2008 State Polls

Democrat Polls

Mason Dixon
Date: 10/28-29
Missouri
Added: 11/2/08

American Research Group
Date: 10/28-30
Missouri
Added: 10/31/08

Insider Advantage for Politico
Date: 10/29
Missouri
Added: 10/31/08

Quote:

In Missouri�s St. Louis County, which includes the St. Louis suburbs but not the city itself, Obama racked up an imposing 17-point lead � similar to his wide lead in politically competitive Wake County. The Illinois senator took 55 percent of the vote in St. Louis County, compared with 38 percent for McCain.

McCain�s ability to break even against Obama in these two states, despite the Democrat�s strong performance in suburban and urban areas suggests that the Arizona senator is drawing strong support from the less densely populated areas in these states, said InsiderAdvantage pollster Matt Towery.

CNN TIME
Date: 10/23-28
Missouri
Added: 10/30/08

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/26
Missouri
Added: 10/28/08

Quote:

The race is essentially tied among unaffiliated voters in Missouri. Last week, Obama held a fourteen-point lead among those voters. However, last week�s survey was conducted the day after Obama held two massive rallies in the state.

Men favor McCain by a 48% to 47% margin, while women choose Obama 49% to 46%.

White voters choose McCain 52% to 43%, while Obama leads 88% to 9% among all other voters in Missouri (see full demographic crosstabs).

McCain is viewed favorably by 57% of Missouri voters and unfavorably by 40%. Obama�s ratings are 53% favorable, 47% unfavorable.

Reuters Zogby
Date: 10/23-26
Missouri
Added: 10/27/08

Quote:

Obama's 20-point leads in the St. Louis and Kansas City areas are balanced by similar McCain margins in the rest of the state. McCain leads with whites by 11 and those over 65 by 10. Obama counters with a 12-point advantage with Independents and by three with Catholics.

Survey USA
Date: 10/25-26
Missouri
Added: 10/27/08

Quote:

Missouri Whipsaws: In an election for President of the United States in Missouri today, 10/27/08, eight days until votes are counted, Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama tie, 48% each, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KMOX-Radio in St Louis and KCTV-TV in Kansas City. A week ago, Obama led. No more. McCain made week-on-week inroads among men, among whites, and among voters younger than Barack Obama. Today, McCain leads by 18 among gun owners. Obama leads by 25 among those who do not own a gun. Nine research firms are polling in Missouri. Five show McCain ahead, though by 3 or fewer points. Two show Obama ahead, by 5 and 2 points. Two, including now SurveyUSA, show Missouri tied. For this poll, 800 Missouri adults were interviewed 10/25/08 and 10/26/08. Of them, 759 were registered to vote. Of them, 672 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before election day. Democrat Jay Nixon continues to be a prohibitive favorite to win the Missouri Governor's election, a pick-up for the Democrats. Incumbent Republican Matt Blunt is not seeking re-election.

Mason Dixon for NBC
Date: 10/22-23
Missouri
Added: 10/26/08

Research 2000 for Post Dispatch
Date: 10/20-22
Missouri
Added: 10/26/08

Quote:

When it comes to the nation's troubled economy, Missouri's likely voters put greater trust in Democrat Barack Obama than Republican John McCain.

That, in a nutshell, appears to be why Obama's standing in this battleground state has improved since last summer � and why, less than two weeks before the Nov. 4 election, Obama is locked in a too-close-to-call presidential contest with McCain, a new poll shows.

"The economy is driving the presidential race, no question about it,'' said Del Ali, head of Research 2000, which conducted the polls in Missouri and Illinois for the Post-Dispatch and KMOV-TV (Channel 4).

Rasmussen Reports for FOX News
Date: 10/19
Missouri
Added: 10/20/08

Quote:

Men in Missouri favor Obama by a 48% to 45% margin, while women favor the Democrat, 50% to 43%. McCain still has an edge among white voters in the state, 48% to 45%, while Obama has a dominant lead among non-white voters.

McCain also holds the advantage among voters age 40 and over, while Obama has a strong lead among voters younger than 40.

Both candidates are viewed favorably by 55% and unfavorably by 43%.

Both candidates have promised to bring major changes to Washington, but voters in Missouri trust Obama�s word slightly more than McCain�s. Forty-percent (40%) believe Obama is the only candidate who can bring real change to the Capitol, while just 27% say that about McCain. Another 18% believe both candidates have the potential to do so, while 12% say neither can.

Obama has pulled ahead of McCain in Missouri in terms of voter trust. Voters now trust the democrat more by a 47% to 46% margin. A week ago, McCain had a two-point advantage on this question.

On the top issue of the economy, voters in Missouri now trust Obama more than McCain, 50% to 43%. Obama�s advantage on the issue has decreased slightly since last week. When it comes to national security and the War on Terrorism, McCain still leads, 51% to 44%.

Over a third (34%) of Missouri voters say they would be extremely comfortable with Obama in the White House, up a point from last week. However, the percentage of voters who would not be comfortable at all with an Obama presidency rose from 37% a week ago to 39%. Voters are split on the democrat�s experience, with 46% who say he has the right experience to be president and 47% who say he does not.

Suffolk University
Date: 10/17-19
Missouri
Added: 10/20/08

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/15
Missouri
Added: 10/17/08

Quote:

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters in Missouri blame the Bush Administration for the economic crisis, 27% blame Congress, and 11% point to the Clinton Administration. Some look beyond the political realm-12% say Wall Street is to blame while 7% say the American people are at fault.

Only 22% agree with the rescue plan passed by Congress while 52% disagree. Only 33% say that plan will help the economy. Twenty-three percent (23%) believe it will hurt and 25% believe the $700 billion taxpayer investment will have no impact.

Fifty-one percent (51%) believe that raising taxes on those who earn more than $250,000 a year will be good for the economy. Thirty-one percent (31%) believe such a tax hike would hurt.

On other matters, 86% believe that English should be spoken at all government meetings in Missouri.

CNN/TIME
Date: 10/11-14
Missouri
Added: 10/15/08

Quote:

Missouri, which Bush won in the past two presidential contests, the new poll suggests it's basically a dead heat, with McCain holding a one-point advantage over Obama, 49 percent to 48 percent.

Rasmussen Reports for FOX News
Date: 10/12
Missouri
Added: 10/14/08

Quote:

In Missouri, the results are unchanged from a week ago�Obama 50%, McCain 47%. A month ago, before Wall Street�s financial problems became visible on Main Street, McCain was up by five points in Missouri.

Survey USA
Date: 10/11-12
Missouri
Added: 10/13/08

Quote:

In Missouri, John McCain's Lead Among White Voters Has Evaporated: In an election for President of the United States in battleground Missouri today, 10/13/08, three weeks until votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama has momentum and a meaningful advantage in SurveyUSA's latest tracking poll, conducted for KMOX radio in St Louis and KCTV-TV in Kansas City. The contest in Missouri has swung 10-points to Obama since SurveyUSA's last track point, 3 weeks ago. Then, McCain led by 2. Today, Obama leads, 51% to 43%. Among white voters, McCain had led by 11. Today, tied. There is movement among men, where McCain had led, now trails; among women, where McCain had been tied, now trails; among higher-income voters, where McCain had led, now trails; and among Independents, where McCain had led, now trails. In greater St. Louis, Obama had led by 5, now by 22. In greater Kansas City, Obama had led by 16, now by 31. George W. Bush carried Missouri by 7 points in 2004, and by 3.5 points in 2000. The state has 11 electoral votes, which are critical to any Republican who seeks the White House.

American Research Group
Date: 10/4-6
Missouri
Added: 10/9/08

Rasmussen Reports for FOX News
Date: 10/5
Missouri
Added: 10/6/08

Quote:

McCain is currently viewed favorably by 56% of Missouri voters, Obama by 55%. Those numbers reflect a two-point decline for McCain over the past month and a two-point gain for Obama.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters in Missouri say they trust Obama more on economic issues while 46% place their trust in McCain. The economy is the top issue for 49% of the state�s voters.

National security ranks a distant second and is the top issue for just 20% of Missouri voters. John McCain is trusted more than Obama on this topic.

Forty-four percent (44%) of Missouri voters would be extremely or very comfortable with Obama as President. Forty percent (40%) say the same about McCain.

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Missouri polls.

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