Democrat Polls
Zogby Interactive 50 State Poll
Date: 6/11-30
Nevada
Added: 8/9/08
Quote: . "McCain has widened his lead and seems to have gained a bit of an upper hand in Nevada," said Brad Coker, managing partner of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., the Washington, D.C.-based firm that conducted the poll for the Review-Journal, the Denver Post and the Salt Lake Tribune. "It's still early and there's a lot that is going to happen (before the election in November), but coming out of the gate McCain is in the lead." A Review-Journal poll in June found a closer result, with McCain up 44 percent to 42 percent and 14 percent undecided, a statistical tie that most other polls in the state, considered an electoral toss-up, have reflected. Both campaigns have targeted Nevada as a key state with television ads and campaign organizing. In the wider Western region, Democrats see political opportunity in changing demographics, increasing urbanization, and the strain of frontier-style, independent thinking that runs through the Intermountain West. Of those surveyed, 51 percent had a favorable view and 44 percent had an unfavorable view of McCain, while 52 percent had a favorable and 40 percent had an unfavorable view of Obama. And as Washoe County Democrats have been saying for months now, Northern Nevada could tip the balance in the race, where it is a veritable tie. McCain has a 1-point lead in Washoe County. Obama is leading by 7 points in Clark County. The results indicate that McCain's full-on television assault over the past month has done little to erode Obama's standing. However, it's also relevant to point out Obama visited the state a day before the survey began. Nevada is one of three southwestern states targeted by the Obama campaign. Like New Mexico and Colorado, it went narrowly for President Bush four years ago. McCain is now viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Nevada, down two points from a month ago. Obama currently gets positive reviews from 47% of the state�s voters, down five points from July. As always in this election season, opinions about Obama are more firmly established. He is viewed Very Favorably by 30% and Very Unfavorably by 35%. For McCain, the numbers are 20% Very Favorable and 21% Very Unfavorable. McCain is now supported by 85% of Republicans, up nine percentage points from a month ago. Obama currently attracts 79% support from Democrats, unchanged over the past month. Unaffiliated voters are evenly divided. Consistent with the views of voters across the nation, 55% of Nevada voters believe most reporters are trying to help Barack Obama win the election. Just 9% believe they are trying to help McCain while 24% say most reporters try to offer unbiased coverage. A recent survey found that most voters believe media bias is a bigger problem than big campaign donors. Individual polls can sometimes overstate volatility in a race, especial when the results have a four-and-a-half percentage point margin of sampling error. One way of addressing this is to look at a rolling average of three consecutive polls. Using this approach, McCain leads Obama by a statistically insignificant 43% to 42% margin. A month ago, McCain led by three points in the three-poll average. Men: Obama 34, McCain 42. Women: Obama 42, McCain 35.
Survey USA
Date: 6/20/08
Nevada
Added: 6/20/08
Quote: . "McCain has widened his lead and seems to have gained a bit of an upper hand in Nevada," said Brad Coker, managing partner of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., the Washington, D.C.-based firm that conducted the poll for the Review-Journal, the Denver Post and the Salt Lake Tribune. "It's still early and there's a lot that is going to happen (before the election in November), but coming out of the gate McCain is in the lead." A Review-Journal poll in June found a closer result, with McCain up 44 percent to 42 percent and 14 percent undecided, a statistical tie that most other polls in the state, considered an electoral toss-up, have reflected. Both campaigns have targeted Nevada as a key state with television ads and campaign organizing. In the wider Western region, Democrats see political opportunity in changing demographics, increasing urbanization, and the strain of frontier-style, independent thinking that runs through the Intermountain West. Of those surveyed, 51 percent had a favorable view and 44 percent had an unfavorable view of McCain, while 52 percent had a favorable and 40 percent had an unfavorable view of Obama. And as Washoe County Democrats have been saying for months now, Northern Nevada could tip the balance in the race, where it is a veritable tie. McCain has a 1-point lead in Washoe County. Obama is leading by 7 points in Clark County. The results indicate that McCain's full-on television assault over the past month has done little to erode Obama's standing. However, it's also relevant to point out Obama visited the state a day before the survey began. Nevada is one of three southwestern states targeted by the Obama campaign. Like New Mexico and Colorado, it went narrowly for President Bush four years ago. McCain is now viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Nevada, down two points from a month ago. Obama currently gets positive reviews from 47% of the state�s voters, down five points from July. As always in this election season, opinions about Obama are more firmly established. He is viewed Very Favorably by 30% and Very Unfavorably by 35%. For McCain, the numbers are 20% Very Favorable and 21% Very Unfavorable. McCain is now supported by 85% of Republicans, up nine percentage points from a month ago. Obama currently attracts 79% support from Democrats, unchanged over the past month. Unaffiliated voters are evenly divided. Consistent with the views of voters across the nation, 55% of Nevada voters believe most reporters are trying to help Barack Obama win the election. Just 9% believe they are trying to help McCain while 24% say most reporters try to offer unbiased coverage. A recent survey found that most voters believe media bias is a bigger problem than big campaign donors. Individual polls can sometimes overstate volatility in a race, especial when the results have a four-and-a-half percentage point margin of sampling error. One way of addressing this is to look at a rolling average of three consecutive polls. Using this approach, McCain leads Obama by a statistically insignificant 43% to 42% margin. A month ago, McCain led by three points in the three-poll average. Men: Obama 34, McCain 42. Women: Obama 42, McCain 35. In Nevada, Barack Obama has a two-point edge over John McCain according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey. It�s Obama 42% and McCain 40%. When �leaners� are included, Obama is on top 47% to 45%. Nevada is one of three southwestern states targeted by the Obama campaign. Like New Mexico and Colorado, it went narrowly for President Bush four years ago. While the presumptive Democratic nominee�s lead in Nevada is statistically insignificant, it represents quite a change from the last three polls. In each of those, McCain held the advantage by margins ranging from three to six points. A month ago, it was McCain 45%, Obama 42%. Two months ago, McCain had a six point lead and three months ago the GOP hopeful was up by five. McCain now leads among men by ten but trails by twelve among women. He retains a seventeen point lead among unaffiliated voters. Obama currently attracts 79% support from Democrats in the state. That�s up five points from a month ago and up fourteen points from two months ago when Clinton was still in the race. McCain wins the vote from 76% of Republicans, little changed from a month ago. Both candidates gained five percentage points in support when leaners are included in the totals. Most of Obama�s increase came from Democrats leaning in his direction. Most of McCain�s increase came from unaffiliated voters. Individual polls can sometimes overstate volatility in a race, especial when the results have a four-and-a-half percentage point margin of sampling error. One way of addressing this is to look at a rolling average of three consecutive polls. Using this approach, McCain leads Obama 44% to 41%. A month ago, McCain led by four points in the three-poll average. .
Las Vegas Review Journal poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Date: 6/15/08
Nevada
Added: 6/15/08
Quote: . "McCain has widened his lead and seems to have gained a bit of an upper hand in Nevada," said Brad Coker, managing partner of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc., the Washington, D.C.-based firm that conducted the poll for the Review-Journal, the Denver Post and the Salt Lake Tribune. "It's still early and there's a lot that is going to happen (before the election in November), but coming out of the gate McCain is in the lead." A Review-Journal poll in June found a closer result, with McCain up 44 percent to 42 percent and 14 percent undecided, a statistical tie that most other polls in the state, considered an electoral toss-up, have reflected. Both campaigns have targeted Nevada as a key state with television ads and campaign organizing. In the wider Western region, Democrats see political opportunity in changing demographics, increasing urbanization, and the strain of frontier-style, independent thinking that runs through the Intermountain West. Of those surveyed, 51 percent had a favorable view and 44 percent had an unfavorable view of McCain, while 52 percent had a favorable and 40 percent had an unfavorable view of Obama. And as Washoe County Democrats have been saying for months now, Northern Nevada could tip the balance in the race, where it is a veritable tie. McCain has a 1-point lead in Washoe County. Obama is leading by 7 points in Clark County. The results indicate that McCain's full-on television assault over the past month has done little to erode Obama's standing. However, it's also relevant to point out Obama visited the state a day before the survey began. Nevada is one of three southwestern states targeted by the Obama campaign. Like New Mexico and Colorado, it went narrowly for President Bush four years ago. McCain is now viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Nevada, down two points from a month ago. Obama currently gets positive reviews from 47% of the state�s voters, down five points from July. As always in this election season, opinions about Obama are more firmly established. He is viewed Very Favorably by 30% and Very Unfavorably by 35%. For McCain, the numbers are 20% Very Favorable and 21% Very Unfavorable. McCain is now supported by 85% of Republicans, up nine percentage points from a month ago. Obama currently attracts 79% support from Democrats, unchanged over the past month. Unaffiliated voters are evenly divided. Consistent with the views of voters across the nation, 55% of Nevada voters believe most reporters are trying to help Barack Obama win the election. Just 9% believe they are trying to help McCain while 24% say most reporters try to offer unbiased coverage. A recent survey found that most voters believe media bias is a bigger problem than big campaign donors. Individual polls can sometimes overstate volatility in a race, especial when the results have a four-and-a-half percentage point margin of sampling error. One way of addressing this is to look at a rolling average of three consecutive polls. Using this approach, McCain leads Obama by a statistically insignificant 43% to 42% margin. A month ago, McCain led by three points in the three-poll average. Men: Obama 34, McCain 42. Women: Obama 42, McCain 35. In Nevada, Barack Obama has a two-point edge over John McCain according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey. It�s Obama 42% and McCain 40%. When �leaners� are included, Obama is on top 47% to 45%. Nevada is one of three southwestern states targeted by the Obama campaign. Like New Mexico and Colorado, it went narrowly for President Bush four years ago. While the presumptive Democratic nominee�s lead in Nevada is statistically insignificant, it represents quite a change from the last three polls. In each of those, McCain held the advantage by margins ranging from three to six points. A month ago, it was McCain 45%, Obama 42%. Two months ago, McCain had a six point lead and three months ago the GOP hopeful was up by five. McCain now leads among men by ten but trails by twelve among women. He retains a seventeen point lead among unaffiliated voters. Obama currently attracts 79% support from Democrats in the state. That�s up five points from a month ago and up fourteen points from two months ago when Clinton was still in the race. McCain wins the vote from 76% of Republicans, little changed from a month ago. Both candidates gained five percentage points in support when leaners are included in the totals. Most of Obama�s increase came from Democrats leaning in his direction. Most of McCain�s increase came from unaffiliated voters. Individual polls can sometimes overstate volatility in a race, especial when the results have a four-and-a-half percentage point margin of sampling error. One way of addressing this is to look at a rolling average of three consecutive polls. Using this approach, McCain leads Obama 44% to 41%. A month ago, McCain led by four points in the three-poll average. . . . . . . .
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Nevada polls.
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