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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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Democrat Polls

University of Texas
Date: 10/15-22
Texas
Added: 10/30/08

John McCain51%
Barack Obama40%
Bob Barr1%
Unsure8%
Source


Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/21
Texas
Added: 10/23/08

Quote:

For the four previous months, McCain has led by nine. His new 54% showing is also his highest ever since polling on the race in Texas began in the spring. Forty-four percent (44%) is also Obama�s best showing to date.

Now just one percent (1%) of Texas voters say they are undecided.

Seventy-two percent (72%) believe McCain will carry the Lone Star State on Election Day, but 20% think Obama will win the state�s 34 Electoral College votes. Jimmy Carter in 1976 was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win Texas.

McCain is supported by 91% of Texas Republicans and four percent (4%) of Democrats. Ninety-four percent (94%) of the state�s Democrats and nine percent (9%) of GOP voters back Obama. McCain leads by 14 points among unaffiliated voters.

The Republican leads among male voters by 19 points and among women by four. Hispanics favor Obama to McCain 54% to 42%.

John McCain54%
Barack Obama44%
Source


Research 2000 for DailyKos.com
Date: 10/14-15
Texas
Added: 10/18/08

Quote:

Senate Race

Cornyn (R) 50 (48)
Noriega (D) 44 (44)
Adams (L) 2 (n/a)

Those trendlines are deceiving. They are from May, but Noriega's campaign headed south soon afterward. Rasmussen has been one of the few pollsters surveying this race. On August 21, they had the race at 52-38. Then in late September, it had closed to 50-43. This poll confirms that the race remains close, within single digits. Cornyn is at 50 percent, so he's where he needs to be. It's up to Noriega to knock Cornyn off that perch.

Noriega has gotten a great deal of recent help from Hillary and Bill Clinton, both of which are raising money and campaigning for Rick. If Hillary could help spur the kind of turnout in southern Texas that she got in the primary, Noriega would have a serious chance. Hopefully she can come through.

And with a tightening race, the DSCC is stuck with a tough decision -- do they play? Texas is an expensive state, with something like 18 media markets, costing millions. Yet on the flip side, they have a real opportunity in a ridiculously good environment to take out Cornyn before he's too entrenched in that seat.

Of course, when it comes to dilemmas, that's the good kind to have, but it's one that must be resolved soon. We're down to two and half weeks before Election Day.

John McCain52%
Barack Obama40%
Source


American Research Group
Date: 10/5-8
Texas
Added: 10/9/08

John McCain57%
Barack Obama38%
Unsure4%
Other1%
Source


This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Texas polls.


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