2008 State Polls

Democrat Polls

UNH for WMUR
Date: 10/29-31
New Hampshire
Added: 11/1/08

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/30
New Hampshire
Added: 10/31/08

Quote:

Barack Obama has now stretched his lead over John McCain in New Hampshire to seven points, 51% to 44%, in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state. One percent (1%) support a third-party candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided.

A week ago Obama had a four-point lead in the Granite State after leading by 10 at the beginning of the month.

Obama has a 14-point lead among unaffiliated voters going into the final days of the campaign. He has a 19-point lead among female voters but trails by three among men.

The Democrat leads by three points among married voters and by 17 among those who are not married (see crosstabs).

Democrat John Kerry won New Hampshire in 2004, after George W. Bush carried it four years earlier. Bill Clinton won the state in 1992 and 1996.

American Research Group
Date: 10/28-30
New Hampshire
Added: 10/31/08

Strategic Vision
Date: 10/27-29
New Hampshire
Added: 10/31/08

Quote:

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 54% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 8%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 37% Undecided 14%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 55% Unfavorable 35% Undecided 10%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 47% Unfavorable 40% Undecided 13%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43% Undecided 7%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 48% Barack Obama 41% Undecided 11%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 18% Disapprove 75% Undecided 7%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy? Approve 14% Disapprove 76% Undecided 10%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq? Approve 34% Disapprove 62% Undecided 4%

Concord Monitor
Date: 10/28-30
New Hampshire
Added: 10/31/08

Quote:

Heading into the final weekend of the campaign, Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama continues to lead Republican John McCain in New Hampshire, according to a Concord Monitor poll. The race is not over, however, because of the number of voters saying they may change their mind.

As he did 11 days ago, Obama leads by 7 points among likely voters asked whom they expect to vote for in Tuesday's election. With Obama at 51 percent and McCain at 44 percent, each candidate has gained 1 point since the last poll.

Those expressing a preference were asked if their choice was firm or whether they could still change their mind. In all, about 48 percent of those surveyed said they were firmly behind Obama and about 43 percent said they were firmly behind McCain. With the rest of those surveyed either leaning toward another candidate or unsure of their preference, the poll suggests Tuesday's outcome remains in doubt.

In the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Republican John Sununu continues to trail former Democratic governor Jeanne Shaheen in their rematch of the 2002 election. Again, though, enough voters said their minds are not made up to cast doubt on the outcome. In addition, almost all the interviews for this poll were conducted before last night�s televised debate between these candidates.

Overall, the poll found, Shaheen leads Sununu, 52 percent to 42 percent, with Libertarian Ken Blevens at 2 percent. About 48 percent of those surveyed said they were firmly behind Shaheen, up from 43 percent in the last poll. About 39 percent said they were firmly behind Sununu, the same percentage as in the last poll.

Survey USA
Date: 10/29-30
New Hampshire
Added: 10/31/08

Quote:

In New Hampshire, Obama Poised To Out-Perform Every Democratic Presidential Candidate since Lyndon Johnson in 1964: Fiercely independent New Hampshire, which was expected to be a 2008 battleground, is poised today to award Democrat Barack Obama a larger share of the presidential vote than it has given any Democrat since Lyndon Johnson in 1964, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WBZ-TV in Boston. Four days until votes are counted, Obama defeats John McCain 53% to 42%%. New Hampshire voted Republican in 1968, 1972, 1976, 1980, 1984, 1988 and 2000. New Hampshire voted Democrat in 1992, 1996 and 2004, but no Democrat running for President in New Hampshire has received more than 50% of the vote in the past 44 years. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 3 weeks ago, Obama is flat, McCain is up 2.

Suffolk University
Date: 10/27-29
New Hampshire
Added: 10/31/08

Associated Press GFK
Date: 10/22-26
New Hampshire
Added: 10/29/08

Mason Dixon for NBC
Date: 10/23-25
New Hampshire
Added: 10/28/08

WMUR UNH
Date: 10/25-27
New Hampshire
Added: 10/28/08

Quote:

Barack Obama has widened his lead over John McCain in the race for President in New Hampshire. More than half of likely voters, 58%, say they plan to vote for Obama, 33% favor McCain, 2% prefer some other candidate, and 6% are undecided.

Obama has also widened his lead among independent voters in New Hampshire � 54% of political independents say they favor Obama, 26% favor McCain, 4% prefer some other candidate, and 16% are undecided.

The most important issue in the presidential campaign to New Hampshire voters are jobs and the economy (45%), the war in Iraq (10%), the campaign against terrorism (8%), the recent stock market crash (7%), and health care (7%). Economic concerns have topped the list of important issues to New Hampshire voters since mid-summer.

Marist College
Date: 10/22-23
New Hampshire
Added: 10/27/08

Quote:

Candidates Locked in Tight Race�Obama Edges McCain Among Likely Voters: With just eight days until Election Day, Senator Barack Obama and Senator John McCain are in a close contest for New Hampshire�s four electoral votes. Among registered voters in New Hampshire, Obama has 47% to 43% for McCain. Neither candidate has made significant inroads in the Granite State in the past month. In a Marist Poll conducted in September, Obama had 48% among registered voters to McCain�s 45%. Currently, Senator Barack Obama has a narrow lead over McCain among likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Obama receives 50% to McCain�s 45% among these voters. Once again, however, neither candidate has statistically gained nor lost ground in the state. In last month�s Marist Poll, the results were similar. 51% of likely voters said they supported Obama while McCain had the backing of 45%. Looking at party support, each candidate�s base remains solid. 93% of Democrats are behind Obama while 90% of Republicans are backing John McCain. Among Independent likely voters, 51% support Barack Obama compared with 39% for McCain. Last month, 54% of Independents likely to vote on Election Day supported Obama and 38% backed McCain.

UNH for Boston Globe
Date: 10/18-22
New Hampshire
Added: 10/26/08

Quote:

"McCain certainly has his back to the wall in New Hampshire," said Andrew Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, which conducted the poll. "The economic crisis in September and October has changed the mood of voters in New Hampshire, who are now solidly backing Obama as the candidate best able to deal with economic issues."

The poll also found that the Arizona senator is being dragged down by a deeply troubled Bush administration, an increasingly unpopular running mate, Sarah Palin, and the perceived negativity of his campaign. Three-quarters of those surveyed said Obama has the best chance to win, which Smith said could depress turnout for McCain.

Obama's edge in New Hampshire is fresh evidence that the state is shedding its identity as the last refuge for Yankee conservatives. The survey of 725 likely voters, conducted from Oct. 18 to Oct. 22, had Obama leading 54 to 39 percent, with 6 percent undecided and a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

In a sign of how all-important the economy has become in this election, Obama has seized a commanding lead even though voters saw McCain as better able to take on terrorism, nuclear proliferation, and Iraq.

10/7/08
Date:
New Hampshire
Added: 10/9/00

Quote:

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 New Hampshire polls.

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