2008 State Polls

Democrat Polls

St Anselm SRBI
Date: 9/25-30
New Hampshire
Added: 10/4/08

Quote:

When asked whom they plan to vote for on Nov. 4, 49 percent said Obama and 37 percent said McCain. Another 11 percent said they are undecided.

Among voters who cast their ballots for Sen. Hillary Clinton in the New Hampshire primary, 80 percent say they will vote for Obama in November.

Among those who say they will vote for Obama, 41 percent said McCain's chose of Sarah Palin as his running mate influenced their decision a lot or some. The poll said 22 percent of McCain voters say Democratic running mate Joe Biden influenced their decision a lot or some.

Strategic Vision
Date: 9/22-24
New Hampshire
Added: 9/26/08

Quote:

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 52% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 12%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 14%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 59% Unfavorable 29% Undecided 12%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 50% Unfavorable 35% Undecided 15%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama 48% John McCain 41% Undecided 11%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 47% Barack Obama 37% Undecided 16%

Zogby Interactive Survey
Date: 9/9-12
New Hampshire
Added: 9/26/08

Quote:

Still leans to McCain, but debates and Wall Street mess put New Hampshire very much up for grabs.

National Journal AllState
Date: 9/18-22
New Hampshire
Added: 9/25/08

Quote:

For the moment, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania look like better targets than Michigan for McCain. In a conference call with reporters on Wednesday, McCain's chief pollster, Bill McInturff, listed five blue states as Democratic territory where his candidate is competitive: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Of those five, he said that McCain's best pickup opportunities are New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 9/23
New Hampshire
Added: 9/24/08

Quote:

John McCain has gained ground for the third straight month and now holds a slight two-point advantage over Barack Obama in the swing state of New Hampshire.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Granite State finds McCain attracting 49% of the vote while Obama earns 47%. A month ago, it was Obama by a point.

At the moment, the presidential race in New Hampshire is a toss-up. Nationally, the race remains close in the Daily Presidential Tracking poll.

Seventy-four percent (74%) of Obama voters say they will vote with enthusiasm for their candidate, a feeling shared by 68% of McCain voters.

Twenty-six percent (26%) of McCain voters say they�re voting primarily against Obama while 20% of Obama voters are voting primarily against McCain.

McCain is now viewed favorably by 60% of New Hampshire voters, Obama by 54%. Those figures reflect a three-point improvement for McCain and a single-point decline for Obama.

Marist College
Date: 9/17-21
New Hampshire
Added: 9/24/08

Quote:

Candidates Locked in Tight Race�Obama with Edge Among Likely Voters: With New Hampshire�s 4 electoral votes on the line, Senator Barack Obama has the support of 48% to 45% for Senator John McCain among New Hampshire�s registered voters. However, factor in New Hampshire�s likely voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, and Barack Obama has a 6 percentage point edge over John McCain. Obama leads McCain 51% to 45%. There is a wide partisan divide among New Hampshire�s likely voters. 96% of the state�s likely Democratic voters say they support Obama while 87% of the state�s likely Republican voters say they back McCain. A majority of New Hampshire�s Independent voters -- 54% -- report they are behind Barack Obama.

Most Voters Strongly Support Their Candidate: Overall, 79% of New Hampshire�s registered voters say they strongly support their choice of candidate. When it comes to the level of commitment in each candidate�s camp, 77% of John McCain�s supporters say they are firmly behind him while Barack Obama enjoys the strong backing of 81% of his supporters. McCain and Obama are on equal footing when it comes to their supporters who might switch their vote at the polls. Just 4% of both McCain�s and Obama�s backers say they might change their minds.

Economic Crisis Plays Pivotal Role in Defining Campaign�s Focus: From Wall Street to Main Street, the economy is, once again, dominating the headlines. For New Hampshire�s registered voters, the economy is the key issue in this campaign. 46% say the economy is their top priority when choosing a candidate. The war in Iraq and security against terrorism also rank highly in the minds of New Hampshire�s registered voters. Each receives 10%. More of Obama�s backers, however, are concerned about the economy than are McCain�s supporters. 52% of voters aligned with Obama say it�s their main focus compared with 39% of voters standing with McCain. Security against terrorism is a hot button issue for 19% of McCain�s supporters while just 1% of voters for Obama view it as their top priority. For 16% of voters in the Obama camp, the war in Iraq is a major concern. 5% of McCain�s allies see it as the deciding issue in this election.

University of New Hampshire WMUR
Date: 9/14-21
New Hampshire
Added: 9/23/08

Quote:

Concentrating on the �horse race� provides a misleading depiction of the New Hampshire electorate. It is crucial to point out that many New Hampshire voters have not firmly decided who they will actually vote for in November. In order to investigate this, the Granite State Poll conducted an experiment in which half the sample of respondents were asked �Suppose the 2008 presidential election was being held today and the candidates were John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans and Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, who would you vote for?� and half were asked �Thinking about the presidential election in November, would you vote for Republicans John McCain and Sarah Palin � Democrats Barack Obama and Joe Biden � someone else � or haven�t you decided yet?�

While the closeness of the race is similar under both question wordings, a significantly higher percentage say they are undecided when asked about voting in November (20%) than they are if asked if the election were held today (8%).

Among voters who are initially undecided, 32% say they lean toward McCain, 21% lean toward Obama and 47% are still undecided.

Voters who were decided in their preference for President were asked a follow-up question which probed for how firm their choice was. Overall, 88% percent said they were firm in their choice and 12% said they could change their minds.

When combined, these questions reveal a more nuanced electorate. Currently, 38% of New Hampshire voters firmly support Obama, 5% support Obama but may change their minds, 3% are undecided but lean toward Obama. A similar pattern is seen for McCain � 37% of New Hampshire voters firmly support McCain, 5% support McCain, but may change their minds, and 5% are undecided but lean toward McCain.

American Research Group
Date: 9/13-15
New Hampshire
Added: 9/18/08

CNN/TIME Opinion Research Corp
Date: 9/7-9
New Hampshire
Added: 9/11/08

Quote:

The only polled state where [Barack Obama] wins the white vote is New Hampshire, where he leads McCain 51% to 44%. Among white women, a group that Palin has helped McCain appeal to, Obama trails McCain by double digits in all the polled states except New Hampshire.

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 New Hampshire polls.

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