2008 State Polls

Democrat Polls

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/30
Tennessee
Added: 2/3/08
Est. MoE = 4.3% [?]

Quote:

Clinton leads 61% to 23% among white voters while Obama leads 71% to 12% among African-American voters.

Clinton leads by seventeen points among those who consider the economy to be the top issue. The candidates are essentially even among those who consider the War in Iraq as the highest priority.

Forty-six percent (46%) of the state�s Likely Democratic Primary Voters say the economy is the most important voting issue. Twenty-one percent (21%) say it�s the War in Iraq, while 14% see health care as their top voting issue.

WSMV TV Channel 4 News / Crawford Johnson Northcott
Date: 1/28-29
Tennessee
Added: 2/3/08
Est. MoE = 4.7% [?]

Quote:

John Edwards� support largely dissolved (and this survey was taken before Edwards� decision to withdraw). Most of his supporters � nearly all of whom were white � shifted to the Hillary Clinton camp. At the same time, a significant portion of Clinton�s support among African-Americans has moved to Barack Obama�s camp.

Clinton now leads with 36% of the overall vote, but Obama is competitive with 31%. Again, a substantial number of undecided voters remain.

White Voters: Clinton 48%, Obama 19%. Black Voters: Obama 54%, Clinton 13%.

Insider Advantage / Majority Opinion Research
Date: 1/30
Tennessee
Added: 2/1/08
Est. MoE = 4.5% [?]

Quote:

Among women voters: Clinton 59%, Obama 26%. Among black voters: Clinton 46%, Obama 43%.

Public Policy Polling
Date: 1/28
Tennessee
Added: 1/31/08
Est. MoE = 3.5% [?]

Quote:

�The primary electorate in Tennessee is only about 25% black,� said Debnam. �Obama continues to perform well behind Clinton among white voters, and he�s going to have difficulty winning primaries in states without large African American populations if that continues.� Obama leads Clinton 60-20 among black voters in the poll, but trails her 50-22 with white voters. After struggling with female voters in South Carolina, Clinton appears to be back to form, leading Obama 47-28 with that group in Tennessee.

WSMV TV poll conducted by Crawford Johnson / Northcott
Date: 1/19-21
Tennessee
Added: 1/26/08
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Quote:

African American Democratic voters are nearly twice as likely to prefer Barack Obama as they are Hillary Clinton. However, more than one in three African American voters said they were currently undecided: Obama 40%, Clinton 22%, Edwards 1%.

Republican Polls

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/30
Tennessee
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Quote:

Romney edges McCain by a 32% to 29% margin among conservative voters. McCain earns 38% of the moderate vote while Huckabee gets 22% and Romney 17%.

As in many other states, McCain leads among voters who name the economy or the War in Iraq as the top voting issue. Romney leads 50% to 17% among those who consider immigration the highest priority.

Romney is viewed favorably by 69% of Likely Primary Voters, Huckabee by 65% and McCain by 64%. McCain earns favorable reviews from 61% of conservatives likely to vote in the Primary.

McCain is seen as the most electable candidate. Seventy-six percent (76%) say that he would be at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Sixty-four percent (64%) say the same about Romney and 50% have such confidence in Huckabee. Among conservative voters, 76% believe McCain would have a chance to win while 67% believe Romney would be at least somewhat likely to win.

WSMV TV Channel 4 News / Crawford Johnson Northcott
Date: 1/28-29
Tennessee
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Quote:

On the Republican side, since the withdrawal of Senator Fred Thompson, John McCain and Mitt Romney have become competitive in the race and are now within reach of Mike Huckabee. In this new survey, nearly half of Republican voters said they had planned to vote for Thompson prior to his decision to drop out of the race.

Insider Advantage / Majority Opinion Research
Date: 1/30
Tennessee
Est. MoE = 4.8% [?]

Quote:

Among male voters: McCain 32%, Romney 20%, Huckabee 18%, Ron Paul 15%.

Public Policy Polling
Date: 1/28
Tennessee
Est. MoE = 2.7% [?]

Quote:

�The key to Mike Huckabee�s success in Tennessee compared to South Carolina is that more GOP voters in the state list moral and family values as a top concern when deciding who to vote for,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Huckabee is earning the support of those folks by a wide margin.� 24% of likely Republican voters listed moral and family values as their biggest issue, and 53% of them support Huckabee.

WSMV TV poll conducted by Crawford Johnson / Northcott
Date: 1/19-21
Tennessee
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Quote:

Among voters who intend to participate in the Republican primary, undecided voters also hold the key to victory. Favorite son Fred Thompson is locked in a dead-heat with Mike Huckabee, but undecided voters represent the largest single group.

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Tennessee polls.

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