2008 State Polls

Democrat Polls

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 9/25
Iowa
Added: 9/27/08

Quote:

Voters in Iowa trust Obama more than McCain to handle the economy by a 47% to 43% margin. However, 62% believe bridging the gap between rich and poor is more important to Obama than creating economic growth. Voters overall think that creating economic growth is more important by a 53% to 36% margin. Voters believe McCain is more concerned with economic growth by a 66% to 11% margin.

Not surprisingly, the majority of voters in Iowa (55%) give the economy a poor rating. Just 13% of voters rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent. Those numbers are similar to those found on the national level. Just 5% of Iowa voters think the economy is getting better, while 80% believe it getting worse.

Investors, who make up 71% of voters in Iowa, favor Obama by a 48% to 45% margin. However, when it comes to the economy, investors trust McCain by a 46% to 44% margin. This week, investor confidence nationally fell to an all-time low.

Marist College
Date: 9/18-21
Iowa
Added: 9/24/08

Quote:

Advantage, Obama�Double-Digit Lead Among Likely Voters: Although the presidential race between Senator Barack Obama and Senator John McCain is a close contest among Iowa�s registered voters, the Democratic candidate leads his Republican opponent by double digits among voters likely to vote on Election Day. 46% of Iowa�s registered voters say they support Obama while 41% say they back McCain. But, Obama widens his lead among likely Iowa voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Obama receives 51% to McCain�s 41% among these voters. Here�s how the contest breaks down along party lines. 92% of Iowa�s likely Democratic voters report they support Obama. 85% of the state�s likely Republican voters say they back their party�s candidate, McCain. Independent voters likely to vote in November divide 44% for Obama to 42% for McCain. Iowa is one of three states that switched party columns from 2000 to 2004 and by the narrowest of margins. Al Gore carried the state in 2000. President Bush defeated former Democratic Presidential Candidate John Kerry in 2004. Right now, Obama is poised to change Iowa�s electoral make-up yet again.

The Economy is Front and Center: As Congress hammers out the details of a $700 billion bailout of the nation�s financial institutions, the economy is the main issue on the minds of registered voters in Iowa. 48% say the economy is the number one issue they consider when it comes to picking a candidate. Social issues like abortion or same sex marriage are most important for 9% of the Iowa electorate with health care following closely behind with 8%. Supporters of both John McCain and Barack Obama agree that the economy is the key issue in this presidential race, but it�s more important for backers of the Democratic candidate. 60% of Obama�s supporters report the economy is their top priority compared with 37% of John McCain�s. More McCain backers -- 18% -- say social issues are at the core of this election while just 3% of voters for Obama see these issues as major concerns. For 9% of registered voters in the Obama camp, health care tops their priority list followed by the war in Iraq and education.

American Research Group
Date: 9/17-20
Iowa
Added: 9/22/08

Quote:

Independents (32%): McCain 41, Obama 52.

Research 2000 for Quad City Times
Date: 9/15-17
Iowa
Added: 9/21/08

Quote:

�This is the state that started it all for Obama. He�s very popular here,� Ali said.

In a statement, Obama�s Iowa director Jackie Norris said the campaign has seen momentum as the economy and a �need for change in Washington� become a larger focus in the election.

�Regardless of what the polls say, we know the McCain campaign is capable of harsh, false attacks which can distract from the important issues, which is why we are taking absolutely nothing for granted,� Norris said.

The numbers in the poll conducted by Research 2000 differed from a recent Big Ten Battleground Poll that showed the race in Iowa as a toss-up, but were similar to a recent Iowa Poll by the Des Moines Register that showed Obama with a 12-point lead.

Republican Doug Gross, who is co-chairing the party�s get-out-the-vote efforts in Iowa, said internal polls are showing a tight race in the state between McCain and Obama.

�Our view is that Iowa�s still very much in play and will continue to be in play and is neck and neck,� Gross said.

McCain�s Iowa spokeswoman, Wendy Riemann, said the campaign considers Iowa a battleground state.

�We�re committed to winning Iowa, and we will be fighting to win Iowa through Nov. 4,� she said.

McCain�s selection of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate, which swung the spotlight back to the GOP candidate, didn�t make a large share of voters more likely to support McCain, the Research 2000 survey showed.

Of those polled, 61 percent said the Palin pick had no effect on their decision, and 22 percent said it made them more likely to vote for McCain.

Survey USA
Date: 9/17-18
Iowa
Added: 9/20/08

Quote:

Obama 11 Points Ahead of McCain in Iowa: In an election for President of the United States in Iowa today, 09/19/08, 46 days from the election, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain by 11 points, 54% to 43%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KAAL-TV Mason City and WHO-TV Des Moines. Among women, Obama leads by 20 points; among men, Obama and McCain tie. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, Obama leads by 15. Among voters older than John McCain, Obama leads by 9. Among voters who are in-between the two candidates' ages, Obama leads by 7. Among white voters -- 95% of Iowa's likely voters -- Obama leads by 8 points. 11% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama; 8% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain; Independents break for Obama by 9 points. John McCain leads among Republicans, conservatives, those who attend church regularly, pro-life voters, those focused on terrorism, among the 16% of likely voters who say they may yet change their mind, and in Southwest Iowa. Obama is slightly ahead in Northwest Iowa and leads by double digits in the northeast and southeast portions of the state.

Big Ten Battleground Poll
Date: 9/14-17
Iowa
Added: 9/19/08

Des Moines Register Selzer Company
Date: 9/8-10
Iowa
Added: 9/15/08

Quote:

Top campaign advisers to Obama and McCain have said Iowa, where the past two presidential elections have been decided by 10,000 votes and fewer, is in the top tier of swing states. However, there are signs in the poll that Obama has a healthy advantage among key voter groups here.

Chief among them are independents, 49 percent of whom say they prefer Obama, compared to 36 percent who say they support McCain.

McCain's advisers have said they believe he can win Iowa by turning out the Republican base and by appealing to independents drawn to his maverick streak on issues such as immigration.

Insider Advantage Poll Position
Date: 9/10
Iowa
Added: 9/12/08

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp
Date: 8/31-9/2
Iowa
Added: 9/4/08

Quote:

"Obama is winning in all regions of the state, even in the western counties, where George W. Bush beat John Kerry by 17 points," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said. "Obama is winning rural voters in Iowa, not something you see in many other states."

Iowa's caucuses kicked off the presidential primary season and launched Obama toward the Democratic presidential nomination.

"Iowa was Barack Obama's breakthrough state. He won the Democratic caucuses with a powerful organization. John McCain barely competed in the Iowa Republican caucuses. He came in fourth," said Bill Schneider, a CNN senior political analyst.

"Obama retains a strong organization in Iowa, where McCain is just beginning to get started," Schneider said.

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Iowa polls.

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