Democrat Polls
Detroit Free Press
Date: 10/28-31
Michigan
Added: 11/2/08
Quote: Significant numbers of voters say Obama has won them over with his judgment and how he makes them feel about America's future. And if voters are skeptical about Obama's ability to deliver on some promises, they share the same concerns about McCain -- while Obama continues to get a bump from supporters who think he'd be best able to address the nation's economic troubles. He also gets high marks from his supporters as being likely to reform health care. "It's time to get ourselves out of some messes," said Martha Aldrich, a 64-year-old Dearborn resident who usually votes Republican but is backing Obama. Of Obama, she added, "He's going to be a great president because he's really concerned about the American people." The poll of 616 likely Michigan voters was conducted Tuesday through Friday by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, Iowa. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. It shows Obama building on what was a 13-point lead in Michigan in late September. Shortly after that poll, McCain decamped from Michigan, essentially conceding the state to Obama. Neither has visited since. Until then, Michigan was widely seen as a battleground state, offering McCain a shot at picking up a state that has backed Democratic candidates for president in the last four elections.
Det News EPIC MRA
Date: 10/26-28
Michigan
Added: 10/31/08
Quote: The numbers put Michigan in a group along with states such as Minnesota, Wisconsin and perhaps even Pennsylvania, where Republicans once hoped to cut into Democratic territory but now face a daunting uphill battle with less than a week until Election Day. Those shifts are clear in the itineraries of the presidential candidates: Obama stopped Thursday in Florida, Virginia and Missouri, all states President Bush won four years ago. McCain was on a three-city swing through Ohio, another Bush state from 2004. In Michigan, the latest Detroit News-WXYZ survey highlights the challenge for Republicans. Not only does Obama hold a large lead, buoyed by McCain's early-October withdrawal of staff and advertising, but voters say they prefer Democratic candidates for Congress, state House and local offices. By 46 percent to 34 percent, they say they are more likely to vote for Democratic congressional candidates. They prefer Democrats for state House, 43 percent to 34 percent.
Strategic Vision
Date: 10/27-29
Michigan
Added: 10/31/08
Quote: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 54% Unfavorable 39% Undecided 7% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 46% Unfavorable 39% Undecided 15% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 47% Unfavorable 43% Undecided 10% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 46% Unfavorable 42% Undecided 12% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43% Undecided 5% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 49% Barack Obama 45% Undecided 6% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 13% Disapprove 76% Undecided 11% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy? Approve 10% Disapprove 82% Undecided 8% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq? Approve 37% Disapprove 58% Undecided 5%
Public Policy Polling
Date: 10/28-30
Michigan
Added: 10/31/08
Quote: Obama is now winning white voters by the slimmest of margins, 49-48. Add to that his 90% standing with black voters and it�s the equation for a run away victory. He has a 53-40 lead with independent voters in the state, and is actually pulling more Republican votes (13%) than John McCain is Democratic votes (8%). Any concern that there would be party unity issues for the Democrats in Michigan after all the controversy about the state�s convention delegation seems to have subsided. �It�s hard to believe that less than two months ago our polling was showing a one point race in Michigan,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �The state started getting away from John McCain pretty quickly when the financial crisis really hit in mid-September, and obviously he didn�t help his chances in the state any by basically writing it off at the beginning of October.� Obama is leading across all four age groups. His 52-44 lead with senior citizens in the state is one of his better performances nationally within that demographic. Carl Levin continues to coast in his bid for reelection to the US Senate. He now leads Republican challenger Jack Hoogendyk by a margin of 58-36. That�s the largest advantage he�s shown in a PPP poll of the race.
Detroit News
Date: 10/19-22
Michigan
Added: 10/24/08
Quote: Obama holds leads across the Democratic landscape: among both men and women; overwhelmingly among African Americans but also among whites; overwhelmingly in Metro Detroit but in more conservative out-state as well. Only 6 percent of Obama voters said they could still change their minds; McCain would need nearly all those voters, plus the 10 percent who say they remain undecided, to close the gap. "He lost me when he picked (Sarah) Palin," said Frank Frick, 70, of Marble Lake, a retired Albion College professor who considered McCain before his selection of the Alaska governor as his running mate. Just 47 percent of voters had a favorable opinion of Palin, to 44 percent who view her unfavorably -- the worst rating for any of the four nominees. Some McCain voters said Obama's connections to controversial figures such as 1960s radical William Ayers were unacceptable. "It does matter, and it should matter," said Theresa Kennedy, 47, a McCain supporter from Pleasant Lake, north of Jackson. "I don't believe what (Obama) promises."
Big10 Battleground
Date: 10/19-22
Michigan
Added: 10/23/08
Quinnipiac WSJ WP
Date: 10/8-12
Michigan
Added: 10/14/08
Quote: In Michigan, more than six in ten voters said the economy was the "single most important issue" in deciding their vote. Among likely voters, Obama increased his lead over McCain from a four-point edge in a late September Quinnipiac poll to a whopping 16-point lead in the most recent survey. Obama's 54 percent to 38 percent lead in Michigan helps to explain why McCain decided to pull down his ads and pull out the majority of his campaign staff from the Wolverine State last week -- choosing to fight, instead, in Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Maine.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/8
Michigan
Added: 10/9/08
Quote: Sixty percent (60%) of Michigan voters now rate the economy as the most important issue in the election, an increase of eight points from a month ago. National security is most important to just 13%. Eighty-nine percent (89%) say economic conditions in Michigan are getting worse. Fifty-five percent (55%) believe Obama is the candidate most likely to boost the auto industry, while just under half that many (27%) think that of McCain. The gap is narrower when it�s a question of who has shown greater leadership during the economic crisis so far. Forty-seven percent (47%) say Obama, 36% McCain. Michigan voters trust Obama more than McCain on the economy � 56% to 37% - and on national security � 50% to 45%. In most states, McCain has the edge on the latter issue.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Michigan polls.
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