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2008 State Polls
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Democrat Polls
American Research Group
Date: 1/24-25
South Carolina
Added: 1/25/08
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]
Quote: Hillary Clinton leads John Edwards among white voters 45% to 33%, with 19% for Barack Obama. Obama leads Clinton among African-American voters 61% to 25%, with 9% for Edwards. The racial composition of the vote is 53% white voters and 47% African American voters. There is strong playback of this Edwards television ad, with both Clinton and Obama losing support. While Edwards picks up support among white voters, Edwards does not pick up support among the African American voters Obama loses. That support goes to Clinton, leaving her overall ballot number unchanged from Jan 22-23 while Obama drops 6 percentage points overall.
American Research Group
Date: 1/22-23
South Carolina
Added: 1/24/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Date: 1/23-25
South Carolina
Added: 1/26/08
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]
Quote: Pollster John Zogby on the Democrats in South Carolina: �Obama holds solid leads in every section of the state, and among both men and women. He has big leads among voters under age 65. Interestingly, among voters over age 65, Clinton leads him by a few points only, and Edwards is doing well. �We are making no predictions, but on the watch list is the order of finish here. Obama leads big among moderates and liberals and among all age groups. He is back over 60% support among blacks, while Clinton and Edwards are tied among whites. Clinton returned to the state after her numbers here started to slip and Edwards started to gain. After all, he is, like Bill Clinton, a son of the South. Overall, Obama�s lead is solid as Election Day dawns, but voters here have been fluid in their support.
Survey USA
Date: 1/23-24
South Carolina
Added: 1/26/08
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]
Quote: After increasingly divisive campaigning, the contest ends: Obama 43%, Clinton 30%, Edwards 24%. Obama gets 3 of 4 black votes. Edwards and Clinton between them split 3 of 4 white votes. In the Midlands, Obama leads by 25; Upstate and in the Low Country, he leads by 5. 1 in 5 likely voters say they still may change their mind, on the eve of the Primary. It is unknowable precisely how many Independents and Republicans may turn-out to vote in the Democratic Primary. The more who do, the better John Edwards will perform relative to Hillary Clinton. Over the past seven days, Edwards is the only candidate with momentum.
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Date: 1/22-24
South Carolina
Added: 1/25/08
Est. MoE = 3.3% [?]
Quote: Edwards has been edging upwards since Zogby International has been reporting its tracking survey ahead of Saturday�s vote. He is up six points in the past two days. Some of Edwards� new support appears to be coming from voters who had been undecided. A day ago, 13% of likely voters were undecided, but now just 7% said they weren�t sure whom they�d vote for, the latest survey shows. The Illinois senator lost a few points among women, going from 36% to 34%, however he remained ahead of Clinton, who had 28%. Obama also lost ground among men, going from 50% of their support to 42%. Clinton had 21% of male support and Edwards 24%.
McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Date: 1/22-23
South Carolina
Added: 1/25/08
Est. MoE = 4.8% [?]
Quote: Whites: Obama 10%, Clinton 36%, Edwards 40%. Blacks: Obama 59%, Clinton 25%, Edwards 4%.
Survey USA
Date: 1/22-23
South Carolina
Added: 1/24/08
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
Quote: Among white voters today, Clinton and Edwards are effectively tied, 37% Clinton (down 13 points from last week) to 34% Edwards (up 8 points from last week). Upstate, all 3 candidates are within 8 points of each other. In the Midlands, Obama is 2:1 atop Clinton. In the Low County, Obama and Clinton are down, Edwards is up, but Obama still leads by 15 points. More than a third of Democrats are focused on the Economy as the most important issue for the next president. Of those, Obama is backed by 48%, Clinton by 29%, Edwards by 20%. Among black voters, Obama leads 73% to 18%. Among voters under 50, Obama leads by 24. Among voters age 50+, Obama leads by 8. South Carolina is one of very few, and possibly the only Democratic primary state, where Obama leads among female voters. In most other states, Clinton has a stranglehold on women. Here in SC, Clinton led Obama by 33 points among females in November, but today, Obama is 12 atop Clinton among women.
Clemson University Palmetto Poll
Date: 1/15-23
South Carolina
Added: 1/24/08
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]
Quote: Respondents were chosen for the sample if they voted in at least one of the past four Democratic primaries and reported that they were planning to vote in this one. African-Americans are favoring Barack Obama (43 percent) over Hillary Clinton (11 percent) and John Edwards (2 percent), with 45 percent of African-Americans undecided or refusing to express a preference. Of those who express a preference, Barack Obama leads all candidates with a seven point lead over Hillary Clinton. Obama is getting over three-quarters of the declared African-American vote in South Carolina; Clinton, 20 percent; and Edwards, 4 percent. In the previous Palmetto Polls, Clinton and Obama were splitting the black vote about evenly, but now Obama has a clear lead among African-American voters.
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Date: 1/21-23
South Carolina
Added: 1/24/08
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]
Quote: Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards still trails, but has gained four points and now has support from 19% of likely voters. Obama still has a healthy lead among African American voters, but lost almost nine points since yesterday, dropping from 65% to 56% support among that group. Edwards, who registered no support from black voters the day before, picked up five points and Clinton added about two points to reach 18% of black support. Nearly one in five - 19% - of black voters said they were not sure for whom they would vote, which was up a point from the day before. Obama, meanwhile, made gains among male voters, attracting 50% support, up from 42% the day before. Clinton held steady at 19% of male support, while Edwards leapt ahead of her, attracting 23% of male support, up from just 15% the day before. Obama continued to outdo Clinton among women, with 36% backing him to Clinton�s 29%. The Illinois senator also had a slim lead over Clinton among voters over age 65, drawing 30% of their support, compared to Clinton�s 28%. Senior citizens and women have been groups that preferred Clinton in Nevada and New Hampshire. Obama continued to dominate among the youngest voters, getting 42% of their number to Clinton�s 14%. Edwards beat Clinton in this category as well, taking the support of 25%.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/21
South Carolina
Added: 1/24/08
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]
Quote: John Edwards has remained between 14% and 17% in all South Carolina polls conducted by Rasmussen Reports in January. However, as Obama pulls away, Edwards is now closer to Clinton than Clinton is to Obama. Among those who say they are certain to vote Saturday, it�s Obama 45%, Clinton 28%, and Edwards 17%. Among those who say they are certain they will not change their mind before Saturday, it�s Obama 46%, Clinton 32%, and Edwards 15%. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Likely Democratic Primary Voters say they are �certain� they will not change their mind before voting. Just 3% say there is a good chance they will change their mind. Obama continues to enjoy dominant support among African-American voters who make up roughly half of Democratic Primary Voters in South Carolina. Obama now leads Clinton 68% to 16% among African-Americans in the Palmetto State. Edwards earns just 6% of the African-American vote. Clinton leads Obama 40% to 21% among white voters with Edwards earning 27% of the white vote. This is similar to the national dynamics as support for Clinton and Obama breaks down along gender and racial lines. Obama�s 52-point advantage among African-Americans is up from 44-points in the previous survey and nearly double his 23-point edge in mid-January.
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Date: 1/20-22
South Carolina
Added: 1/23/08
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]
Quote: �Yesterday alone, Obama led with 39% with Clinton 22% and Edwards at 18%. One day does not make a trend, but the potential is there showing that Edwards may have scored some points in the Monday CNN debate and in his campaigning. Over the three days of polling, he is clearly splitting the white vote with Clinton. African Americans, a group that made up slightly more than half of the sample, backed Obama by a margin of 65% to Clinton�s 16%. Eighteen percent of black voters said they were undecided. Clinton did better among white voters, getting 33% support to 32% for Edwards. Obama lagged at just 18% among whites. Obama had a strong lead among men, winning 50% of their number, compared to 19% who backed Clinton. Obama also led among women, 37% to Clinton�s 29%. Clinton has dominated among women in the past two contests - Nevada and New Hampshire - though Obama won among women in Iowa. As he has in all other primaries and caucuses, Obama won the hearts � and support - of the youngest voting bloc: 18-29 year olds. About 43% of them said they would vote for Obama, while just 17% liked Clinton. Clinton barely managed to take her usual spot at the top of the heap for voters over 65, 31% to Obama�s 29%.
American Research Group
Date: 1/17-18
South Carolina
Added: 1/19/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]
Quote: Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama among white voters 56% to 20%, with 16% for John Edwards. Obama leads Clinton among African-American voters 73% to 18%, with 3% for Edwards.
Survey USA
Date: 1/16-17
South Carolina
Added: 1/19/08
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]
Quote: 22% May Change Their Mind: 2,250 South Carolina adults were interviewed 01/15/08 and 01/16/08. Of them, 1,958 were registered to vote. Of them, 577 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 01/26/08 Democratic Primary. 22% of likely Democratic Primary voters say they "may" change their mind. This number is further understated, because an additional 189 voters were excluded by SurveyUSA from the poll because they had not yet decided whether they would vote in the Republican Primary on 01/19/08 or the Democratic Primary on 01/26/08. The South Carolina Primary is "open." How these Palmetto Fence-Sitters ultimately dismount will influence the outcome of both primaries. The outcome of the Nevada caucus on 01/19/08 will also influence what happens in South Carolina.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/16
South Carolina
Added: 1/18/08
Est. MoE = 3.3% [?]
Quote: It is unclear whether Clinton gained ground as the result of a bounce from her New Hampshire victory or if the apparent gains were merely statistical noise caused by movement within the margin of sampling error. What is clear is that Obama is increasing his support among African-American voters who make up roughly half of Democratic Primary Voters in South Carolina. Obama now leads Clinton 64% to 20% among African-Americans in the Palmetto State. This is similar to the racial divide found in national polling. Obama�s 44-point advantage among African-Americans is nearly double his 23-point edge in the previous survey. Clinton now leads Obama 44% to 20% among white voters in the state with John Edwards picking up 26% of that vote. By a 43% to 31% margin, African-American primary voters say that most Americans are racist. By a 57% to 22% margin, white primary voters in South Carolina disagree. Forty-one percent (41%) of Democratic Primary Voters consider the economy their most important voting issue. Twenty-three percent (23%) say it�s the War in Iraq while 11% name health care. When it comes to the economy, Democratic Primary voters are divided on the impact of tax cuts�39% say they help the economy while 32% say they hurt.
American Research Group
Date: 1/15-16
South Carolina
Added: 1/18/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]
Quote: Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama among white voters 50% to 26%, with 14% for John Edwards. Obama leads Clinton among African-American voters 64% to 24%, with 4% for Edwards.
McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Date: 1/14-16
South Carolina
Added: 1/18/08
Est. MoE = 4.8% [?]
Quote: Among Blacks: Obama 56%, Clinton 25%, Edwards 2%. Among Women: Obama 39%, Clinton 34%, Edwards 10%.
Insider Advantage
Date: 1/16
South Carolina
Added: 1/17/08
Est. MoE = 4.8% [?]
Quote: Among 18-29 year olds: Obama 50%, Clinton 29%. Among Men: Obama 53%, Clinton 22%. Among Blacks: Obama 61%, Clinton 17%.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/13
South Carolina
Added: 1/15/08
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]
Quote: While Obama�s lead has slipped, his support is more solid than Clinton�s at this point in time. Eighty-two percent (82%) of Obama supporters say they are �certain� they will vote for him on January 26. Just 67% of Clinton voters are that �certain� along with 65% of those currently supporting Edwards. Among white voters, Clinton leads Obama 40% to 21% with John Edwards picking up 31% of the vote. Among African-American voters, Obama leads Clinton by 23 percentage points (see crosstabs). This racial divide is also found in national polling. Clinton leads Obama by three points among women in South Carolina but trails by sixteen among men. In December, Obama and Clinton were tied in South Carolina at 33%. In November, Clinton had a ten-point advantage. Eighty percent (80%) have a favorable opinion of Clinton, 77% say the same about Obama, Clinton, and 74% offer a positive assessment of Edwards.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/9/08
South Carolina
Added: 1/11/08
Est. MoE = 3.5% [?]
Quote: These results are virtually identical to a pre-New Hampshire survey conducted over the weekend. and nobody else tops 3%. In December, Obama and Clinton were tied at 33%. In November, Clinton had a ten-point advantage. Eighty-one percent (81%) have a favorable opinion of Obama, 77% say the same about Clinton, and 72% offer a positive assessment of Edwards. Those figures include 51% with a Very Favorable assessment of Obama. Forty-two percent (42%) are that positive about Clinton and 26% say the same about Edwards. Fifty-four percent (54%) of South Carolina�s Likely Democratic Primary Voters view Clinton as politically moderate. Forty-five percent (45%) say the same about Edwards and 42% hold that view of Obama.
Insider Advantage
Date: 1/7
South Carolina
Added: 1/9/08
Est. MoE = 4.8% [?]
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/6
South Carolina
Added: 1/8/08
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]
Quote: In South Carolina, Obama now attracts 58% of the African-American vote, up from 50% in December. Earlier in the year, Obama and Clinton split this important constituency fairly evenly. Now while Obama enjoys a 2-to-1 advantage over Clinton among African-American voters, white voters are split fairly evenly between three candidates--it�s Clinton 32%, Edwards 29%, and Obama 27%. For Obama, that reflects a 13-point improvement from the previous survey. Obama leads by 17 points among men and eight points among women. Eighty percent (80%) have a favorable opinion of Obama, 79% say the same about Clinton, and 75% offer a positive assessment of Edwards. Those figures include 54% with a Very Favorable assessment of Obama. Forty-five percent (45%) are that positive about Clinton and 30% say the same about Edwards.
Survey USA
Date: 1/4-6
South Carolina
Added: 1/8/08
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]
Quote: There is across-the board movement away from Clinton to Obama. Among women: Clinton had led by 17 points, now trails by 14 points. Among blacks, Obama had led by 20 points, now leads by 46. Among white voters, Obama had been 3rd, is now 2nd, tied with Edwards, the two of them 9 and 10 points back of Clinton. Among Moderates, Obama was tied, now leads by 23. Among voters age 65+, Clinton had been at 61% a month ago, 40% today. In the Low Country, Clinton had led by 13, now trails by 16. Upstate, Obama had been tied, now leads by 16. In the Midlands, Obama had led by 5, now leads by 26. South Carolina Democrats name the Economy as the issue the next President should focus on ahead of all others. Among voters focused on the Economy, Obama leads Clinton 2:1. Among voters focused on Health Care, Clinton leads Obama 41% to 37%. One quarter of SC likely voters say they could change their mind before the SC Primary. Of those who may change their mind, Edwards' support is the weakest, Obama's the strongest. Among voters who made up their mind AFTER the Iowa Caucuses , Obama leads Clinton 63% to 13%.
Republican Polls
Mitchell Interactive
Date: 1/17-18
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.1% [?]
Quote: �Mike Huckabee gained while John McCain lost support in our polling last night. McCain had been in a very strong position on Wednesday and Thursday, but dropped 2% while Huckabee gained 3% last night. This is likely going to be a close race now in South Carolina with Huckabee seeming to have a great deal of momentum,� Steve Mitchell, president of Mitchell Interactive said.
Mitchell Interactive
Date: 1/16-17
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
Quote: �John McCain seems poised to win a big victory in South Carolina after losing to Mitt Romney earlier this week in Michigan. McCain�s lead is across the board with Republicans, Independents and Democrats who are voting in the South Carolina GOP Primary,� Steve Mitchell, president of Mitchell Interactive said. �As we saw in our polling in Michigan, a much higher percentage of GOP voters in South Carolina say �experience� (70%) is more important than �being an agent of change� (20%). Among those who say �experience,� McCain leads by 12%. Huckabee leads by 13% among those who say �being an agent of change� is more important,� Steve Mitchell said.
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
Date: 1/16-17
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]
Quote: Economy was the most important issue to voters, followed by immigration, homeland security and the Iraq War. Respondents were most looking for a candidate who stands up for what he believes.
American Research Group
Date: 1/17-18
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]
Quote: Mike Huckabee leads among Republicans with 37%, followed by John McCain and Fred Thompson with 22% each. McCain leads among self-described independents with 48%.
Insider Advantage
Date: 1/18
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]
Quote: Among 65+: McCain 36%, Huckabee 17%, Romney 16%. Among 18-29 Year Olds: Huckabee 39%, Ron Paul 16%.
Survey USA
Date: 1/16-17
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]
Quote: That Was Then, This is Now: 5 weeks ago, when the Dow was at 13,700, SC Republicans said Immigration was the most important issue facing the next President. Today, with the Dow 1,550 points lower, Republicans say the Economy is the most important issue. Among voters focused on the Economy, McCain has eclipsed Huckabee. Among voters focused on Immigration, McCain runs 4th, behind Romney, Thompson, and Huckabee. If South Carolina's seniors and Low Country residents vote in larger numbers than SurveyUSA here forecasts, McCain wins. If younger voters, voters in the Midlands and voters Upstate turn-out in larger numbers, Huckabee wins. If Fred Thompson siphons more votes from Mike Huckabee than SurveyUSA here detects, McCain wins. This is SurveyUSA's 6th tracking poll in SC. Giuliani led on 11/13/07, 9 weeks ago. That makes Giuliani's 2% showing today remarkable.
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby Poll
Date: 1/17-18
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
Quote: McCain slipped a bit while Huckabee enjoyed a surge in last-minute support. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney continued to gain ground, while former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson continued to slip. Renegade Republican Congressman Ron Paul and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani remained in the low single digits and non-factors in this state�s race. Pollster John Zogby on South Carolina: �This was a big day for Huckabee. The sample is a two-day track and Huckabee has managed to increase his support among Republicans to tie McCain among this group. He is within four points of McCain among Independents. How many Democrats will show up in the Republican primary on a rainy day? If they do, that will put McCain over the top. But remember, Democrats failed to show up in Michigan in a snowstorm. �One in five of the supporters of each South Carolina front-runner say they are still very likely or somewhat likely to change their mind.�
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/16
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 2.8% [?]
Quote: Thirty-one percent (31%) of South Carolina Republican Primary voters say that the economy is their top voting issue. Twenty-three percent (23%) name immigration. Exit polling showed that these issues hurt McCain in Michigan but they may not be the best issues for Huckabee, either. Among those who see the economy as the most important issue, McCain currently leads Huckabee by eight points. Thompson and Romney currently earn the most support from those who name immigration as the top issue. Seventeen percent (17%) of the state�s Likely Republican Primary Voters named national security as the top issue while 14% said the War in Iraq. McCain and Thompson are the top choices for those who name national security as their number one issue. McCain and Huckabee are essentially even among those who name the War in Iraq as their top priority. McCain, Huckabee, and Romney lead nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. McCain also has a slight edge over Giuliani in the Super Tuesday Primary in New Jersey. Sixty-four percent (64%) of Huckabee�s supporters are �certain� they will vote for him while 63% of McCain voters say they won�t change their mind. Sixty-three percent (63%) Thompson supporters are that �certain� along with 55% of Romney backers. Seventeen percent (17%) of Romney voters say there�s a good chance they might change their mind. That�s a far higher total than for other leading candidates, a fact that might benefit McCain. McCain is also seen as the most electable Republican. Seventy-five percent (75%) say that he would be at least somewhat likely to win in November if nominated. Sixty-five percent (65%) say the same about Romney and 61% have similar confidence in a Huckabee candidacy.
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby Poll
Date: 1/15-17
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.1% [?]
Quote: Pollster John Zogby on South Carolina: �There is movement afoot in the Palmetto State. The precise three-day rolling average is McCain 28.6%, Huckabee 22.3%, Romney 15.4%, and Thompson 13.2%. The very first day of polling McCain led by double digits. In the single day of polling on Thursday alone, Romney hit 19%, while McCain�s lead over Huckabee stood at only 3.2%. If Romney continues to gain after Michigan it will hurt McCain. �McCain leads solidly in the East, and holds slight leads in the Central and Northwest regions of the state. He dominates among moderates, older voters, and Independents. He holds a slight lead over Huckabee among Republicans while Romney is beginning to make a three-way race among Republicans. Huckabee is very strong among very conservative voters and evangelical Christians.
American Research Group
Date: 1/15-16
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]
Quote: John McCain leads among Republicans with 29%, followed by Mike Huckabee at 24%, Mitt Romney at 22%, and Fred Thompson at 15%. McCain leads Huckabee by over 2-to-1 among self-described independents and Democrats.
McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Date: 1/14-16
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]
Quote: Favorable Ratings: McCain 60%, Huckabee 51%, Romney 50%, Thompson 48%, Giuliani 28%, Paul 21%.
Survey USA
Date: 1/16
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]
Quote: Huckabee still leads Upstate. In the Midlands, the two are tied. But in the Low Country, the race is fundamentally altered: McCain up 23 points and Huckabee down 16 points, a 39-point swing away from the Preacher to the War Hero over the past 10 days. Among seniors, McCain is up 21 points, Huckabee is down 14 points, a 35-point swing. By contrast, Huckabee holds onto younger supporters; he leads by 12 among voters under 50.
Clemson University Palmetto Poll
Date: 1/9-15
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]
Quote: Despite the impending vote at the end of the week, and the importance of South Carolina in the national pattern of GOP contests, only slightly more than half the voters had a �good idea� about whom they were going to support on election day. Nearly 40 percent of the voters were unsure about who would receive their support. Based on these figures, we expect that as many as one-quarter of the voters might decide in the last 24 hours before the Saturday election.
Reuters CSpan Zogby
Date: 1/14-16
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.1% [?]
Quote: Among Republican voters, McCain gained a point to reach 30% support from his party. Huckabee, however, gained close to four points among Republicans, moving from 20% support to almost 24%. McCain, meanwhile, lost about four points among independent voters, sinking from 33% to 29% support. Huckabee, too, lost support from independents, but just by a point, going from 20% to 19%. Romney saw his support slip among Republicans, as Thompson gained. Both were at 14% Tuesday, but Romney dropped to 13% while Thompson ticked up to 16%. Paul, who had dominated among younger voters, lost ground in the 18-29 age group, going from 31% support to 23%. McCain jumped from 6% to 14% with younger voters, and Huckabee picked up four points to reach 32% support with that group. McCain continued to get most support from senior citizens and people aged 50 and over, though he lost a few points with those between 30 and 49. Huckabee�s support among those over 30 remained consistent.
Reuters CSpan Zogby
Date: 1/13-15
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.1% [?]
Quote: "Romney's win in Michigan will probably cut into McCain's lead," pollster John Zogby said. McCain's advantage had been shrinking during the first days of polling and already was down from an initial double-digits, he said. Giuliani, whose one-time lead in national opinion polls has vanished, bypassed the early voting states to concentrate on the January 29 Florida primary and the February 5 "Super Tuesday" round of 22 contests. But Romney's win in Michigan was good news for Giuliani, ensuring the race would not have a dominant figure at the top of the field before he can get in the game.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/13
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 2.9% [?]
Quote: The current results show McCain getting some breathing room in South Carolina. The previous South Carolina poll, conducted the night after McCain�s victory in New Hampshire, had McCain at 27% and Huckabee at 24%. Before the New Hampshire vote, Huckabee was leading McCain by seven points. McCain and Huckabee are pulling away from the field nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Thompson has been directly challenging Huckabee on the campaign trail and hoping to gain some traction that will keep his campaign afloat. Earlier this year, Thompson had hoped to exploit dissatisfaction with the rest of the field and emerge as the choice for conservatives. When his campaign failed to take off, Huckabee saw the same opening and capitalized on it in a way Thompson did not. As recently as November, Thompson was tied for the lead in South Carolina. The race remains very fluid with 8% of voters undecided and 11% saying there�s a good chance they could change their mind. Sixty-two percent (62%) of Huckabee�s supporters are �certain� they will vote for him. For supporters of Thompson and Romney, 57% are that �certain.� For McCain, 55% are certain.
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
Date: 1/9/08
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
Quote: I�m going to read you a list of qualities many people think are important in presidential candidates. Thinking specifically about your vote in the Republican primary, which ONE quality matters most in deciding who you are supporting over the other candidates in the Republican primary ... (ROTATE). He stands up for what he believes 47%. He is a true conservative 21%. He has the right experience 19%. He has the best chance to win against the Democrat 7%. (Don�t know/Refused) 5%.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/9/08
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.1% [?]
Quote: The race remains potentially very fluid as just 57% are certain that they will end up voting for the candidate they currently support. Fred Thompson�s support is the most solid of all the candidates. Sixty-six percent (66%) of his supporters are �certain� they will vote for him. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Huckabee supporters are that �certain� along with 49% of McCain backers and 48% of those who currently favor Romney. Thompson is viewed favorably by 72% of Likely Primary voters in the Palmetto State, McCain by 71% and Huckabee by 69%. Romney�s favorables are at 68%, Giuliani is at 60%, and Ron Paul at 36%.
Insider Advantage
Date: 1/7
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/6
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
Quote: The race remains potentially very fluid as just 58% are certain that they will end up voting for the candidate they currently support. Huckabee is viewed favorably by 73% of Likely Primary voters in the Palmetto State. McCain earns positive reviews from 69%, Thompson 64%, Giuliani 61%, and Romney 60%. Ron Paul is viewed favorably by 30% and unfavorably by 61%. Huckabee�s favorables are up seven points since December, McCain�s are up five. Moving in the opposite direction are Giuliani (down five), Thompson (down seven) and Romney (down 11). The current survey offers disappointing new for Fred Thompson who earns just 11% of the vote, down a point since December.
Survey USA
Date: 1/4-6
South Carolina
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
Quote: Compared to a SurveyUSA tracking poll released 3 weeks ago, before Christmas and before Iowa, Huckabee is up 8 points, all other candidates are effectively flat or down. Upstate, Huckabee leads by 22. In the Midlands, he leads by 16. In the Low Country, he leads by 14. South Carolina Republicans think the next President should focus on Immigration ahead of all other issues. On Immigration, Huckabee and Romney had been tied, Huckabee now leads. Among Republicans who say the Economy is most important, Huckabee's support has quintupled over the past 60 days and he is now 2:1 preferred over all others. 43% Might Change Their Mind: 2,250 South Carolina adults were interviewed 01/04/08 through 01/06/08, all interviews conducted after the Iowa Caucuses on 01/03/08 and before the New Hampshire Primaries on 01/08/08. 1,953 of those interviewed were registered to vote in South Carolina. Of them, 658 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 01/19/08 Republican Primary. 43% of SC likely voters say they could change their mind before the SC Primary, significantly higher than the percent of SC Democrats who say they may change their mind. Among the comparatively few SC GOP voters who say they made up their mind after Iowa, Huckabee leads Romney 41% to 10%.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 South Carolina polls.
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