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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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Democrat Polls

Quinnipiac University Poll
Date: 5/22/08
Ohio
Added: 5/22/08

Quote:

Obama leads 51 - 37 percent among Ohio women, while McCain leads 50 - 37 percent with men. White voters back McCain 49 - 38 percent, but Obama sweeps black voters 89 - 3 percent. The Democrat also leads 51 - 41 percent among voters 18 to 34, while voters 35 to 54 split 43 - 43 percent and voters over 55 go 44 percent for McCain and 42 percent for Obama. Independent voters back Obama 42 - 38 percent.

McCain gets a 50 - 34 percent favorability in Ohio to Obama's 49 - 32 percent.

For 53 percent of Ohio voters, the economy is the biggest issue, while 16 percent cite the war in Iraq; 12 percent list health care and 8 percent say terrorism.

"The big question in Ohio is how much the gender gap will decide the election. Gender support for each candidate is a virtual mirror of the other. McCain is winning men by the same margin that Obama is carrying women. Something has to give one way or the other," Brown said. . Overall, 47% of Buckeye State voters offer a positive opinion of Obama. That�s fifteen points below the 62% with a favorable opinion of McCain.

In Ohio, McCain is supported by 87% of Republicans while 77% of Democrats say they�ll vote for Obama. The two men split the unaffiliated voters, but McCain wins more crossover vote: 15% of Democrats say they�ll vote for the Republican while just 7% of GOP faithful plan to vote for his opponent.

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of Ohio voters say it�s Very Likely their state will be the decisive state in the battle for the White House once again. Another 47% say it�s Somewhat Likely. Twelve percent (12%) say this unique role in the Electoral College improves the quality of life in the Buckeye State. Twenty-two percent (22%) say it detracts from the quality of life while 59% say it has no impact.

Just 11% say it�s more important for the state's Democratic governor Ted Strickland to help Obama win Ohio, but 84% believe it�s more important that for him to work to improve Ohio�s economy. Approval ratings for Strickland have slipped in the last couple of months-42% good or excellent and just 16% poor. Two months ago, 47% rated Strickland�s performance as good or excellent. Last month, that figure was 44%. One factor causing Obama problems is that he�s not doing as good a job as McCain of getting folks in his party to vote for him. While McCain leads 89-7 among Republicans, Obama�s lead is a narrower 75-17 among Democrats. Obama has the 45-28 edge with independent voters.

The Democrats neglecting to choose Obama are disproportionately white, female, and middle aged, an indication that it could be former supporters of Hillary Clinton who are holding out.

�Ohio is one state, along with Pennsylvania and Michigan, where Barack Obama would probably be well served by some joint appearances with the Clintons,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Democrats have a party id advantage in Ohio but that won�t do much for them unless the voters in their party actually vote for their nominee.�

Obama leads with women and voters under 45 while McCain leads with men and older voters. McCain is up 49-38 with white voters and Obama is up 80-18 with blacks. Men: Obama 35, McCain 44. Women: Obama 50, McCain 32. Obama gets 47 percent of Ohio women likely voters, to McCain's 44 percent. Men split with 46 percent for Obama and 45 percent for McCain. White voters back McCain 49 - 42 percent, but Obama sweeps black voters 89 - 2 percent. The Democrat also leads 57 - 35 percent among voters 18 to 34 and 48 - 44 percent among voters 35 to 54, while McCain leads 48 - 41 percent among voters over 55.

In the First Lady matchup, Cindy McCain tops Michelle Obama 33 - 27 percent. Women split with 32 percent for McCain and 31 percent for Obama, while men prefer McCain 33 - 23 percent. Seven percent (7%) of voters say they�d prefer a third party candidate over either McCain or Obama and another 7% remain undecided.

When �leaners� are included in the totals, McCain leads Obama 52% to 42%.

McCain is now viewed favorably by 57%, little changed from a month ago. Obama gets favorable marks from 50% of the state�s voters, down three points from June but up three points since May.

Nationally, the candidates are very competitive in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

McCain is supported by 88% of Republicans and Obama earns the vote from 74% of Democrats. Both candidates gain three points from within their own party when leaners are included. However, McCain�s lead among unaffiliated voters jumps from a nine-point advantage without leaners to twenty-three points with leaners.

Among white Democrats in Ohio, Obama leads 71% to 21% (with leaners).

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Ohio voters believe most reporters are trying to help Obama win the election. Just 13% believe they are trying to help McCain and 21% think the journalists are attempting to present unbiased coverage. These figures are similar to the results of a national survey released yesterday.

Economic issues are most important to 49% of Ohio voters while national security concerns are the top priority for 24%. Obama has an eighteen point advantage among those most concerned with economic issues while McCain leads 79% to 21% among those who focus primarily on national security issues.

Sixty-four percent (64%) support offshore oil drilling while 22% are opposed. These figures are close to the national average. Fifty-four percent (54%) say reducing the price of gas and oil is more important than protecting the environment. Just 28% disagree and say protecting the environment is more important. A recent national survey showed that Al Gore�s proposals for clean energy are viewed by voters as unrealistic and costly. His lead in the state is 48-40, similar to the 50-39 edge he showed in PPP�s June poll.

Obama trails McCain 46-42 among white voters, but his 91-6 advantage with African Americans gives him the overall lead.

�Right now Barack Obama is in a pretty good position in Ohio,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �His standing with black voters is not surprising, but he is also doing unusually well with white voters in the state. Whether he can sustain that level of support or not will probably determine if he can take this state.�

The results show a significant gender gap, with Obama leading by 20 points among women but trailing by seven with men. Obama leads in all age groups except senior citizens. . .

John McCain44%
Barack Obama40%
Source


Quinnipiac University Poll
Date: 5/1/08
Ohio
Added: 5/1/08

Quote:

Obama leads 51 - 37 percent among Ohio women, while McCain leads 50 - 37 percent with men. White voters back McCain 49 - 38 percent, but Obama sweeps black voters 89 - 3 percent. The Democrat also leads 51 - 41 percent among voters 18 to 34, while voters 35 to 54 split 43 - 43 percent and voters over 55 go 44 percent for McCain and 42 percent for Obama. Independent voters back Obama 42 - 38 percent.

McCain gets a 50 - 34 percent favorability in Ohio to Obama's 49 - 32 percent.

For 53 percent of Ohio voters, the economy is the biggest issue, while 16 percent cite the war in Iraq; 12 percent list health care and 8 percent say terrorism.

"The big question in Ohio is how much the gender gap will decide the election. Gender support for each candidate is a virtual mirror of the other. McCain is winning men by the same margin that Obama is carrying women. Something has to give one way or the other," Brown said. . Overall, 47% of Buckeye State voters offer a positive opinion of Obama. That�s fifteen points below the 62% with a favorable opinion of McCain.

In Ohio, McCain is supported by 87% of Republicans while 77% of Democrats say they�ll vote for Obama. The two men split the unaffiliated voters, but McCain wins more crossover vote: 15% of Democrats say they�ll vote for the Republican while just 7% of GOP faithful plan to vote for his opponent.

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of Ohio voters say it�s Very Likely their state will be the decisive state in the battle for the White House once again. Another 47% say it�s Somewhat Likely. Twelve percent (12%) say this unique role in the Electoral College improves the quality of life in the Buckeye State. Twenty-two percent (22%) say it detracts from the quality of life while 59% say it has no impact.

Just 11% say it�s more important for the state's Democratic governor Ted Strickland to help Obama win Ohio, but 84% believe it�s more important that for him to work to improve Ohio�s economy. Approval ratings for Strickland have slipped in the last couple of months-42% good or excellent and just 16% poor. Two months ago, 47% rated Strickland�s performance as good or excellent. Last month, that figure was 44%. One factor causing Obama problems is that he�s not doing as good a job as McCain of getting folks in his party to vote for him. While McCain leads 89-7 among Republicans, Obama�s lead is a narrower 75-17 among Democrats. Obama has the 45-28 edge with independent voters.

The Democrats neglecting to choose Obama are disproportionately white, female, and middle aged, an indication that it could be former supporters of Hillary Clinton who are holding out.

�Ohio is one state, along with Pennsylvania and Michigan, where Barack Obama would probably be well served by some joint appearances with the Clintons,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Democrats have a party id advantage in Ohio but that won�t do much for them unless the voters in their party actually vote for their nominee.�

Obama leads with women and voters under 45 while McCain leads with men and older voters. McCain is up 49-38 with white voters and Obama is up 80-18 with blacks. Men: Obama 35, McCain 44. Women: Obama 50, McCain 32. Obama gets 47 percent of Ohio women likely voters, to McCain's 44 percent. Men split with 46 percent for Obama and 45 percent for McCain. White voters back McCain 49 - 42 percent, but Obama sweeps black voters 89 - 2 percent. The Democrat also leads 57 - 35 percent among voters 18 to 34 and 48 - 44 percent among voters 35 to 54, while McCain leads 48 - 41 percent among voters over 55.

In the First Lady matchup, Cindy McCain tops Michelle Obama 33 - 27 percent. Women split with 32 percent for McCain and 31 percent for Obama, while men prefer McCain 33 - 23 percent. Seven percent (7%) of voters say they�d prefer a third party candidate over either McCain or Obama and another 7% remain undecided.

When �leaners� are included in the totals, McCain leads Obama 52% to 42%.

McCain is now viewed favorably by 57%, little changed from a month ago. Obama gets favorable marks from 50% of the state�s voters, down three points from June but up three points since May.

Nationally, the candidates are very competitive in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

McCain is supported by 88% of Republicans and Obama earns the vote from 74% of Democrats. Both candidates gain three points from within their own party when leaners are included. However, McCain�s lead among unaffiliated voters jumps from a nine-point advantage without leaners to twenty-three points with leaners.

Among white Democrats in Ohio, Obama leads 71% to 21% (with leaners).

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Ohio voters believe most reporters are trying to help Obama win the election. Just 13% believe they are trying to help McCain and 21% think the journalists are attempting to present unbiased coverage. These figures are similar to the results of a national survey released yesterday.

Economic issues are most important to 49% of Ohio voters while national security concerns are the top priority for 24%. Obama has an eighteen point advantage among those most concerned with economic issues while McCain leads 79% to 21% among those who focus primarily on national security issues.

Sixty-four percent (64%) support offshore oil drilling while 22% are opposed. These figures are close to the national average. Fifty-four percent (54%) say reducing the price of gas and oil is more important than protecting the environment. Just 28% disagree and say protecting the environment is more important. A recent national survey showed that Al Gore�s proposals for clean energy are viewed by voters as unrealistic and costly. His lead in the state is 48-40, similar to the 50-39 edge he showed in PPP�s June poll.

Obama trails McCain 46-42 among white voters, but his 91-6 advantage with African Americans gives him the overall lead.

�Right now Barack Obama is in a pretty good position in Ohio,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �His standing with black voters is not surprising, but he is also doing unusually well with white voters in the state. Whether he can sustain that level of support or not will probably determine if he can take this state.�

The results show a significant gender gap, with Obama leading by 20 points among women but trailing by seven with men. Obama leads in all age groups except senior citizens. . . .

John McCain43%
Barack Obama42%
Source


Survey USA Poll
Date: 5/23/08
Ohio
Added: 5/23/08

Quote:

Obama leads 51 - 37 percent among Ohio women, while McCain leads 50 - 37 percent with men. White voters back McCain 49 - 38 percent, but Obama sweeps black voters 89 - 3 percent. The Democrat also leads 51 - 41 percent among voters 18 to 34, while voters 35 to 54 split 43 - 43 percent and voters over 55 go 44 percent for McCain and 42 percent for Obama. Independent voters back Obama 42 - 38 percent.

McCain gets a 50 - 34 percent favorability in Ohio to Obama's 49 - 32 percent.

For 53 percent of Ohio voters, the economy is the biggest issue, while 16 percent cite the war in Iraq; 12 percent list health care and 8 percent say terrorism.

"The big question in Ohio is how much the gender gap will decide the election. Gender support for each candidate is a virtual mirror of the other. McCain is winning men by the same margin that Obama is carrying women. Something has to give one way or the other," Brown said. . Overall, 47% of Buckeye State voters offer a positive opinion of Obama. That�s fifteen points below the 62% with a favorable opinion of McCain.

In Ohio, McCain is supported by 87% of Republicans while 77% of Democrats say they�ll vote for Obama. The two men split the unaffiliated voters, but McCain wins more crossover vote: 15% of Democrats say they�ll vote for the Republican while just 7% of GOP faithful plan to vote for his opponent.

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of Ohio voters say it�s Very Likely their state will be the decisive state in the battle for the White House once again. Another 47% say it�s Somewhat Likely. Twelve percent (12%) say this unique role in the Electoral College improves the quality of life in the Buckeye State. Twenty-two percent (22%) say it detracts from the quality of life while 59% say it has no impact.

Just 11% say it�s more important for the state's Democratic governor Ted Strickland to help Obama win Ohio, but 84% believe it�s more important that for him to work to improve Ohio�s economy. Approval ratings for Strickland have slipped in the last couple of months-42% good or excellent and just 16% poor. Two months ago, 47% rated Strickland�s performance as good or excellent. Last month, that figure was 44%. One factor causing Obama problems is that he�s not doing as good a job as McCain of getting folks in his party to vote for him. While McCain leads 89-7 among Republicans, Obama�s lead is a narrower 75-17 among Democrats. Obama has the 45-28 edge with independent voters.

The Democrats neglecting to choose Obama are disproportionately white, female, and middle aged, an indication that it could be former supporters of Hillary Clinton who are holding out.

�Ohio is one state, along with Pennsylvania and Michigan, where Barack Obama would probably be well served by some joint appearances with the Clintons,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Democrats have a party id advantage in Ohio but that won�t do much for them unless the voters in their party actually vote for their nominee.�

Obama leads with women and voters under 45 while McCain leads with men and older voters. McCain is up 49-38 with white voters and Obama is up 80-18 with blacks. Men: Obama 35, McCain 44. Women: Obama 50, McCain 32. Obama gets 47 percent of Ohio women likely voters, to McCain's 44 percent. Men split with 46 percent for Obama and 45 percent for McCain. White voters back McCain 49 - 42 percent, but Obama sweeps black voters 89 - 2 percent. The Democrat also leads 57 - 35 percent among voters 18 to 34 and 48 - 44 percent among voters 35 to 54, while McCain leads 48 - 41 percent among voters over 55.

In the First Lady matchup, Cindy McCain tops Michelle Obama 33 - 27 percent. Women split with 32 percent for McCain and 31 percent for Obama, while men prefer McCain 33 - 23 percent. Seven percent (7%) of voters say they�d prefer a third party candidate over either McCain or Obama and another 7% remain undecided.

When �leaners� are included in the totals, McCain leads Obama 52% to 42%.

McCain is now viewed favorably by 57%, little changed from a month ago. Obama gets favorable marks from 50% of the state�s voters, down three points from June but up three points since May.

Nationally, the candidates are very competitive in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

McCain is supported by 88% of Republicans and Obama earns the vote from 74% of Democrats. Both candidates gain three points from within their own party when leaners are included. However, McCain�s lead among unaffiliated voters jumps from a nine-point advantage without leaners to twenty-three points with leaners.

Among white Democrats in Ohio, Obama leads 71% to 21% (with leaners).

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Ohio voters believe most reporters are trying to help Obama win the election. Just 13% believe they are trying to help McCain and 21% think the journalists are attempting to present unbiased coverage. These figures are similar to the results of a national survey released yesterday.

Economic issues are most important to 49% of Ohio voters while national security concerns are the top priority for 24%. Obama has an eighteen point advantage among those most concerned with economic issues while McCain leads 79% to 21% among those who focus primarily on national security issues.

Sixty-four percent (64%) support offshore oil drilling while 22% are opposed. These figures are close to the national average. Fifty-four percent (54%) say reducing the price of gas and oil is more important than protecting the environment. Just 28% disagree and say protecting the environment is more important. A recent national survey showed that Al Gore�s proposals for clean energy are viewed by voters as unrealistic and costly. His lead in the state is 48-40, similar to the 50-39 edge he showed in PPP�s June poll.

Obama trails McCain 46-42 among white voters, but his 91-6 advantage with African Americans gives him the overall lead.

�Right now Barack Obama is in a pretty good position in Ohio,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �His standing with black voters is not surprising, but he is also doing unusually well with white voters in the state. Whether he can sustain that level of support or not will probably determine if he can take this state.�

The results show a significant gender gap, with Obama leading by 20 points among women but trailing by seven with men. Obama leads in all age groups except senior citizens. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Barack Obama48%
John McCain39%
Source


Rasmussen Reports
Date: 5/19/08
Ohio
Added: 5/19/08

Quote:

Obama leads 51 - 37 percent among Ohio women, while McCain leads 50 - 37 percent with men. White voters back McCain 49 - 38 percent, but Obama sweeps black voters 89 - 3 percent. The Democrat also leads 51 - 41 percent among voters 18 to 34, while voters 35 to 54 split 43 - 43 percent and voters over 55 go 44 percent for McCain and 42 percent for Obama. Independent voters back Obama 42 - 38 percent.

McCain gets a 50 - 34 percent favorability in Ohio to Obama's 49 - 32 percent.

For 53 percent of Ohio voters, the economy is the biggest issue, while 16 percent cite the war in Iraq; 12 percent list health care and 8 percent say terrorism.

"The big question in Ohio is how much the gender gap will decide the election. Gender support for each candidate is a virtual mirror of the other. McCain is winning men by the same margin that Obama is carrying women. Something has to give one way or the other," Brown said. . Overall, 47% of Buckeye State voters offer a positive opinion of Obama. That�s fifteen points below the 62% with a favorable opinion of McCain.

In Ohio, McCain is supported by 87% of Republicans while 77% of Democrats say they�ll vote for Obama. The two men split the unaffiliated voters, but McCain wins more crossover vote: 15% of Democrats say they�ll vote for the Republican while just 7% of GOP faithful plan to vote for his opponent.

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of Ohio voters say it�s Very Likely their state will be the decisive state in the battle for the White House once again. Another 47% say it�s Somewhat Likely. Twelve percent (12%) say this unique role in the Electoral College improves the quality of life in the Buckeye State. Twenty-two percent (22%) say it detracts from the quality of life while 59% say it has no impact.

Just 11% say it�s more important for the state's Democratic governor Ted Strickland to help Obama win Ohio, but 84% believe it�s more important that for him to work to improve Ohio�s economy. Approval ratings for Strickland have slipped in the last couple of months-42% good or excellent and just 16% poor. Two months ago, 47% rated Strickland�s performance as good or excellent. Last month, that figure was 44%. One factor causing Obama problems is that he�s not doing as good a job as McCain of getting folks in his party to vote for him. While McCain leads 89-7 among Republicans, Obama�s lead is a narrower 75-17 among Democrats. Obama has the 45-28 edge with independent voters.

The Democrats neglecting to choose Obama are disproportionately white, female, and middle aged, an indication that it could be former supporters of Hillary Clinton who are holding out.

�Ohio is one state, along with Pennsylvania and Michigan, where Barack Obama would probably be well served by some joint appearances with the Clintons,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Democrats have a party id advantage in Ohio but that won�t do much for them unless the voters in their party actually vote for their nominee.�

Obama leads with women and voters under 45 while McCain leads with men and older voters. McCain is up 49-38 with white voters and Obama is up 80-18 with blacks. Men: Obama 35, McCain 44. Women: Obama 50, McCain 32. Obama gets 47 percent of Ohio women likely voters, to McCain's 44 percent. Men split with 46 percent for Obama and 45 percent for McCain. White voters back McCain 49 - 42 percent, but Obama sweeps black voters 89 - 2 percent. The Democrat also leads 57 - 35 percent among voters 18 to 34 and 48 - 44 percent among voters 35 to 54, while McCain leads 48 - 41 percent among voters over 55.

In the First Lady matchup, Cindy McCain tops Michelle Obama 33 - 27 percent. Women split with 32 percent for McCain and 31 percent for Obama, while men prefer McCain 33 - 23 percent. Seven percent (7%) of voters say they�d prefer a third party candidate over either McCain or Obama and another 7% remain undecided.

When �leaners� are included in the totals, McCain leads Obama 52% to 42%.

McCain is now viewed favorably by 57%, little changed from a month ago. Obama gets favorable marks from 50% of the state�s voters, down three points from June but up three points since May.

Nationally, the candidates are very competitive in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

McCain is supported by 88% of Republicans and Obama earns the vote from 74% of Democrats. Both candidates gain three points from within their own party when leaners are included. However, McCain�s lead among unaffiliated voters jumps from a nine-point advantage without leaners to twenty-three points with leaners.

Among white Democrats in Ohio, Obama leads 71% to 21% (with leaners).

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Ohio voters believe most reporters are trying to help Obama win the election. Just 13% believe they are trying to help McCain and 21% think the journalists are attempting to present unbiased coverage. These figures are similar to the results of a national survey released yesterday.

Economic issues are most important to 49% of Ohio voters while national security concerns are the top priority for 24%. Obama has an eighteen point advantage among those most concerned with economic issues while McCain leads 79% to 21% among those who focus primarily on national security issues.

Sixty-four percent (64%) support offshore oil drilling while 22% are opposed. These figures are close to the national average. Fifty-four percent (54%) say reducing the price of gas and oil is more important than protecting the environment. Just 28% disagree and say protecting the environment is more important. A recent national survey showed that Al Gore�s proposals for clean energy are viewed by voters as unrealistic and costly. His lead in the state is 48-40, similar to the 50-39 edge he showed in PPP�s June poll.

Obama trails McCain 46-42 among white voters, but his 91-6 advantage with African Americans gives him the overall lead.

�Right now Barack Obama is in a pretty good position in Ohio,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �His standing with black voters is not surprising, but he is also doing unusually well with white voters in the state. Whether he can sustain that level of support or not will probably determine if he can take this state.�

The results show a significant gender gap, with Obama leading by 20 points among women but trailing by seven with men. Obama leads in all age groups except senior citizens. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

John McCain45%
Barack Obama44%
Source


This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Ohio polls.


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