Democrat Polls
Research 2000 for DailyKos.com
Date: 10/28-30
Montana
Added: 10/31/08
Quote: Not much change, and no early voting numbers to report. Montana Democrats will have to win this thing on the ground. They might get a healthy assist from Democratic Gov. Brian Schweitzer, who is cruising to an easy 58-40 victory, pretty much unchanged from the 57-40 margin two weeks ago.
American Research Group
Date: 10/28-30
Montana
Added: 10/31/08
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/29
Montana
Added: 10/31/08
Quote: Overall, two percent of the state�s voters are committed to voting for a third party candidate while two percent remain undecided. If the election is perceived as being very close, most of those who currently lean in McCain�s direction would be likely to vote for the Republican candidate. However, the more it seems like Obama is going to win, the more likely it is that some of these voters will decide to file a protest vote. At the beginning of October, McCain had an eight-point lead in Montana. In September, he was up by eleven. Noticing the trend, groups affiliated with the Republican National Committee have started advertising in the state. Earlier, that step was considered unnecessary. McCain is now viewed favorably by 53% of Montana voters, down three points from a month ago and down seven points from two months ago. Obama earns positive reviews from 49% of Montana voters, a figure that has changed little since September. Ninety-one percent (91%) of Republicans plan to vote for McCain, including 7% who might vote for a third-party option. McCain also is supported by 53% of unaffiliated voters, including 10% who are considering a third-party option. Obama earns the vote from 93% of Democrats. Men are far more likely than women to consider voting third party instead of McCain.
Mason Dixon for NBC
Date: 10/23-25
Montana
Added: 10/28/08
Montana State University
Date: 10/16-20
Montana
Added: 10/24/08
Quote: Ron Paul got 4% support. McCain�s supporters consisted of 66% Republicans, 29% independents, 3.1% Democrats and 1.9% of those undecided about their partisanship. Obama�s voters were 60.5% Democrat, 36.7% independents, 2.3% Republicans, and .6% of those undecided about their partisanship. Ron Paul�s voters were 70.6% independents, 11.8% Republicans, 0% Democrats and 17.6% of the voters undecided about their partisanship. A majority (60.9%) of McCain�s voters were pro-life, while a majority (76.3%) of Obama backers and plurality (41.2%) of Paul supporters were pro-choice. A majority (54.3%) of those planning on voting for McCain rated religion a �5� in their lives, while a plurality (35%) of Obama supporters gave this same response. A majority (51%) of women backed Obama, a plurality (47.9%) of men McCain. More women (10.1%) than men (7.4%) were undecided regarding their vote. Age was not related to vote intention.
Research 2000 for DailyKos.com
Date: 10/15-16
Montana
Added: 10/20/08
Quote: We're seeing similar movement as in North Dakota. Polling 9/16-17, R2K spotted McCain a 53-40 lead. Last week, that had closed to 45-45. I'm polling South Dakota this coming week, to see if these trends are bleeding into neighboring states. Obama's surge in Montana come from an eight-point gain among Democrats, a four-point gain with Republicans, and a 14-point gain with independents. Unlike North Dakota, the Obama campaign never went dark here. It's an inexpensive state, and Obama has had ads running in heavy rotation. Like North Dakota, Montana's three electoral votes won't be the margin between victory and defeat. If he wins Montana, he will be well over 300 EVs. But it'll be more evidence that conservatism has few strongholds left, that even states that went Bush by 19 points in 2004 are in reach, and that the dramatic political realignment in many parts of the Mountain West remains on track. And to rub salt in the GOP's wounds, it would be REALLY nice to take some of that big, empty space on the map and turn it Blue. Here's my dream map:
American Research Group
Date: 10/6-8
Montana
Added: 10/9/08
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/1
Montana
Added: 10/3/08
Quote: As for the running mates, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin is viewed favorably by 56% of Montana voters while 48% say the same of Delaware Senator Joseph Biden. The economy is the top issue in Montana as it is throughout the nation. Just 14% believe the economy is in good or excellent shape while 52% rate the nation�s economy as poor. Six percent (6%) of Montana voters say the economy is getting better while 77% say it is getting worse. Forty-eight percent (48%) of Montana voters say they trust McCain more than Obama on economic issues while 43% hold the opposite view. McCain has a larger advantage on national security issues. Montana has voted for a Republican candidate in nine of the last 10 presidential elections, but Obama had made clear his intention to compete for the state�s three Electoral College votes. The candidate himself spent the Fourth of July in Butte, Montana, and his campaign ran significant television advertising in the state.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Montana polls.
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