2008 State Polls

Democrat Polls

Zogby Interactive 50 State Poll
Date: 6/11-30
Kentucky
Added: 8/9/08

Quote:

12 Weeks Out, McCain Gathering Steam in Kentucky: Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama by 18 points in an election for President held in Kentucky today, 08/12/08, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville, WLEX-TV Lexington, and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Today, it's McCain 55%, Obama 37%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released eight weeks ago, McCain is up 2 points; Obama is down 4. Then, McCain led by 16 points among men; today, he leads by 24.Then, McCain led by 8 points among women; today, he leads by 13. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, McCain had led by 5, now leads by 12. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain had led by 27, now leads by 9. Among voters in-between the two candidates' ages, McCain had led by 14, now leads by 27. There is little or no change in partisan breakdowns over the past eight weeks: McCain today takes 86% of Republican votes; Obama takes 59% of Democratic votes; Independents favor McCain by 5 points. Among voters with household incomes under $50,000 a year, McCain had led by 4; today, the candidates tie. Among voters with incomes greater than $50,000, McCain had by 19, now leads by 30. Obama leads by 4 points in greater Louisville, down from 12 points eight weeks ago; McCain continues to lead in the rest of the state. Men: Obama 31, McCain 54. Women: Obama 46, McCain 34.

Survey USA Poll
Date: 6/17/08
Kentucky
Added: 6/17/08

Quote:

12 Weeks Out, McCain Gathering Steam in Kentucky: Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama by 18 points in an election for President held in Kentucky today, 08/12/08, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville, WLEX-TV Lexington, and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Today, it's McCain 55%, Obama 37%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released eight weeks ago, McCain is up 2 points; Obama is down 4. Then, McCain led by 16 points among men; today, he leads by 24.Then, McCain led by 8 points among women; today, he leads by 13. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, McCain had led by 5, now leads by 12. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain had led by 27, now leads by 9. Among voters in-between the two candidates' ages, McCain had led by 14, now leads by 27. There is little or no change in partisan breakdowns over the past eight weeks: McCain today takes 86% of Republican votes; Obama takes 59% of Democratic votes; Independents favor McCain by 5 points. Among voters with household incomes under $50,000 a year, McCain had led by 4; today, the candidates tie. Among voters with incomes greater than $50,000, McCain had by 19, now leads by 30. Obama leads by 4 points in greater Louisville, down from 12 points eight weeks ago; McCain continues to lead in the rest of the state. Men: Obama 31, McCain 54. Women: Obama 46, McCain 34. As for Obama, this is one of those rare states (i.e. the Appalachian ones) in which he runs weaker than other Democrats (like Clinton) might have.

Obama garners only 29 percent of the white vote, and with African Americans making up only about nine percent of the electorate, that's a recipe for a wipeout. (Kerry won 35 percent of the Kentucky white vote in 2004.) McCain continues to enjoy the support of 79% of the state�s Republicans, the same as last month, but his support among Democrats has fallen to 28% from 33% in June. Fifty-six percent (56%) of Democrats, up 6% in a month, and 15% of GOP voters, roughly the same for the second month in a row, now back Obama.

Among unaffiliated voters, Obama also has gained ground: McCain still leads 45% to 38%, but in June he was ahead 44% to 30%.

The Republican is still ahead with both men and women voters, but again his leads are narrowing. He continues to hold a sizable 54% to 36% margin among men, but that�s down from 57% to 28% a month ago. His four-point lead among women is down to three points.

A similar pattern is evident in the favorability ratings of the two candidates. McCain is viewed favorably by 60% of Kentucky voters, compared to 63% in June, and unfavorably by 35%, up an insignificant 1% in the past month. Obama was looked upon favorably by 41% in June, but now that number is up to 48%. While his unfavorables are at 50%, a daunting number for any candidate, that�s down from 57% a month ago. . . .

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Kentucky polls.

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