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2008 State Polls

State Obama McCain
Battleground States [source]
Florida 51 48
Nevada 55 43
Colorado 54 45
Minnesota 54 44
Missouri 49 50
North Dakota 45 53
Pennsylvania 55 44
Iowa 54 45
South Dakota 45 53
New Mexico 57 42
Georgia 47 52
Ohio 52 47
New Hampshire 54 45
Wisconsin 56 43
Virginia 53 47
Arkansas 39 59
North Carolina 50 49
Indiana 50 49
Blue States
California 61 37
Connecticut 61 38
Delaware 62 37
Hawaii 72 27
Illinois 62 37
Maine 58 40
Maryland 62 37
Massachusetts 62 36
Michigan 57 41
New Jersey 57 42
New York 63 36
Oregon 57 41
Rhode Island 63 35
Vermont 68 31
Washington 58 41
Wisconsin 56 43
Red States
Alabama 39 61
Arizona 45 54
Idaho 36 61
Kansas 42 57
Kentucky 41 58
Louisiana 40 59
Montana 47 50
Nebraska 42 57
Oklahoma 34 66
South Carolina 45 54
Tennessee 42 57
Texas 44 55
Utah 34 63
West Virginia 43 56
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Democrat Polls

Reuters Zogby
Date: 10/23-26
West Virginia
Added: 10/27/08

Quote:

McCain is winning a very healthy 28% of Democrats and is up 16 points with Independents. He also is ahead in every age group.
John McCain50%
Barack Obama40%
Unsure9%
Source


Orion Strategies (D)
Date: 10/20-21
West Virginia
Added: 10/24/08

Quote:

West Virginia Wesleyan�s survey is the only poll that has publicly released factors of race and religion in the Presidential race in West Virginia. This is the second statewide poll that Wesleyan has commissioned Orion Strategies to conduct this fall. According to the survey responses, 49.2 percent indicate they will vote for Republican John McCain, while 43.5 percent are supporting Democratic Senator Barack Obama. This is a five point improvement for Obama since the first survey was completed September 21-22, 2008. During the past month, the Democratic nominee has invested significantly in media advertisements.

While Obama has made impressive gains in West Virginia, nearly one in five of the survey participants continue to believe that Obama is a Muslim. Only 46.3 percent, almost the same percentage as the September survey, believe he is a Christian.

Race remains a key factor in voting preferences. Like the earlier survey, 15.2 percent of the respondents report that race is very or somewhat important in playing a part as to whom to support for President.

West Virginians seem more content than the rest of the country. When asked whether they believed that �things here in this part of West Virginia are headed in the right direction, or off on the wrong track,� 46.5 percent responded right direction, and 39 percent said wrong track. Nearly 15 percent were unsure.

Nearly sixty percent of West Virginia voters report tuning in to all three debates. One out of ten survey respondents did not watch any of the debates.

Automobile fuel prices and home heating bills are of greatest concern to West Virginia residents. Only one in ten were not concerned about fuel prices while only 12 percent were not worried about home heating prices. The other hot economic issue was retirement and pensions, where 81 percent indicated a significant amount of concern. A high percentage expressed anxiety about medical bills and health care, but nearly 40 percent expressed no concern about job security or home prices.

John McCain49%
Barack Obama44%
Source


CNN Time
Date: 10/19-21
West Virginia
Added: 10/23/08

Barack Obama53%
John McCain44%
Source


Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/20
West Virginia
Added: 10/22/08

Quote:

McCain is viewed favorably by 60% of West Virginia voters and unfavorably by 38%. Obama�s numbers are 47% favorable, 51% unfavorable.

On the top issue of the economy, most West Virginia voters (58%) disagree with the economic rescue plan passed by Congress recently, though 29% say the plan will most likely help the economy. Another 24% say the plan will hurt the situation, while 29% say it will have no impact.

To help spur economic growth, 58% of voters in West Virginia say taxes should be lowered, while 24% say they should stay the same and 9% say the government should raise them. While 52% think raising taxes on the wealthier individuals would benefit the economy, 45% say raising the capital gains tax would be bad for the current economic situation.

Candidates on both sides have been criticized for negative campaigning this season, but 48% of voters in West Virginia think this year�s election is no different than past elections. Thirty-eight percent (38%) think this year�s campaign season is more negative than past elections.

While 34% of voters think Obama�s campaign has been generally positive, 42% say McCain�s has been generally negative.

Half of voters (51%) in West Virginia say it is possible to win an election without criticism of the opponent, while 34% say this is not possible.

John McCain52%
Barack Obama43%
Source


Public Policy Polling
Date: 10/16-17
West Virginia
Added: 10/19/08

Quote:

A glimpse at what West Virginians view as their top issue gives an indication to the difficulty Obama might have in winning there. Right now in almost every battleground state more than 60% of the electorate lists the economy as its top issue, something that very much plays to the Democrats� advantage. But only 54% do in West Virginia, with moral and family values placing second at 15%, a much higher share than it is pulling anywhere else. McCain�s advantage with those values voters? 87-7.

�The Obama campaign has only just begun to make a real investment in West Virginia,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �So these numbers could definitely tighten up over the last couple weeks of the campaign, but for now it appears John McCain is likely to repeat the success George W. Bush had in the state in 2000 and 2004.�

For Obama�s numbers to improve he is going to have to significantly increase the share of the Democratic vote he is receiving in the state. Right now he leads McCain with voters in his own party just 62-29, at the same time that McCain is nailing down 85% of the Republican vote. McCain also has a strong advantage with independents, 53-36.

Another thing holding Obama back from greater success in West Virginia is that he is actually faring worse with older voters in the state than John Kerry did in 2004. Among those surveyed, 45% said they supported Kerry but only 41% say they support Obama.

John McCain50%
Barack Obama42%
Source


NBC Mason Dixon
Date: 10/16-17
West Virginia
Added: 10/19/08

Quote:

West Virginia -- a state Republicans have won in the last two presidential elections, but the Obama campaign is now targeting -- McCain is up six points, 47%-41%.
John McCain47%
Barack Obama41%
Source


Insider Advantage
Date: 10/13
West Virginia
Added: 10/15/08

John McCain49%
Barack Obama47%
Unsure3%
Other1%
Source


American Research Group
Date: 10/4-8
West Virginia
Added: 10/9/08

Barack Obama50%
John McCain42%
Unsure5%
Other3%
Source


This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 West Virginia polls.


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