2008 State Polls

Democrat Polls

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 9/29
Tennessee
Added: 10/1/08

Quote:

McCain leads among men 61% to 36% and among women 55% to 41%. Ninety-eight percent (98%) of African-American voters support Obama, the first black presidential candidate of a major national party, versus 68% of whites who back McCain.

Nationally, Obama has pulled ahead of McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll � posted every morning at 9:30 Eastern -- after the race had remained close for weeks.

Sixty-five percent (65%) of Tennessee voters view McCain favorably, including 36% who say their view is Very Favorable. Thirty-four percent (34%) have an unfavorable view of the Republican.

Obama is regarded favorably by 42%, with 27% saying that opinion is Very Favorable. Fifty-seven percent (57%), however, regard him unfavorably.

Middle Tennessee State University
Date: 9/15-27
Tennessee
Added: 9/29/08

Quote:

While McCain leads Obama 52 percent to 33 percent in the rest of the state, the percentages flip-flop inside Metro Nashville�s borders to 59 percent for Obama and Biden compared to 28 percent for McCain and Palin. The sample within Metro Nashville is too small to rule out a statistical tie, even with such a wide gap in the percentages. But the data do indicate that while Tennessee as a whole belongs to McCain, Metro Nashville is relatively friendly territory for Obama.

Most Tennesseans appear to have made up their minds at this point with regard to who they think should be the next president. Among McCain�s supporters, 93 percent say they are certain they will vote for him, leaving only 7 percent who say that they may still change their minds. Similarly, 90 percent of Obama�s supporters say they are certain they will vote for him, with only 10 percent stating that they might change their minds. Among those who remain undecided, 24 percent say, when pressed, that they are leaning toward McCain, while 18 percent say they are leaning toward Obama. The rest reiterate that they are undecided.

The Republican lead grows larger among likely voters in Tennessee, 55 percent of whom would vote for McCain and Palin and 35 percent of whom would vote for Obama and Biden. Just 7 percent of likely voters are undecided. The poll defines likely voters as those who say they voted in the state�s 2006 U.S. Senate race, are presently registered to vote, and plan to vote in November�s presidential election. There are 357 such likely voters in the poll�s sample.

Mason Dixon
Date: 9/22-24
Tennessee
Added: 9/29/08

Quote:

�McCain�s got a double-digit lead in Tennessee and there doesn�t seem to be any indication that�s going to flip,� said Brad Coker, managing director of the Washington, D.C.-based Mason-Dixon Polling and Research Inc., which conducted the poll for the Chattanooga Times Free Press.

�The state is just more conservative,� Mr. Coker said of Tennessee, which is not considered a battleground state. Tennessee voters didn�t vote for Al Gore when he ran for president in 2000, he noted.

Mr. Gore, a Democrat, was a former U.S. representative and senator from Tennessee.

Poll respondent Putnam Green, 84, of Memphis, said he likes Sen. McCain, a Navy flier who became a prisoner of war in Hanoi during the Vietnam War, because he considers him a �patriot ... who has good ideas.�

Mr. Green, who said he has hearing problems, had his wife, Bettye, speak for him. Mrs. Green, 82, said the couple are conservative Republicans.

�Really, he (McCain) has been his own man,� said Mrs. Green. �Like he says, he is a maverick, independent.�

Mrs. Green said she doesn�t like anything Sen. Obama says.

�I think he talks out of both sides of his mouth,� she said.

Shirley Duncan, 72, a poll respondent from Rockford, Tenn., said that while she doesn�t like either candidate, she likely will support Sen. Obama.

The Democratic-leaning independent cited concerns over the deteriorating economy, the war in Iraq and gas prices.

�The reason I support him is we need to get out of what we�re in right now ... Any Democrat, I�d support them right now,� she said.

Sen. McCain, she said, is �part of what�s in there already. An extension. You know what I�m saying?�

On the national front, a New York Times/CBS News poll conducted last week shows Sen. Obama leading Sen. McCain by 48 percent to 43 percent nationwide.

American Research Group
Date: 9/16-19
Tennessee
Added: 9/22/08

Quote:

Independents (25%): McCain 59, Obama 34.

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Tennessee polls.

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