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2008 State Polls
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Democrat Polls
Survey USA Poll
Date: 2/17/08
Iowa
Added: 2/17/08
Quote: "The race in Iowa, while relatively close, appears to be moving in Obama's direction," said Hawkeye Poll Director David Redlawsk, associate professor of political science at the UI. "Most importantly for Obama, his supporters are much more likely to say they 'strongly support' him, which makes them much more likely to turn out on Election Day and much more likely to talk to friends and neighbors, volunteer in the campaign, and do the kinds of things that win elections. Typically, those who are less supportive are also less motivated to vote, no matter how much they say ahead of time that they'll turn out to vote." When �leaners� are factored in, Obama leads his Republican opponent 49% to 44%. Last month Obama had a double-digit lead on McCain, 51% to 41%. In June, after Hillary Clinton dropped out of the Democratic presidential race, he led McCain by seven points. McCain had held steady at 38% for two months running, so the three-point uptick in the new survey is good news for his campaign. Obama has the support of 79% of the state�s Democrats, while 84% of GOP voters back McCain. Among unaffiliated voters, the Democrat has a sizable lead, 46% to 30%, roughly the same as in July. Iowa is viewed as a swing state, although the 2004 election was the first time in 20 years that the state had gone for the Republican presidential candidate. President Bush carried the state by less than 10,000 votes that year. Both candidates have seen a slight shift in their favorability ratings. Obama is now viewed favorably by 54% of Iowa voters and unfavorably by 43%, a shift of five percentage points from the favorable to the unfavorable column in the past month. McCain is regarded favorably by 53%, down 3% since mid-July, and unfavorably by 44%, up from 40% a month ago. Men: Obama 32, McCain 44. Women: Obama 52, McCain 32. Obama continues to do much better among women than men in Iowa. The Democrat has a commanding 52% to 34% lead among women voters in Iowa, but the two candidates are tied at 43% among men. Obama is viewed favorably by 59% of Iowa voters and unfavorably by 38%. McCain�s numbers are 56% favorable, 40% unfavorable. A plurality of Iowa voters(40%) thinks the economy is the most important issue in the upcoming election. National security comes in a distant second, with 25% who see it as the top issue. When it comes to high fuel prices, 58% of Iowan voters think drilling in offshore oil wells should be allowed, while 50% think gas prices would likely go down if this practice were implemented. Forty-six percent (46%) think the United States should allow oil drilling of the Alaskan Wildlife Refuge, but 41% disagree. However, voters are less enthusiastic about the idea of controlling their own energy use. Most Iowa voters (60%) oppose a reduction of the national speed limit to 55 mph, and 62% do not think lowering the speed limit would reduce the price of gas. Forty-four percent (44%) think it is more important to protect the environment than to reduce fuel prices, but 41% disagree. Just 29% of Iowa voters think President Bush is doing a good or excellent job as president. Over half (52%) think he is doing a poor job. . . . . . . . . . .
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 2/18/08
Iowa
Added: 2/18/08
Quote: "The race in Iowa, while relatively close, appears to be moving in Obama's direction," said Hawkeye Poll Director David Redlawsk, associate professor of political science at the UI. "Most importantly for Obama, his supporters are much more likely to say they 'strongly support' him, which makes them much more likely to turn out on Election Day and much more likely to talk to friends and neighbors, volunteer in the campaign, and do the kinds of things that win elections. Typically, those who are less supportive are also less motivated to vote, no matter how much they say ahead of time that they'll turn out to vote." When �leaners� are factored in, Obama leads his Republican opponent 49% to 44%. Last month Obama had a double-digit lead on McCain, 51% to 41%. In June, after Hillary Clinton dropped out of the Democratic presidential race, he led McCain by seven points. McCain had held steady at 38% for two months running, so the three-point uptick in the new survey is good news for his campaign. Obama has the support of 79% of the state�s Democrats, while 84% of GOP voters back McCain. Among unaffiliated voters, the Democrat has a sizable lead, 46% to 30%, roughly the same as in July. Iowa is viewed as a swing state, although the 2004 election was the first time in 20 years that the state had gone for the Republican presidential candidate. President Bush carried the state by less than 10,000 votes that year. Both candidates have seen a slight shift in their favorability ratings. Obama is now viewed favorably by 54% of Iowa voters and unfavorably by 43%, a shift of five percentage points from the favorable to the unfavorable column in the past month. McCain is regarded favorably by 53%, down 3% since mid-July, and unfavorably by 44%, up from 40% a month ago. Men: Obama 32, McCain 44. Women: Obama 52, McCain 32. Obama continues to do much better among women than men in Iowa. The Democrat has a commanding 52% to 34% lead among women voters in Iowa, but the two candidates are tied at 43% among men. Obama is viewed favorably by 59% of Iowa voters and unfavorably by 38%. McCain�s numbers are 56% favorable, 40% unfavorable. A plurality of Iowa voters(40%) thinks the economy is the most important issue in the upcoming election. National security comes in a distant second, with 25% who see it as the top issue. When it comes to high fuel prices, 58% of Iowan voters think drilling in offshore oil wells should be allowed, while 50% think gas prices would likely go down if this practice were implemented. Forty-six percent (46%) think the United States should allow oil drilling of the Alaskan Wildlife Refuge, but 41% disagree. However, voters are less enthusiastic about the idea of controlling their own energy use. Most Iowa voters (60%) oppose a reduction of the national speed limit to 55 mph, and 62% do not think lowering the speed limit would reduce the price of gas. Forty-four percent (44%) think it is more important to protect the environment than to reduce fuel prices, but 41% disagree. Just 29% of Iowa voters think President Bush is doing a good or excellent job as president. Over half (52%) think he is doing a poor job. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Iowa polls.
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