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2008 State Polls
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Democrat Polls
Survey USA
Quote: Washington State: Obama, McCain Return To Pre-Convention Levels of Support: In an election for President of the United States in Washington State today, 09/23/08, six weeks from the vote, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain by 11 points, 54% to 43%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV in Seattle and KATU-TV in Portland Oregon. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released two weeks ago, Obama is up 5 points; McCain is down 2. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released six weeks ago, before the Democratic and Republican National Conventions, before the picks of Joe Biden and Sarah Palin as running mates, Obama is up 3 points; McCain is down 1. Today, Obama takes majorities of men and women, across all age groups, and among both whites and minorities. Among men , Obama takes 55% of the vote and wins by 13 points, his highest total since tracking began in April. Among women , Obama takes 52% of the vote and wins by 8 points, his second-lowest total since tracking began in April. 8% of Republicans vote for Obama; 8% of Democrats vote for McCain; Independents favor Obama by 7 points. Obama wins lower income voters by 24 points, higher income voters by 4. Obama wins college grads by 24 points; McCain leads by 2 among those who did not graduate college. Obama leads by 24 points in Metro Seattle, by 5 points in the remainder of Western Washington. McCain leads by 18 points in Eastern Washington.
American Research Group
Quote: Independents (31%): McCain 43%, Obama 48%.
Rasmussen Reports
Quote: McCain is now viewed favorably by 60% of Washington voters, up eight points from 52% in the previous survey. Obama is viewed favorably by 58%, which is essentially unchanged.
Survey USA
Quote: In WA State, McCain-Palin Slices Into Obama-Biden: Democrat Barack Obama's once double-digit lead in Washington state is no more, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV Seattle and KATU-TV Portland Oregon. In an election today, 09/08/08, eight weeks till votes are counted, it's Obama 49%, McCain 45%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 4 weeks ago (before both candidates had named their running mates), Obama is down 2 points; McCain is up 1. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 8 weeks ago, Obama is down 6; McCain is up 6. Obama led by 17 points in June, led by 16 points in July, led 8 points in August, leads 4 points today. Among voters with no college education, there is continuing movement to McCain. Obama led by 15 points in July, now trails by 8, a 23-point erosion. Among voters who earn less than $50K a year, there is continuing movement to McCain. Obama's once 26-point lead among the lower-income group is now 5 points, a 21-point erosion. Among voters older than McCain, Obama had led by 24 points in July, now trails by 1, a 25-point erosion. McCain always has run well among Conservatives, but his advantage among Conservatives has grown from 4:1 in May to 11:1 today. In Eastern Washington state, Obama led 5:4 in June, but McCain leads 2:1 today. Among women , McCain is up 9 points from June, Obama is down 11 points from June. McCain had been gaining ground among female voters before he picked Sarah Palin. That continues. Among men , Obama leads by 4 today, a 5-point shift toward Obama from last month, when McCain led by 1. This is one of the few bright spots in today's poll data for the Democrats.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Washington polls. [an error occurred while processing this directive] |
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