2008 State Polls

Democrat Polls

McClatchy/MSNBC / Mason Dixon
Date: 1/30-2/1
Missouri
Added: 2/3/08
Est. MoE = 4.9% [?]

Quote:

Clinton leads among Democrats and whites, with whom she's up by 17 points.

Obama leads among independents and blacks, with whom he has a 6-1 advantage. Black voters could make up about 13 percent of the statewide vote.

"He does well around St. Louis and Kansas City," Coker said. "She's going to kill him in rural Missouri. There are just not enough blacks there to carry him."

Survey USA
Date: 1/30-31
Missouri
Added: 2/2/08
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Quote:

Missouri Democratic Primary Too Close to Call, 96-Hours To Vote: Missouri voters are poised to divide the 88 delegates they send to the Democratic National Convention between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KCTV-TV Kansas City and KSDK-TV St. Louis. Obama leads among men. Clinton leads among women. Obama leads among young voters. Clinton leads among older voters. Clinton leads among whites. Obama leads among blacks. Clinton leads among registered Democrats. Obama leads among Independents. Clinton leads among the Democratic Primary voters who live in the more Republican parts of the state -- the Ozarks and North Central MO. Obama leads in greater Kansas City. The two are tied in greater St. Louis. When all is totaled, it's Clinton 48%, Obama 44% today. One in four likely voters say they may change their mind. The contest could go either way. Because of the way the Democratic Party awards delegates, neither will be shut-out in the Show Me.

Research 2000 for the St Louis Post Dispatch
Date: 1/21-24
Missouri
Added: 1/26/08
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]

Quote:

Men Voters: Obama 38%, Clinton 33%, Edwards 21%, Kucinich 1%.

Female Voters: Clinton 55%, Obama 24%, Edwards 15%.

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/26
Missouri
Added: 1/26/08
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]

Quote:

The former First Lady is viewed favorably by 82% of those likely to vote. Obama earns positive reviews from 69%.

Eighty-three percent (83%) of Missouri�s Democratic Primary Voters believe Clinton is at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. That figure includes 51% who believe she is Very Likely to defeat a Republican challenger in November. Seventy-six percent (76%) believe that Obama would be at least somewhat likely to emerge victorious in the general election.

Recent polling shows both Clinton and Obama leading the top three Republican candidates-- Romney, McCain, and Huckabee.

Clinton leads Obama nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll,

Obama has a large and growing lead in Saturday�s South Carolina Primary and in neighboring Georgia which votes on Super Tuesday. Clinton leads in Florida, California, New York, and New Jersey.

In Missouri, 89% of Democratic Primary Voters consider the economy to be a Very Important issue. Eighty-five percent (85%) say the same about Health Care while 71% see Government Ethics and Corruption as that high a priority. Sixty-one percent (61%) see the War in Iraq as that important.

Republican Polls

McClatchy/MSNBC / Mason Dixon
Date: 1/30-2/1
Missouri
Est. MoE = 4.7% [?]

Quote:

McCain has a solid lead among security and economy voters, and splits the evangelical vote with Huckabee.

Moral and family issues top the agenda for Republican primary voters here � the only one where they did � and those voters go for Huckabee by a big margin.

"Huckabee is a factor here," said Coker. "He's the former governor of a state that's geographically and politically similar. Southwest Missouri and northeast Arkansas are very similar." That helps McCain, Coker said, because "Huckabee will hold Romney's vote down."

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/31
Missouri
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Quote:

Just 57% of Likely Primary Voters are �certain� they have settled on their final choice for Tuesday�s election and 10% say there�s a �good chance� they could change their mind.

McCain is seen as the most electable�65% believe he would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. Sixty percent (60%) say the same about Romney while just 46% have such confidence in a Huckabee campaign.

Survey USA
Date: 1/30-31
Missouri
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Quote:

Huckabee Very Much in the Missouri Mix; McCain Battles in Three-For-All: The outcome of Missouri's Winner-Take-All Republican Primary is impossible to know, 4 days to the vote, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KCTV-TV Kansas City and KSDK-TV St. Louis. John McCain is at 34%, Mitt Romney at 30%, Mike Huckabee at 28%, all three within the survey's 4.5 point margin of sampling error. Among men: tied. Among younger voters: tied. Among pro-life voters: tied. Among regular church goers: tied. Among white voters: tied. McCain has a clear advantage in greater St. Louis, has a slight advantage among women, among seniors, among Moderates, among those who attend church less frequently, among those focused on the Economy, and in greater Kansas City. Huckabee leads in the Ozarks. Romney and Huckabee tie in Central MO. Romney leads among voters focused on Immigration, Terrorism and Social Security. The relative size of regional turnout could decide the contest.

Research 2000 for the St Louis Post Dispatch
Date: 1/21-24
Missouri
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Quote:

Men Voters: McCain 34%, Huckabee 27%, Romney 19%, Giuliani 6%, Paul 8%, Thompson 1%, Undecided 5%.

Female Voters: McCain 28%, Huckabee 23%, Romney 23%, Giuliani 10%, Paul 4%, Thompson 1%, Undecided 11%.

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/26
Missouri
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Quote:

Huckabee's support is a bit more solid than McCain�s. Among those who currently support the former Arkansas Governor, 63% are �certain� they will vote for him on election day. Just 56% of McCain�s supporters are that certain. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Romney supporters say the same about their candidate.

Mike Huckabee is viewed favorably by 70% of Likely Republican Primary Voters while 67% offer such a positive assessment of McCain. Giuliani gets favorable reviews from 60% while Romney�s favorable ratings are at 58%. Ron Paul is viewed favorably by just 24%.

On the question of electability, John McCain clearly comes out on top in Missouri. Seventy-one percent (71%) believe that he would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated by the GOP. Just 56% are that confident about Romney�s prospects, 54% believe Huckabee would have a chance and 53% say Giuliani would have a chance to win it all. Just 11% believe Paul would be even somewhat likely to win if nominated.

Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Missouri�s Likely Republican Primary Voters believe the War on Terror is a Very Important voting issue. Seventy-three percent (73%) say the same about Government Ethics and Corruption while 71% consider the Economy a Very Important voting issue. Sixty-five percent (65%) see the War on Iraq as that important while 60% see Immigration as Very Important.

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Missouri polls.

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