Democrat Polls
Quinnipiac University Poll
Date: 2/25/08
Pennsylvania
Added: 2/25/00
Quote: . Obama leads 53 - 37 percent with women as McCain leads 47 - 43 percent among men. White voters back McCain 47 - 43 percent while the Democrat leads 91 - 3 percent among black voters. Obama leads 57 - 40 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 go 44 percent to McCain and 43 percent to Obama. Independent voters back the Democrat 48 - 38 percent. McCain gets a 50 - 35 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 53 - 32 percent. The economy is the most important issue, 52 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 16 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care and 10 percent say terrorism. "The Obama campaign hopes that Sen. Biden's Scranton roots will give the Democrats a boost in Pennsylvania. This poll was mostly done before Biden's selection was announced so it is too early for any indication whether that will turn out to be the case. Obama's still in good shape in Pennsylvania, but his lead has been cut by almost half in the last two months," Brown said. McCain has more support from Republicans than Obama does from Democrats, and McCain also wins more crossover votes from the other party. The two candidates are even among unaffiliated voters. Obama wins among younger voters and those who don�t attend church while McCain has a solid lead among senior citizens and regular churchgoers. McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Pennsylvania, Obama by 55%. For both men, that�s a three-point decline over the past month. Like voters throughout the nation, Pennsylvania voters overwhelmingly say it�s more important to find new sources of energy than to reduce the amount of energy we consume. Sixty-five percent (65%) say finding more energy is the top priority while just 27% favor reducing consumption. Nationally, voters believe that McCain is more interested in finding new energy sources while Obama wants to reduce consumption. Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters nationwide want Congress to return to Washington and vote on offshore drilling right away. In another finding that mirrors the national mood 51% of Pennsylvania voters say media bias is a bigger problem than large campaign contributions. Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell earns good or excellent ratings from 40% of voters, while 24% say he is doing a poor job. This poll shows no movement from Obama�s narrow 46/39 lead in May, which means Obama has gotten no positive �bounce� since officially clinching the nomination battle over Hillary Rodham Clinton earlier this year. In a close contest however, Obama�s lead on intensity with a higher percentage of �definite� support could be the deciding factor that puts him over the top because it means his base is more solidified and his troops more energized than those of McCain. From a regional standpoint, Obama continues to hold relatively stable leads over McCain in Philadelphia (67/21), the suburban Southeast counties Chester, Bucks, Delaware, Montgomery (50/33), Allegheny County (56/37) and the Northwest/Erie market (46/36). Obama also holds a narrow 47/43 lead in the Northeast/Wilkes-Barre/Scranton market, which is really a statistical toss-up within the poll�s margin of error; the candidates were also virtually tied in this region in May. Obama also leads with Democrats (73/16), Independents (48/25), females (48/38), 18-29 year- olds (75/21), 30-44 year-olds (45/38) and 45-59 year-olds (49/37), African-Americans (98/0), those with a college degree or higher level of education (50/35) and high-income households (50/44).END 8/11-13 Susq %5 John-McCain 41 Barack-Obama 46 Undecided 10 Other 3 Refused 1 Franklin-Marshall-College http://www.nationalpolls.com/2008/polls/pdfs/franklin-marshall-college-pennsylvania-aug4to10-2008.pdf 8/7/08 N=641 8/13/08 BEGIN Men: McCain 43%, Obama 42%. Women: Obama 46%, McCain 32%. Men: Obama 39, McCain 42. Women: Obama 53, McCain 30. 10. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's job performance? Approve 49% Disapprove 40% Undecided 11% 11. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Arlen Specter's job performance? Approve 52% Disapprove 39% Undecided 9% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Robert Casey, Jr.'s job performance? Approve 46% Disapprove 38% Undecided 16% Obama leads 50 - 39 percent with women and 48 - 44 percent among men. White voters split with 46 percent for McCain and 45 percent for Obama. The Democrat leads 91 - 1 percent among black voters. Obama leads 60 - 37 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 split 45 - 45 percent. The First Lady comparison is a toss-up, with 31 percent picking McCain and 29 percent picking Obama. Women prefer Obama 33 - 30 percent, while men like McCain 33 - 25 percent. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters in Pennsylvania say the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That is slightly more optimistic to the national average. The majority (58%) agree with Obama that Iraq is not the �central front� of the War, while 43% believe that focus should be on Afghanistan. Fifty-percent of voters (50%) think Afghanistan is a bigger threat to the nation than Iraq. Most voters in Pennsylvania (68%) say news reporters often try to help the candidate they want to win when covering political campaigns. Nearly half (48%) say the media tries to help Obama the most. Those are similar sentiments to those found on the national level. Despite the ailing economy, 38% of voters still believe the U.S. has one of the best economies in the world, while 50% disagree. However, 48% of voters think the media portrays the current economic situation as worse than it really is. . . . . .
Quinnipiac University Poll
Date: 2/12/08
Pennsylvania
Added: 2/12/00
Quote: . Obama leads 53 - 37 percent with women as McCain leads 47 - 43 percent among men. White voters back McCain 47 - 43 percent while the Democrat leads 91 - 3 percent among black voters. Obama leads 57 - 40 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 go 44 percent to McCain and 43 percent to Obama. Independent voters back the Democrat 48 - 38 percent. McCain gets a 50 - 35 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 53 - 32 percent. The economy is the most important issue, 52 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 16 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care and 10 percent say terrorism. "The Obama campaign hopes that Sen. Biden's Scranton roots will give the Democrats a boost in Pennsylvania. This poll was mostly done before Biden's selection was announced so it is too early for any indication whether that will turn out to be the case. Obama's still in good shape in Pennsylvania, but his lead has been cut by almost half in the last two months," Brown said. McCain has more support from Republicans than Obama does from Democrats, and McCain also wins more crossover votes from the other party. The two candidates are even among unaffiliated voters. Obama wins among younger voters and those who don�t attend church while McCain has a solid lead among senior citizens and regular churchgoers. McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Pennsylvania, Obama by 55%. For both men, that�s a three-point decline over the past month. Like voters throughout the nation, Pennsylvania voters overwhelmingly say it�s more important to find new sources of energy than to reduce the amount of energy we consume. Sixty-five percent (65%) say finding more energy is the top priority while just 27% favor reducing consumption. Nationally, voters believe that McCain is more interested in finding new energy sources while Obama wants to reduce consumption. Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters nationwide want Congress to return to Washington and vote on offshore drilling right away. In another finding that mirrors the national mood 51% of Pennsylvania voters say media bias is a bigger problem than large campaign contributions. Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell earns good or excellent ratings from 40% of voters, while 24% say he is doing a poor job. This poll shows no movement from Obama�s narrow 46/39 lead in May, which means Obama has gotten no positive �bounce� since officially clinching the nomination battle over Hillary Rodham Clinton earlier this year. In a close contest however, Obama�s lead on intensity with a higher percentage of �definite� support could be the deciding factor that puts him over the top because it means his base is more solidified and his troops more energized than those of McCain. From a regional standpoint, Obama continues to hold relatively stable leads over McCain in Philadelphia (67/21), the suburban Southeast counties Chester, Bucks, Delaware, Montgomery (50/33), Allegheny County (56/37) and the Northwest/Erie market (46/36). Obama also holds a narrow 47/43 lead in the Northeast/Wilkes-Barre/Scranton market, which is really a statistical toss-up within the poll�s margin of error; the candidates were also virtually tied in this region in May. Obama also leads with Democrats (73/16), Independents (48/25), females (48/38), 18-29 year- olds (75/21), 30-44 year-olds (45/38) and 45-59 year-olds (49/37), African-Americans (98/0), those with a college degree or higher level of education (50/35) and high-income households (50/44).END 8/11-13 Susq %5 John-McCain 41 Barack-Obama 46 Undecided 10 Other 3 Refused 1 Franklin-Marshall-College http://www.nationalpolls.com/2008/polls/pdfs/franklin-marshall-college-pennsylvania-aug4to10-2008.pdf 8/7/08 N=641 8/13/08 BEGIN Men: McCain 43%, Obama 42%. Women: Obama 46%, McCain 32%. Men: Obama 39, McCain 42. Women: Obama 53, McCain 30. 10. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's job performance? Approve 49% Disapprove 40% Undecided 11% 11. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Arlen Specter's job performance? Approve 52% Disapprove 39% Undecided 9% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Robert Casey, Jr.'s job performance? Approve 46% Disapprove 38% Undecided 16% Obama leads 50 - 39 percent with women and 48 - 44 percent among men. White voters split with 46 percent for McCain and 45 percent for Obama. The Democrat leads 91 - 1 percent among black voters. Obama leads 60 - 37 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 split 45 - 45 percent. The First Lady comparison is a toss-up, with 31 percent picking McCain and 29 percent picking Obama. Women prefer Obama 33 - 30 percent, while men like McCain 33 - 25 percent. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters in Pennsylvania say the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That is slightly more optimistic to the national average. The majority (58%) agree with Obama that Iraq is not the �central front� of the War, while 43% believe that focus should be on Afghanistan. Fifty-percent of voters (50%) think Afghanistan is a bigger threat to the nation than Iraq. Most voters in Pennsylvania (68%) say news reporters often try to help the candidate they want to win when covering political campaigns. Nearly half (48%) say the media tries to help Obama the most. Those are similar sentiments to those found on the national level. Despite the ailing economy, 38% of voters still believe the U.S. has one of the best economies in the world, while 50% disagree. However, 48% of voters think the media portrays the current economic situation as worse than it really is. . . . . . .
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 2/14/08
Pennsylvania
Added: 2/14/08
Quote: . Obama leads 53 - 37 percent with women as McCain leads 47 - 43 percent among men. White voters back McCain 47 - 43 percent while the Democrat leads 91 - 3 percent among black voters. Obama leads 57 - 40 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 go 44 percent to McCain and 43 percent to Obama. Independent voters back the Democrat 48 - 38 percent. McCain gets a 50 - 35 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 53 - 32 percent. The economy is the most important issue, 52 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 16 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care and 10 percent say terrorism. "The Obama campaign hopes that Sen. Biden's Scranton roots will give the Democrats a boost in Pennsylvania. This poll was mostly done before Biden's selection was announced so it is too early for any indication whether that will turn out to be the case. Obama's still in good shape in Pennsylvania, but his lead has been cut by almost half in the last two months," Brown said. McCain has more support from Republicans than Obama does from Democrats, and McCain also wins more crossover votes from the other party. The two candidates are even among unaffiliated voters. Obama wins among younger voters and those who don�t attend church while McCain has a solid lead among senior citizens and regular churchgoers. McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Pennsylvania, Obama by 55%. For both men, that�s a three-point decline over the past month. Like voters throughout the nation, Pennsylvania voters overwhelmingly say it�s more important to find new sources of energy than to reduce the amount of energy we consume. Sixty-five percent (65%) say finding more energy is the top priority while just 27% favor reducing consumption. Nationally, voters believe that McCain is more interested in finding new energy sources while Obama wants to reduce consumption. Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters nationwide want Congress to return to Washington and vote on offshore drilling right away. In another finding that mirrors the national mood 51% of Pennsylvania voters say media bias is a bigger problem than large campaign contributions. Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell earns good or excellent ratings from 40% of voters, while 24% say he is doing a poor job. This poll shows no movement from Obama�s narrow 46/39 lead in May, which means Obama has gotten no positive �bounce� since officially clinching the nomination battle over Hillary Rodham Clinton earlier this year. In a close contest however, Obama�s lead on intensity with a higher percentage of �definite� support could be the deciding factor that puts him over the top because it means his base is more solidified and his troops more energized than those of McCain. From a regional standpoint, Obama continues to hold relatively stable leads over McCain in Philadelphia (67/21), the suburban Southeast counties Chester, Bucks, Delaware, Montgomery (50/33), Allegheny County (56/37) and the Northwest/Erie market (46/36). Obama also holds a narrow 47/43 lead in the Northeast/Wilkes-Barre/Scranton market, which is really a statistical toss-up within the poll�s margin of error; the candidates were also virtually tied in this region in May. Obama also leads with Democrats (73/16), Independents (48/25), females (48/38), 18-29 year- olds (75/21), 30-44 year-olds (45/38) and 45-59 year-olds (49/37), African-Americans (98/0), those with a college degree or higher level of education (50/35) and high-income households (50/44).END 8/11-13 Susq %5 John-McCain 41 Barack-Obama 46 Undecided 10 Other 3 Refused 1 Franklin-Marshall-College http://www.nationalpolls.com/2008/polls/pdfs/franklin-marshall-college-pennsylvania-aug4to10-2008.pdf 8/7/08 N=641 8/13/08 BEGIN Men: McCain 43%, Obama 42%. Women: Obama 46%, McCain 32%. Men: Obama 39, McCain 42. Women: Obama 53, McCain 30. 10. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's job performance? Approve 49% Disapprove 40% Undecided 11% 11. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Arlen Specter's job performance? Approve 52% Disapprove 39% Undecided 9% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Robert Casey, Jr.'s job performance? Approve 46% Disapprove 38% Undecided 16% Obama leads 50 - 39 percent with women and 48 - 44 percent among men. White voters split with 46 percent for McCain and 45 percent for Obama. The Democrat leads 91 - 1 percent among black voters. Obama leads 60 - 37 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 split 45 - 45 percent. The First Lady comparison is a toss-up, with 31 percent picking McCain and 29 percent picking Obama. Women prefer Obama 33 - 30 percent, while men like McCain 33 - 25 percent. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters in Pennsylvania say the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That is slightly more optimistic to the national average. The majority (58%) agree with Obama that Iraq is not the �central front� of the War, while 43% believe that focus should be on Afghanistan. Fifty-percent of voters (50%) think Afghanistan is a bigger threat to the nation than Iraq. Most voters in Pennsylvania (68%) say news reporters often try to help the candidate they want to win when covering political campaigns. Nearly half (48%) say the media tries to help Obama the most. Those are similar sentiments to those found on the national level. Despite the ailing economy, 38% of voters still believe the U.S. has one of the best economies in the world, while 50% disagree. However, 48% of voters think the media portrays the current economic situation as worse than it really is. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Franklin Marshall Poll
Date: 2/18/08
Pennsylvania
Added: 2/18/08
Quote: . Obama leads 53 - 37 percent with women as McCain leads 47 - 43 percent among men. White voters back McCain 47 - 43 percent while the Democrat leads 91 - 3 percent among black voters. Obama leads 57 - 40 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 go 44 percent to McCain and 43 percent to Obama. Independent voters back the Democrat 48 - 38 percent. McCain gets a 50 - 35 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 53 - 32 percent. The economy is the most important issue, 52 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 16 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care and 10 percent say terrorism. "The Obama campaign hopes that Sen. Biden's Scranton roots will give the Democrats a boost in Pennsylvania. This poll was mostly done before Biden's selection was announced so it is too early for any indication whether that will turn out to be the case. Obama's still in good shape in Pennsylvania, but his lead has been cut by almost half in the last two months," Brown said. McCain has more support from Republicans than Obama does from Democrats, and McCain also wins more crossover votes from the other party. The two candidates are even among unaffiliated voters. Obama wins among younger voters and those who don�t attend church while McCain has a solid lead among senior citizens and regular churchgoers. McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Pennsylvania, Obama by 55%. For both men, that�s a three-point decline over the past month. Like voters throughout the nation, Pennsylvania voters overwhelmingly say it�s more important to find new sources of energy than to reduce the amount of energy we consume. Sixty-five percent (65%) say finding more energy is the top priority while just 27% favor reducing consumption. Nationally, voters believe that McCain is more interested in finding new energy sources while Obama wants to reduce consumption. Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters nationwide want Congress to return to Washington and vote on offshore drilling right away. In another finding that mirrors the national mood 51% of Pennsylvania voters say media bias is a bigger problem than large campaign contributions. Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell earns good or excellent ratings from 40% of voters, while 24% say he is doing a poor job. This poll shows no movement from Obama�s narrow 46/39 lead in May, which means Obama has gotten no positive �bounce� since officially clinching the nomination battle over Hillary Rodham Clinton earlier this year. In a close contest however, Obama�s lead on intensity with a higher percentage of �definite� support could be the deciding factor that puts him over the top because it means his base is more solidified and his troops more energized than those of McCain. From a regional standpoint, Obama continues to hold relatively stable leads over McCain in Philadelphia (67/21), the suburban Southeast counties Chester, Bucks, Delaware, Montgomery (50/33), Allegheny County (56/37) and the Northwest/Erie market (46/36). Obama also holds a narrow 47/43 lead in the Northeast/Wilkes-Barre/Scranton market, which is really a statistical toss-up within the poll�s margin of error; the candidates were also virtually tied in this region in May. Obama also leads with Democrats (73/16), Independents (48/25), females (48/38), 18-29 year- olds (75/21), 30-44 year-olds (45/38) and 45-59 year-olds (49/37), African-Americans (98/0), those with a college degree or higher level of education (50/35) and high-income households (50/44).END 8/11-13 Susq %5 John-McCain 41 Barack-Obama 46 Undecided 10 Other 3 Refused 1 Franklin-Marshall-College http://www.nationalpolls.com/2008/polls/pdfs/franklin-marshall-college-pennsylvania-aug4to10-2008.pdf 8/7/08 N=641 8/13/08 BEGIN Men: McCain 43%, Obama 42%. Women: Obama 46%, McCain 32%. Men: Obama 39, McCain 42. Women: Obama 53, McCain 30. 10. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's job performance? Approve 49% Disapprove 40% Undecided 11% 11. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Arlen Specter's job performance? Approve 52% Disapprove 39% Undecided 9% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Robert Casey, Jr.'s job performance? Approve 46% Disapprove 38% Undecided 16% Obama leads 50 - 39 percent with women and 48 - 44 percent among men. White voters split with 46 percent for McCain and 45 percent for Obama. The Democrat leads 91 - 1 percent among black voters. Obama leads 60 - 37 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 split 45 - 45 percent. The First Lady comparison is a toss-up, with 31 percent picking McCain and 29 percent picking Obama. Women prefer Obama 33 - 30 percent, while men like McCain 33 - 25 percent. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters in Pennsylvania say the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That is slightly more optimistic to the national average. The majority (58%) agree with Obama that Iraq is not the �central front� of the War, while 43% believe that focus should be on Afghanistan. Fifty-percent of voters (50%) think Afghanistan is a bigger threat to the nation than Iraq. Most voters in Pennsylvania (68%) say news reporters often try to help the candidate they want to win when covering political campaigns. Nearly half (48%) say the media tries to help Obama the most. Those are similar sentiments to those found on the national level. Despite the ailing economy, 38% of voters still believe the U.S. has one of the best economies in the world, while 50% disagree. However, 48% of voters think the media portrays the current economic situation as worse than it really is. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Quinnipiac University Poll
Date: 2/12/08
Pennsylvania
Added: 2/12/00
Quote: . Obama leads 53 - 37 percent with women as McCain leads 47 - 43 percent among men. White voters back McCain 47 - 43 percent while the Democrat leads 91 - 3 percent among black voters. Obama leads 57 - 40 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 go 44 percent to McCain and 43 percent to Obama. Independent voters back the Democrat 48 - 38 percent. McCain gets a 50 - 35 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 53 - 32 percent. The economy is the most important issue, 52 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 16 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care and 10 percent say terrorism. "The Obama campaign hopes that Sen. Biden's Scranton roots will give the Democrats a boost in Pennsylvania. This poll was mostly done before Biden's selection was announced so it is too early for any indication whether that will turn out to be the case. Obama's still in good shape in Pennsylvania, but his lead has been cut by almost half in the last two months," Brown said. McCain has more support from Republicans than Obama does from Democrats, and McCain also wins more crossover votes from the other party. The two candidates are even among unaffiliated voters. Obama wins among younger voters and those who don�t attend church while McCain has a solid lead among senior citizens and regular churchgoers. McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Pennsylvania, Obama by 55%. For both men, that�s a three-point decline over the past month. Like voters throughout the nation, Pennsylvania voters overwhelmingly say it�s more important to find new sources of energy than to reduce the amount of energy we consume. Sixty-five percent (65%) say finding more energy is the top priority while just 27% favor reducing consumption. Nationally, voters believe that McCain is more interested in finding new energy sources while Obama wants to reduce consumption. Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters nationwide want Congress to return to Washington and vote on offshore drilling right away. In another finding that mirrors the national mood 51% of Pennsylvania voters say media bias is a bigger problem than large campaign contributions. Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell earns good or excellent ratings from 40% of voters, while 24% say he is doing a poor job. This poll shows no movement from Obama�s narrow 46/39 lead in May, which means Obama has gotten no positive �bounce� since officially clinching the nomination battle over Hillary Rodham Clinton earlier this year. In a close contest however, Obama�s lead on intensity with a higher percentage of �definite� support could be the deciding factor that puts him over the top because it means his base is more solidified and his troops more energized than those of McCain. From a regional standpoint, Obama continues to hold relatively stable leads over McCain in Philadelphia (67/21), the suburban Southeast counties Chester, Bucks, Delaware, Montgomery (50/33), Allegheny County (56/37) and the Northwest/Erie market (46/36). Obama also holds a narrow 47/43 lead in the Northeast/Wilkes-Barre/Scranton market, which is really a statistical toss-up within the poll�s margin of error; the candidates were also virtually tied in this region in May. Obama also leads with Democrats (73/16), Independents (48/25), females (48/38), 18-29 year- olds (75/21), 30-44 year-olds (45/38) and 45-59 year-olds (49/37), African-Americans (98/0), those with a college degree or higher level of education (50/35) and high-income households (50/44).END 8/11-13 Susq %5 John-McCain 41 Barack-Obama 46 Undecided 10 Other 3 Refused 1 Franklin-Marshall-College http://www.nationalpolls.com/2008/polls/pdfs/franklin-marshall-college-pennsylvania-aug4to10-2008.pdf 8/7/08 N=641 8/13/08 BEGIN Men: McCain 43%, Obama 42%. Women: Obama 46%, McCain 32%. Men: Obama 39, McCain 42. Women: Obama 53, McCain 30. 10. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's job performance? Approve 49% Disapprove 40% Undecided 11% 11. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Arlen Specter's job performance? Approve 52% Disapprove 39% Undecided 9% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Robert Casey, Jr.'s job performance? Approve 46% Disapprove 38% Undecided 16% Obama leads 50 - 39 percent with women and 48 - 44 percent among men. White voters split with 46 percent for McCain and 45 percent for Obama. The Democrat leads 91 - 1 percent among black voters. Obama leads 60 - 37 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 split 45 - 45 percent. The First Lady comparison is a toss-up, with 31 percent picking McCain and 29 percent picking Obama. Women prefer Obama 33 - 30 percent, while men like McCain 33 - 25 percent. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters in Pennsylvania say the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That is slightly more optimistic to the national average. The majority (58%) agree with Obama that Iraq is not the �central front� of the War, while 43% believe that focus should be on Afghanistan. Fifty-percent of voters (50%) think Afghanistan is a bigger threat to the nation than Iraq. Most voters in Pennsylvania (68%) say news reporters often try to help the candidate they want to win when covering political campaigns. Nearly half (48%) say the media tries to help Obama the most. Those are similar sentiments to those found on the national level. Despite the ailing economy, 38% of voters still believe the U.S. has one of the best economies in the world, while 50% disagree. However, 48% of voters think the media portrays the current economic situation as worse than it really is. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College Poll
Date: 2/17/08
Pennsylvania
Added: 2/17/08
Quote: . Obama leads 53 - 37 percent with women as McCain leads 47 - 43 percent among men. White voters back McCain 47 - 43 percent while the Democrat leads 91 - 3 percent among black voters. Obama leads 57 - 40 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 go 44 percent to McCain and 43 percent to Obama. Independent voters back the Democrat 48 - 38 percent. McCain gets a 50 - 35 percent favorability, compared to Obama's 53 - 32 percent. The economy is the most important issue, 52 percent of Pennsylvania voters say, while 16 percent list the war in Iraq; 11 percent cite health care and 10 percent say terrorism. "The Obama campaign hopes that Sen. Biden's Scranton roots will give the Democrats a boost in Pennsylvania. This poll was mostly done before Biden's selection was announced so it is too early for any indication whether that will turn out to be the case. Obama's still in good shape in Pennsylvania, but his lead has been cut by almost half in the last two months," Brown said. McCain has more support from Republicans than Obama does from Democrats, and McCain also wins more crossover votes from the other party. The two candidates are even among unaffiliated voters. Obama wins among younger voters and those who don�t attend church while McCain has a solid lead among senior citizens and regular churchgoers. McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Pennsylvania, Obama by 55%. For both men, that�s a three-point decline over the past month. Like voters throughout the nation, Pennsylvania voters overwhelmingly say it�s more important to find new sources of energy than to reduce the amount of energy we consume. Sixty-five percent (65%) say finding more energy is the top priority while just 27% favor reducing consumption. Nationally, voters believe that McCain is more interested in finding new energy sources while Obama wants to reduce consumption. Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters nationwide want Congress to return to Washington and vote on offshore drilling right away. In another finding that mirrors the national mood 51% of Pennsylvania voters say media bias is a bigger problem than large campaign contributions. Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell earns good or excellent ratings from 40% of voters, while 24% say he is doing a poor job. This poll shows no movement from Obama�s narrow 46/39 lead in May, which means Obama has gotten no positive �bounce� since officially clinching the nomination battle over Hillary Rodham Clinton earlier this year. In a close contest however, Obama�s lead on intensity with a higher percentage of �definite� support could be the deciding factor that puts him over the top because it means his base is more solidified and his troops more energized than those of McCain. From a regional standpoint, Obama continues to hold relatively stable leads over McCain in Philadelphia (67/21), the suburban Southeast counties Chester, Bucks, Delaware, Montgomery (50/33), Allegheny County (56/37) and the Northwest/Erie market (46/36). Obama also holds a narrow 47/43 lead in the Northeast/Wilkes-Barre/Scranton market, which is really a statistical toss-up within the poll�s margin of error; the candidates were also virtually tied in this region in May. Obama also leads with Democrats (73/16), Independents (48/25), females (48/38), 18-29 year- olds (75/21), 30-44 year-olds (45/38) and 45-59 year-olds (49/37), African-Americans (98/0), those with a college degree or higher level of education (50/35) and high-income households (50/44).END 8/11-13 Susq %5 John-McCain 41 Barack-Obama 46 Undecided 10 Other 3 Refused 1 Franklin-Marshall-College http://www.nationalpolls.com/2008/polls/pdfs/franklin-marshall-college-pennsylvania-aug4to10-2008.pdf 8/7/08 N=641 8/13/08 BEGIN Men: McCain 43%, Obama 42%. Women: Obama 46%, McCain 32%. Men: Obama 39, McCain 42. Women: Obama 53, McCain 30. 10. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's job performance? Approve 49% Disapprove 40% Undecided 11% 11. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Arlen Specter's job performance? Approve 52% Disapprove 39% Undecided 9% 12. Do you approve or disapprove of United States Senator Robert Casey, Jr.'s job performance? Approve 46% Disapprove 38% Undecided 16% Obama leads 50 - 39 percent with women and 48 - 44 percent among men. White voters split with 46 percent for McCain and 45 percent for Obama. The Democrat leads 91 - 1 percent among black voters. Obama leads 60 - 37 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old and 49 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 split 45 - 45 percent. The First Lady comparison is a toss-up, with 31 percent picking McCain and 29 percent picking Obama. Women prefer Obama 33 - 30 percent, while men like McCain 33 - 25 percent. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters in Pennsylvania say the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That is slightly more optimistic to the national average. The majority (58%) agree with Obama that Iraq is not the �central front� of the War, while 43% believe that focus should be on Afghanistan. Fifty-percent of voters (50%) think Afghanistan is a bigger threat to the nation than Iraq. Most voters in Pennsylvania (68%) say news reporters often try to help the candidate they want to win when covering political campaigns. Nearly half (48%) say the media tries to help Obama the most. Those are similar sentiments to those found on the national level. Despite the ailing economy, 38% of voters still believe the U.S. has one of the best economies in the world, while 50% disagree. However, 48% of voters think the media portrays the current economic situation as worse than it really is. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Pennsylvania polls.
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