younger than 35, Obama leads McCain, 61 percent to 35 percent. Among likely voters younger than 45, Obama holds a lead of 12 percentage points. But young people as a group have been notoriously fickle in the past, not showing up to vote in strong numbers, while older voters have been reliable. And among voters 45 and older, McCain leads. Black voters: Obama is the strong favorite, winning 82 percent of their vote. And, Selzer said, Obama needs their votes to win because McCain leads among white voters.
Reuters Zogby
Date: 10/23-26
Indiana
Added: 10/27/08
Quote: Independents favor McCain by 15. Their votes coupled with those of Indiana's Republican majority give McCain a six-point margin. McCain also leads with women and is within a four points of Obama with 18-29-year-olds.
Big10 Battleground
Date: 10/19-22
Indiana
Added: 10/23/08
Public Policy Polling
Date: 10/18-19
Indiana
Added: 10/21/08
Quote: Obama�s lead in the state is being fueled largely by voter concern about the economy. 60% of respondents list it as their biggest issue when deciding who to vote for this fall, and the Democrat has a 59-34 lead with that segment of the electorate. Obama is also benefiting from strong support with independent voters, among whom he leads 49-39. His 89-11 lead with black voters is just enough to offset the 51-42 advantage John McCain has with whites. �Barack Obama has a real chance to pull off a Midwestern sweep,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Indiana and Missouri are the two toughest wins for him there but we�ve found him with a two point lead in each of those states over the last week. If Obama can hold on to enough white voters in those places his overwhelming black support will put him over the top.� Obama�s surprising success in Indiana is not doing anything to help Jill Long Thompson�s prospects for defeating Governor Mitch Daniels. Daniels leads 57-36, holding Thompson to only 64% of the vote even with Democrats, and has a 56-32 lead with independents. Two other statewide races are too close to call and have a lot of undecideds. Linda Pence leads Greg Zoeller 42-39 while Tony Bennett has a 38-36 advantage on Richard Wood.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/7
Indiana
Added: 10/9/08
Quote: McCain is viewed favorably by 59% of voters and unfavorably by 39%. Obama�s ratings are 50% favorable, 48% unfavorable. Both candidates� running mates are viewed slightly less favorably by Indiana voters. Joseph Biden is viewed favorably by 48% and unfavorably by 48%. Sarah Palin�s reviews are 57% favorable, 41% unfavorable. Not surprisingly, the economy is the top issue of the election for 50% of Indiana voters, with no other issue coming close. Voters in Indiana trust McCain more on this issue by a 48% to 41% margin. Nationally, voters are divided on which candidate they trust more. Just eight percent (8%) of voters in Indiana rate the current economy good or excellent. Sixty-one percent (61%) give it a poor rating. While only three percent (3%) say the economy is getting better, 81% believe it is getting worse. Similar sentiments can be found nationwide in the Rasmussen Consumer Index. LINK Voters say creating economic growth should be a higher priority than reducing the gap between rich and poor by a 64% to 25% margin. Most believe McCain agrees, while the majority thinks Obama takes the opposite view. Investors, who make up 66% of voters in Indiana, favor McCain 56% to 39%.
Research 2000
Date: 9/29-10/3
Indiana
Added: 10/7/08
Quote: A new statewide poll shows Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain running even in Indiana. The WISH-TV Indiana poll shows McCain and Obama each supported by 46% of likely voters. Five percent are undecided and 3% say they favor another candidate. The margin of error is plus-or-minus 3.5%age points. The poll released tonight was from a telephone survey of 800 likely voters conducted September 29th-October 3rd by Maryland-based Research 2000. McCain hasn't visited the state since July 1st. Obama plans to visit Indianapolis on Wednesday, his sixth trip to Indiana since the May primary.
CNN/TIME
Date: 10/3-6
Indiana
Added: 10/7/08
Quote: In Indiana, 51 percent of likely voters say Sen. John McCain, R-Arizona, is their choice for president, with 46 percent backing Obama. Indiana went for George W. Bush by 21 points four years ago; the Democrats have not carried the state since 1964.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Indiana polls.
Who gets your vote in 2012?
|
