Democrat Polls
CNN TIME Opinion Research
Date: 8/24-26
Pennsylvania
Added: 8/27/08
Quote: A week ago, Obama was up by two points after holding five percentage-point leads in August and July. The latest poll finds the Republican candidate is viewed more a bit more favorably among voters than his opponent. McCain is viewed favorably by 60%, up three points from a week ago. Obama�s ratings are at 52% favorable, down three points. Forty-three percent (43%) of Pennsylvania voters would be very or extremely comfortable with McCain as President. Forty-one percent (41%) say the same about Obama. As for the running mates, 44% would be that comfortable if Biden had to assume the duties of President while 40% say the same about Palin in the Oval Office. Nationally, 63% say that McCain is prepared to be President while 44% say the same about Obama. Obama leads 51 - 41 percent with women, compared to 53 - 37 percent August 26. McCain leads 51 - 45 percent among men. Obama leads 58 - 38 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and gets 49 percent of voters 35 to 54 to McCain's 47 percent. Voters over 55 back McCain 50 - 43 percent. Independent voters split with 45 percent for the Republican and 44 percent for the Democrat. This compares to a 48 - 38 percent Obama lead August 26. Among former Clinton supporters, 22 percent support McCain, compared to 25 percent August 26. McCain gets a 54 - 34 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 56 - 29 percent. Palin's favorability is 39 - 26 percent, while Biden gets a 53 - 22 percent score. The economy is the most important issue, 51 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 12 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care; 10 percent list energy policy and 8 percent say terrorism. The choice of a vice presidential candidate will have little impact on their November vote, 59 percent of Pennsylvania likely voters say. "Sen. McCain has narrowed the gap in Pennsylvania by wiping out Sen. Obama's lead among independent voters. But Obama still holds a three-point edge by convincing previously uncommitted Hillary Clinton primary voters and Catholics to move into his camp - the Catholics perhaps because of some help from running mate Joe Biden, a Catholic from Scranton," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 14% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 15% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 33% Undecided 18% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 51% Unfavorable 32% Undecided 17% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44% Undecided 11% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 49% Barack Obama 37% Undecided 14% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 22% Disapprove 70% Undecided 8% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy? Approve 16% Disapprove 71% Undecided 13% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq? Approve 38% Disapprove 56% Undecided 6% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism? Approve 54% Disapprove 37% Undecided 9% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's overall job performance? Approve 53% Disapprove 35% Undecided 12% The latest poll finds the Republican candidate is viewed more favorably among voters. McCain is viewed favorably by 57% of voters and unfavorably by 40%. Obama�s ratings are 55% favorable, 44% unfavorable. Similarly, Sarah Palin is viewed slightly better than Joe Biden. The Republican Vice Presidential nominee is viewed favorably by 59% and unfavorably by 37%. Biden�s numbers are 54% favorable, 42% unfavorable. .
Quinnipiac University
Date: 8/17-24
Pennsylvania
Added: 8/26/08
Quote: A week ago, Obama was up by two points after holding five percentage-point leads in August and July. The latest poll finds the Republican candidate is viewed more a bit more favorably among voters than his opponent. McCain is viewed favorably by 60%, up three points from a week ago. Obama�s ratings are at 52% favorable, down three points. Forty-three percent (43%) of Pennsylvania voters would be very or extremely comfortable with McCain as President. Forty-one percent (41%) say the same about Obama. As for the running mates, 44% would be that comfortable if Biden had to assume the duties of President while 40% say the same about Palin in the Oval Office. Nationally, 63% say that McCain is prepared to be President while 44% say the same about Obama. Obama leads 51 - 41 percent with women, compared to 53 - 37 percent August 26. McCain leads 51 - 45 percent among men. Obama leads 58 - 38 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and gets 49 percent of voters 35 to 54 to McCain's 47 percent. Voters over 55 back McCain 50 - 43 percent. Independent voters split with 45 percent for the Republican and 44 percent for the Democrat. This compares to a 48 - 38 percent Obama lead August 26. Among former Clinton supporters, 22 percent support McCain, compared to 25 percent August 26. McCain gets a 54 - 34 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 56 - 29 percent. Palin's favorability is 39 - 26 percent, while Biden gets a 53 - 22 percent score. The economy is the most important issue, 51 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 12 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care; 10 percent list energy policy and 8 percent say terrorism. The choice of a vice presidential candidate will have little impact on their November vote, 59 percent of Pennsylvania likely voters say. "Sen. McCain has narrowed the gap in Pennsylvania by wiping out Sen. Obama's lead among independent voters. But Obama still holds a three-point edge by convincing previously uncommitted Hillary Clinton primary voters and Catholics to move into his camp - the Catholics perhaps because of some help from running mate Joe Biden, a Catholic from Scranton," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 14% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 15% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 33% Undecided 18% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 51% Unfavorable 32% Undecided 17% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44% Undecided 11% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 49% Barack Obama 37% Undecided 14% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 22% Disapprove 70% Undecided 8% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy? Approve 16% Disapprove 71% Undecided 13% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq? Approve 38% Disapprove 56% Undecided 6% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism? Approve 54% Disapprove 37% Undecided 9% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's overall job performance? Approve 53% Disapprove 35% Undecided 12% The latest poll finds the Republican candidate is viewed more favorably among voters. McCain is viewed favorably by 57% of voters and unfavorably by 40%. Obama�s ratings are 55% favorable, 44% unfavorable. Similarly, Sarah Palin is viewed slightly better than Joe Biden. The Republican Vice Presidential nominee is viewed favorably by 59% and unfavorably by 37%. Biden�s numbers are 54% favorable, 42% unfavorable. . Obama leads 53 - 37 percent with women as McCain leads 47 - 43 percent among men. White voters back McCain 47 - 43 percent while the Democrat leads 91 - 3 percent among black voters. Obama leads 57 - 40 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 go 44 percent to McCain and 43 percent to Obama. Independent voters back the Democrat 48 - 38 percent. McCain gets a 50 - 35 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 53 - 32 percent. The economy is the most important issue, 52 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 16 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care and 10 percent say terrorism. "The Obama campaign hopes that Sen. Biden's Scranton roots will give the Democrats a boost in Pennsylvania. This poll was mostly done before Biden's selection was announced so it is too early for any indication whether that will turn out to be the case. Obama's still in good shape in Pennsylvania, but his lead has been cut by almost half in the last two months," Brown said.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 8/19
Pennsylvania
Added: 8/21/08
Quote: A week ago, Obama was up by two points after holding five percentage-point leads in August and July. The latest poll finds the Republican candidate is viewed more a bit more favorably among voters than his opponent. McCain is viewed favorably by 60%, up three points from a week ago. Obama�s ratings are at 52% favorable, down three points. Forty-three percent (43%) of Pennsylvania voters would be very or extremely comfortable with McCain as President. Forty-one percent (41%) say the same about Obama. As for the running mates, 44% would be that comfortable if Biden had to assume the duties of President while 40% say the same about Palin in the Oval Office. Nationally, 63% say that McCain is prepared to be President while 44% say the same about Obama. Obama leads 51 - 41 percent with women, compared to 53 - 37 percent August 26. McCain leads 51 - 45 percent among men. Obama leads 58 - 38 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and gets 49 percent of voters 35 to 54 to McCain's 47 percent. Voters over 55 back McCain 50 - 43 percent. Independent voters split with 45 percent for the Republican and 44 percent for the Democrat. This compares to a 48 - 38 percent Obama lead August 26. Among former Clinton supporters, 22 percent support McCain, compared to 25 percent August 26. McCain gets a 54 - 34 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 56 - 29 percent. Palin's favorability is 39 - 26 percent, while Biden gets a 53 - 22 percent score. The economy is the most important issue, 51 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 12 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care; 10 percent list energy policy and 8 percent say terrorism. The choice of a vice presidential candidate will have little impact on their November vote, 59 percent of Pennsylvania likely voters say. "Sen. McCain has narrowed the gap in Pennsylvania by wiping out Sen. Obama's lead among independent voters. But Obama still holds a three-point edge by convincing previously uncommitted Hillary Clinton primary voters and Catholics to move into his camp - the Catholics perhaps because of some help from running mate Joe Biden, a Catholic from Scranton," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 14% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 15% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 33% Undecided 18% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 51% Unfavorable 32% Undecided 17% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44% Undecided 11% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 49% Barack Obama 37% Undecided 14% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 22% Disapprove 70% Undecided 8% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy? Approve 16% Disapprove 71% Undecided 13% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq? Approve 38% Disapprove 56% Undecided 6% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism? Approve 54% Disapprove 37% Undecided 9% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's overall job performance? Approve 53% Disapprove 35% Undecided 12% The latest poll finds the Republican candidate is viewed more favorably among voters. McCain is viewed favorably by 57% of voters and unfavorably by 40%. Obama�s ratings are 55% favorable, 44% unfavorable. Similarly, Sarah Palin is viewed slightly better than Joe Biden. The Republican Vice Presidential nominee is viewed favorably by 59% and unfavorably by 37%. Biden�s numbers are 54% favorable, 42% unfavorable. . Obama leads 53 - 37 percent with women as McCain leads 47 - 43 percent among men. White voters back McCain 47 - 43 percent while the Democrat leads 91 - 3 percent among black voters. Obama leads 57 - 40 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 go 44 percent to McCain and 43 percent to Obama. Independent voters back the Democrat 48 - 38 percent. McCain gets a 50 - 35 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 53 - 32 percent. The economy is the most important issue, 52 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 16 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care and 10 percent say terrorism. "The Obama campaign hopes that Sen. Biden's Scranton roots will give the Democrats a boost in Pennsylvania. This poll was mostly done before Biden's selection was announced so it is too early for any indication whether that will turn out to be the case. Obama's still in good shape in Pennsylvania, but his lead has been cut by almost half in the last two months," Brown said. McCain has more support from Republicans than Obama does from Democrats, and McCain also wins more crossover votes from the other party. The two candidates are even among unaffiliated voters. Obama wins among younger voters and those who don�t attend church while McCain has a solid lead among senior citizens and regular churchgoers. McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Pennsylvania, Obama by 55%. For both men, that�s a three-point decline over the past month. Like voters throughout the nation, Pennsylvania voters overwhelmingly say it�s more important to find new sources of energy than to reduce the amount of energy we consume. Sixty-five percent (65%) say finding more energy is the top priority while just 27% favor reducing consumption. Nationally, voters believe that McCain is more interested in finding new energy sources while Obama wants to reduce consumption. Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters nationwide want Congress to return to Washington and vote on offshore drilling right away. In another finding that mirrors the national mood 51% of Pennsylvania voters say media bias is a bigger problem than large campaign contributions. Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell earns good or excellent ratings from 40% of voters, while 24% say he is doing a poor job.
Susquehanna Polling and Research
Date: 8/4-10
Pennsylvania
Added: 8/20/08
Quote: A week ago, Obama was up by two points after holding five percentage-point leads in August and July. The latest poll finds the Republican candidate is viewed more a bit more favorably among voters than his opponent. McCain is viewed favorably by 60%, up three points from a week ago. Obama�s ratings are at 52% favorable, down three points. Forty-three percent (43%) of Pennsylvania voters would be very or extremely comfortable with McCain as President. Forty-one percent (41%) say the same about Obama. As for the running mates, 44% would be that comfortable if Biden had to assume the duties of President while 40% say the same about Palin in the Oval Office. Nationally, 63% say that McCain is prepared to be President while 44% say the same about Obama. Obama leads 51 - 41 percent with women, compared to 53 - 37 percent August 26. McCain leads 51 - 45 percent among men. Obama leads 58 - 38 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and gets 49 percent of voters 35 to 54 to McCain's 47 percent. Voters over 55 back McCain 50 - 43 percent. Independent voters split with 45 percent for the Republican and 44 percent for the Democrat. This compares to a 48 - 38 percent Obama lead August 26. Among former Clinton supporters, 22 percent support McCain, compared to 25 percent August 26. McCain gets a 54 - 34 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 56 - 29 percent. Palin's favorability is 39 - 26 percent, while Biden gets a 53 - 22 percent score. The economy is the most important issue, 51 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 12 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care; 10 percent list energy policy and 8 percent say terrorism. The choice of a vice presidential candidate will have little impact on their November vote, 59 percent of Pennsylvania likely voters say. "Sen. McCain has narrowed the gap in Pennsylvania by wiping out Sen. Obama's lead among independent voters. But Obama still holds a three-point edge by convincing previously uncommitted Hillary Clinton primary voters and Catholics to move into his camp - the Catholics perhaps because of some help from running mate Joe Biden, a Catholic from Scranton," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 14% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 15% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 33% Undecided 18% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 51% Unfavorable 32% Undecided 17% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44% Undecided 11% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 49% Barack Obama 37% Undecided 14% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 22% Disapprove 70% Undecided 8% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy? Approve 16% Disapprove 71% Undecided 13% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq? Approve 38% Disapprove 56% Undecided 6% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism? Approve 54% Disapprove 37% Undecided 9% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's overall job performance? Approve 53% Disapprove 35% Undecided 12% The latest poll finds the Republican candidate is viewed more favorably among voters. McCain is viewed favorably by 57% of voters and unfavorably by 40%. Obama�s ratings are 55% favorable, 44% unfavorable. Similarly, Sarah Palin is viewed slightly better than Joe Biden. The Republican Vice Presidential nominee is viewed favorably by 59% and unfavorably by 37%. Biden�s numbers are 54% favorable, 42% unfavorable. . Obama leads 53 - 37 percent with women as McCain leads 47 - 43 percent among men. White voters back McCain 47 - 43 percent while the Democrat leads 91 - 3 percent among black voters. Obama leads 57 - 40 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 go 44 percent to McCain and 43 percent to Obama. Independent voters back the Democrat 48 - 38 percent. McCain gets a 50 - 35 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 53 - 32 percent. The economy is the most important issue, 52 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 16 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care and 10 percent say terrorism. "The Obama campaign hopes that Sen. Biden's Scranton roots will give the Democrats a boost in Pennsylvania. This poll was mostly done before Biden's selection was announced so it is too early for any indication whether that will turn out to be the case. Obama's still in good shape in Pennsylvania, but his lead has been cut by almost half in the last two months," Brown said. McCain has more support from Republicans than Obama does from Democrats, and McCain also wins more crossover votes from the other party. The two candidates are even among unaffiliated voters. Obama wins among younger voters and those who don�t attend church while McCain has a solid lead among senior citizens and regular churchgoers. McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Pennsylvania, Obama by 55%. For both men, that�s a three-point decline over the past month. Like voters throughout the nation, Pennsylvania voters overwhelmingly say it�s more important to find new sources of energy than to reduce the amount of energy we consume. Sixty-five percent (65%) say finding more energy is the top priority while just 27% favor reducing consumption. Nationally, voters believe that McCain is more interested in finding new energy sources while Obama wants to reduce consumption. Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters nationwide want Congress to return to Washington and vote on offshore drilling right away. In another finding that mirrors the national mood 51% of Pennsylvania voters say media bias is a bigger problem than large campaign contributions. Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell earns good or excellent ratings from 40% of voters, while 24% say he is doing a poor job. This poll shows no movement from Obama�s narrow 46/39 lead in May, which means Obama has gotten no positive �bounce� since officially clinching the nomination battle over Hillary Rodham Clinton earlier this year. In a close contest however, Obama�s lead on intensity with a higher percentage of �definite� support could be the deciding factor that puts him over the top because it means his base is more solidified and his troops more energized than those of McCain. From a regional standpoint, Obama continues to hold relatively stable leads over McCain in Philadelphia (67/21), the suburban Southeast counties Chester, Bucks, Delaware, Montgomery (50/33), Allegheny County (56/37) and the Northwest/Erie market (46/36). Obama also holds a narrow 47/43 lead in the Northeast/Wilkes-Barre/Scranton market, which is really a statistical toss-up within the poll�s margin of error; the candidates were also virtually tied in this region in May. Obama also leads with Democrats (73/16), Independents (48/25), females (48/38), 18-29 year- olds (75/21), 30-44 year-olds (45/38) and 45-59 year-olds (49/37), African-Americans (98/0), those with a college degree or higher level of education (50/35) and high-income households (50/44).END 8/11-13 Susq %5 John-McCain 41 Barack-Obama 46 Undecided 10 Other 3 Refused 1 Franklin-Marshall-College http://www.nationalpolls.com/2008/polls/pdfs/franklin-marshall-college-pennsylvania-aug4to10-2008.pdf 8/7/08 N=641 8/13/08 BEGIN Men: McCain 43%, Obama 42%. Women: Obama 46%, McCain 32%.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Pennsylvania polls.
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