Democrat Polls
Mason Dixon
Date: 10/27-29
Kentucky
Added: 11/2/08
Quote: McCain has the support of 51 percent of likely voters if the election were held now, while 42 percent back Obama. Seven percent remain undecided. The results include people who are undecided but leaning toward a candidate. The poll also shows that most Kentuckians believe that the $700 billion financial rescue plan passed by Congress in September and signed into law by President Bush will provide at least some help to the economy. Six percent of Kentuckians believe that the aid package would help the economy a lot, while 46 percent said it would help some. Thirty-seven percent said it wouldn't help much. McCain and Obama supported that package, and it appeared to have little effect on their standing in Kentucky. The latest poll, conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., of Washington, D.C., interviewed 817 likely Kentucky voters by telephone Oct. 27-29 and has a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points. A Bluegrass Poll taken in late September showed McCain with a 53 percent to 41 percent lead over Obama. Six percent were undecided then.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/29
Kentucky
Added: 10/31/08
Quote: A significant shift over the past week came among unaffiliated voters in Kentucky, who favored Obama last week by a 56% to 40% margin. The latest poll finds unaffiliated voters in the state now choose McCain, 58% to 37%. Last week, McCain led by just four points among men in Kentucky. He now leads 58% to 39% among men and 52% to 47% among women. White voters favor McCain over Obama by a 59% to 40% margin, while black voters overwhelmingly back Obama, 90% to 10%. McCain�s favorable ratings went up from 59% a week ago to 64%. He is viewed unfavorably by 35%, down from 38% last week. Obama�s ratings are 45% favorable, down from 52% last week, and unfavorably by 54%, up from 47%. On the top issue of the economy, Kentucky voters trust McCain more than Obama by 11 points. Unaffiliated voters in the state trust the Republican even more, 55% to 37%. Voters also give McCain the edge on national security by 22 points. Incumbent Republican Mitch McConnell, the Senate minority leader, continues to hold a stable lead over Democratic challenger Bruce Lunsford in the state�s U.S. Senate race. President Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 37% of Kentucky voters, while 45% rate his performance as poor.
Research 2000
Date: 10/19-21
Kentucky
Added: 10/24/08
Quote: Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county. The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the �true� figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/21
Kentucky
Added: 10/23/08
Quote: Incumbent Republican Mitch McConnell, the Senate minority leader, remains ahead of his Democratic challenger Bruce Lunsford in the U.S. Senate race in Kentucky. Though McCain earns the support of over a quarter (26%) of Democrats in Kentucky, Obama has a solid 56% to 40% lead among unaffiliated voters. McCain leads his opponent 51% to 47% among men and 53% to 42% among women. Voters who rarely or never attend religious services favor Obama by a 63% to 37% margin, while those who attend church at least once a week overwhelmingly favor McCain (Premium Members can view full demographic crosstabs). McCain is viewed favorably by 59% of Kentucky voters, down from 63% in September. Thirty-eight percent (38%) have an unfavorable view of the GOP nominee, up from 34% last month. Obama�s numbers are 52% favorable, 47% unfavorable. The Democrat�s numbers have grown more positive over the past month.
Research 2000 for DailyKos.com
Date: 10/14-16
Kentucky
Added: 10/20/08
Quote: Senate Race McConnell (R) 46 (50)
Lunsford (D) 42 (37) Stunning. That's a 9-point swing in a month, with McConnell now falling well below the magical 50 percent mark. Lunsford's gains come among Democrats (12-point gain) and independents (10-point gain). 12 percent of Democrats remain undecided, which isn't surprising given that 1) it's a southern state with a significant number of Dixiecrats, and 2) Lunsford has been a historically terrible Democrat. He seems to have learned from his mistakes, however, bending over backwards to try and reassure skittish Democratic constituencies. Also note the large number of undecided African Americans -- still more evidence of the "reverse Bradley" effect we're seeing in Southern states. In short, black respondents seem skittish about telling pollsters their electoral choices. We can safely assume they'll slot in with the Democratic ticket at an over-90 percent rate. In this case, that could mean an extra two points for Lunsford. This one is going down to the wire, guys. And if you want to talk about crushing the GOP, eliminating their highest-ranking leader, and perhaps the only one left who can hold their coalition together, would be a stunner -- a true leadership decapitation.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Kentucky polls.
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