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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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Democrat Polls

IVR Polls
Date: 1/30-31
Texas
Added: 2/3/08
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Quote:

Obama's support among African-Americans actually dipped slightly as the number of undecided women increased. Obama still has a large lead 55-21, with 24% undecided.

Both candidates gained among white voters with Edwards departure. Obama gained eight points while Clinton gained five. I can't distinguish between former Edwards voters and prior movement, but my best guess would be that it was a combination of the two. Undecided was also up two points.

Clinton's support was even between men and women, but Obama had seven points higher support among men. Women were seven points more likely to be undecided.

Hillary Clinton48%
Barack Obama38%
Mike Gravel3%
Unsure10%
Source


IVR Polls
Date: 1/10
Texas
Added: 1/20/08
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Quote:

Barack Obama had his best showing yet, but Hillary Clinton still has a solid lead. Clinton maintains her strength among Whites over 60 and among Latino women, while Obama maintains his strength among African-Americans, but there is significant movement among Latino men. While Clinton has had a very strong lead among all Latinos, Obama is now almost tied among Latino men. There was no other demographic segment that showed significant movement. Bill Richardson had received most of his Latino support from men, so his supporters may have moved to Obama when he dropped out of the race. That is not enough to account for all of Obama's gain, but it may help explain that one noticable shift.

John Edwards did particularly well among middle aged white men, but received almost no support from African-Americans and did much worse among women than men in most age and ethnic groupings. Dennis Kucinich held steady at 1%, Mike Gravel surged to 1% and 10% were undecided.

Hillary Clinton46%
Barack Obama28%
John Edwards14%
Dennis Kucinich1%
Mike Gravel1%
Unsure10%
Source


Republican Polls

IVR Polls
Date: 1/30-31
Texas
Est. MoE = 3.3% [?]

Quote:

McCain and Romney have opposite gender gaps, with men choosing Romney by a nine point margin and women choosing McCain by a nine point margin. Huckabee had no gender gap. Huckabee And Romney tied for the lead among voters under 40, followed by Ron Paul with McCain well back. In both the 40-59 and 60+ age groups, McCain led, followed closely by Romney. Huckabee was just below his overall average in these groups, while Paul had very little support.
Mitt Romney30%
John McCain29%
Mike Huckabee20%
Ron Paul8%
Alan Keyes3%
Unsure10%
Source


IVR Polls
Date: 1/10
Texas
Est. MoE = 3.2% [?]

Quote:

Huckabee, who still leads McCain 26% to 24% lost some of the moderates that discovered him last month, but added a few more conservative supporters. Huckabee is a 24 point favorite among voters under 40 and a 6 point favorite among voters 40-59. McCain has a 16 point lead among Republicans 60+.

Fred Thompson and Ron Paul lost two points, Mitt Romney lost three and Rudy Giuliani lost six points from last month. Thompson held steady among men, but lost support among women. Romney lost all his younger supporters to Huckabee and Giuliani lost support from every sector. Hunter ticked up one and Keyes held steady at about a half percent. Eight percent were undecided, though it would appear that a lot of the others aren't all that decided either.

Mike Huckabee26%
John McCain24%
Fred Thompson12%
Mitt Romney11%
Rudy Giuliani10%
Ron Paul4%
Duncan Hunter3%
Unsure8%
Source


This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Texas polls.


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