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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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Democrat Polls

Monmouth Gannett
Date: 10/29-31
New Jersey
Added: 11/1/08

Quote:

There's "a huge enthusiasm gap between Democrats and Republicans," with about 80 percent of Democrats saying they're more enthusiastic than usual this year versus about half of the Republicans, he said.

U.S. Sen. Frank R. Lautenberg, D-N.J., also has a solid double-digit lead over Republican Dick Zimmer in their Senate race. Among likely voters, 50 percent of New Jersey registered voters planned to vote for Lautenberg versus 31 percent for Zimmer.

In the Senate race, "it's all coat-tails," Murray said.

Polls on Tuesday - Election Day - are open from 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.

Murray said "the economy isn't the top issue. It's the only issue and that's been true the past two weeks since the stock market tanked and the bail-out."

"Republican enthusiasm dropped off from just two weeks ago," he said. "I think they're sensing a big loss."

Typically, if it looks like someone will win big, many voters, especially on the winner's side, will stay home, according to Murray.

But "people who want to vote for Obama will go out and vote for Obama, no matter what they think his margin is going to be because they want to be a part of history," he said.

National polls show Obama ahead of McCain. Gallup's Nov. 1 poll showed a 10-point spread, with Obama at 52 percent to McCain's 42 percent among likely voters.

USAToday's review of state polls from across the country shows that as of last week, Obama was in a position to win more than enough states to top 270 electoral votes, the number required to become president.

Barack Obama55%
John McCain34%
Source


Fairleigh Dickinson University Public Mind
Date: 10/23-29
New Jersey
Added: 10/31/08

Quote:

The Fairleigh Dickinson University-PublicMind poll of likely voters released Friday gives Obama 53 percent to McCain's 35 percent.

The Democrat gets the support of 80 percent of voters under age 30, and 85 percent of those who voted for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary.

Two other polls this month also have Obama way ahead in New Jersey.

Barack Obama53%
John McCain35%
Source


Survey USA
Date: 10/29-30
New Jersey
Added: 10/31/08

Quote:

Democrats Obama, Lautenberg Win in Garden State: In an election for President of the United States in New Jersey today, 10/31/08, four days till votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 52% to 42%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted for WABC-TV New York and WCAU-TV Philadelphia. The findings are identical to a SurveyUSA poll 1 month ago. McCain leads 5:4 among NJ white voters; Obama leads 13:1 among NJ blacks. In the race for United States Senate, Incumbent Democrat Frank Lautenberg defeats Democrat Dick Zimmer 52% to 37%. In 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls, the Senate numbers have barely budged. Lautenberg served in the Senate from 1982 through 2000 and won election again in 2002. SurveyUSA interviewed 800 New Jersey adults 10/29/08 and 10/30/08. Of them, 735 were registered to vote; of the registered voters, 632 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election.
Barack Obama52%
John McCain42%
Unsure3%
Other3%
Source


Research 2000
Date: 10/26-28
New Jersey
Added: 10/30/00

Quote:

The September poll, taken two weeks after the Republican National Convention, found 47 percent of New Jersey voters had a favorable view of Palin, while only 28 percent had an unfavorable view.

This week's survey found Palin's favorable rating had dropped to 37 percent, while her unfavorable rating increased to 54 percent.

Eleven percent of voters said their impression of Palin changed after seeing comedian Tina Fey imitate the nominee on the NBC television program "Saturday Night Live," while 89 percent said Fey's imitation had no effect.

The percentage of voters saying McCain's selection of Palin was the biggest reason they would not vote for him increased from 2 percent to 10 percent.

Democratic vice presidential nominee Joe Biden, a senator from Delaware, saw virtually no change in his favorability rating. By a margin of 67 percent to 15 percent, voters said Biden was best prepared to take over as president if he had to do so.

The economy remains the No. 1 issue for voters going into this election, with 49 percent saying it was their top issue, up from 45 percent in September. That issue does not favor McCain, as the percentage citing his economic views as their biggest reason for opposing him increased from 8 percent to 18 percent.

Source


10/25/08
Date:
New Jersey
Added: 10/28/00

Quote:

Source


36%
Date:
New Jersey
Added: 10/28/00

Quote:

Source


Fairleigh Dickinson
Date: 9/29-10/5
New Jersey
Added: 10/8/08

Barack Obama50%
John McCain37%
Source


This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 New Jersey polls.


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