2008 State Polls

Democrat Polls

University of Wisconsin
Date: 10/21-28
Wisconsin
Added: 11/1/08

Survey USA
Date: 10/28-29
Wisconsin
Added: 10/31/08

Quote:

Obama Accelerates Towards the Finish Line in Wisconsin: In an election for President of the United Stated in Wisconsin today, 10/30/08, five days until votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 55% to 39%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WGBA-TV Green Bay, KSTP-TV Minneapolis and WDIO-TV Duluth. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released two weeks ago, Obama is up 3 points; McCain is down 1. Among men, McCain has dropped to 40%, his lowest showing in 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls. If men drift back to McCain before election day, the contest in Wisconsin could be a couple points tighter than this data reflects. Obama has a significant running head start among those who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted. 800 adults interviewed 10/28/08 and 10/29/08. Of them, 741 are registered to vote; of the registered voters, 667 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote on or before November 4.

Research 2000 for WISC TV
Date: 10/27-28
Wisconsin
Added: 10/31/08

Quote:

Obama, the U.S. senator from Illinois, is stilling leading among women by more than 20 points, and has increased his support among men to 49 percent.

Six hundred likely voters were contacted by phone for the survey, which was conducted Oct. 27 to Oct. 28.

A WISC-TV poll released on Oct. 22 had Obama ahead by 11 percentage points as well, but with 3 percent of voters undecided.

Survey respondents continue to say that they'd trust Obama more than McCain to handle the nation's economy. Of those surveyed, 59 percent said Obama, 30 percent said John McCain and 11 percent weren't sure.

On handling an unexpected crisis, voters were nearly split, with 48 percent choosing Obama, 47 percent choosing McCain and 5 percent weren't sure.

Strategic Vision
Date: 10/24-26
Wisconsin
Added: 10/28/08

Quote:

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 52% Unfavorable 42% Undecided 6%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 46% Unfavorable 40% Undecided 14%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 47% Unfavorable 44% Undecided 9%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Undecided 12%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41% Undecided 6%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 47% Barack Obama 45% Undecided 8%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 14% Disapprove 77% Undecided 9%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy? Approve 11% Disapprove 81% Undecided 8%

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/23
Wisconsin
Added: 10/26/08

Quote:

Forty-eight percent (48%) of the state�s voters agree with Obama�s response to "Joe the Plumber." Forty percent (40%) disagree with Obama's comment that spreading the wealth around is good for everyone.

Overall, Obama is now viewed favorably by 57% of Wisconsin voters, McCain by 51%.

Obama leads by 13 points among women and by a single point among men.

Sixty-five percent (65%) say they expect Obama to win the state while 24% expect a McCain victory.

Since June, McCain�s support has remained very consistent, from a low of 39% to a high of 46%. This is the second straight poll with McCain precisely at 44%.

During that same time frame, Obama�s support in Wisconsin has ranged from 45% to 54%. The Democrat�s lead has been as low as two points and as high as 11.

Earlier in October, Obama enjoyed a 10-point lead.

No Republican presidential candidate has carried Wisconsin since 1984, but the last two elections were particularly close. In 2000, Al Gore won the state by only 5,000 votes, and four years later John Kerry carried Wisconsin by just 10,000 votes out of three million cast.

National Journal Financial Dynamics
Date: 10/16-20
Wisconsin
Added: 10/24/08

Quote:

If McCain cannot capture any of the states that the Democrats carried last time, he will have virtually no margin for error on Election Day. Surveys have consistently shown Obama leading in Iowa and New Mexico, states that narrowly backed President Bush in 2004. If Obama holds all 252 electoral votes that Kerry won and adds the 12 from those two states, he would then be in position to win the election by capturing any one of seven battleground states: Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia.

Big10 Battleground
Date: 10/19-22
Wisconsin
Added: 10/23/08

WPR St Norbert
Date: 10/9-17
Wisconsin
Added: 10/23/08

Research 2000
Date: 10/20-21
Wisconsin
Added: 10/23/08

Survey USA
Date: 10/18-19
Wisconsin
Added: 10/20/08

Quote:

In Wisconsin, With Early Voting Underway, Obama Remains Well Positioned to Pick-Up 10 Electoral Votes: In an election for President of the United States in Wisconsin today, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 51% to 43%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WGBA-TV Green Bay, KSTP-TV Minneapolis and WDIO-TV Duluth. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll 2 weeks ago, Obama is down a point, McCain is up a point. The findings are largely as they were in SurveyUSA's last report:

Obama leads among women, is tied among men. Obama leads in Madison, is tied in Milwaukee. McCain runs well among those who do consider the USA to be a Super Power, who do not consider themselves to be an intellectual, who do own a gun, who are pro-life. Independents and Moderates break heavily for Obama.

NBC Mason Dixon
Date: 10/16-17
Wisconsin
Added: 10/19/08

Quote:

Wisconsin -- a state the Democrats have won in the last two presidential elections -- Obama has a comfortable 12-point lead, 51%-39%.

Quinnipiac WSJ WP
Date: 10/8-12
Wisconsin
Added: 10/14/08

Quote:

In Wisconsin, 53 percent said Obama "better understands the economy" while just 32 percent chose McCain. The numbers were not much better in Michigan (52 percent Obama/35 percent McCain), Minnesota (49/34) or Colorado (51/39).

Research 2000 for WISC TV
Date: 10/5-6
Wisconsin
Added: 10/10/08

Quote:

Among men, McCain and Obama are even at 46 percent. McCain previously led by four points.

Among women in the state, Obama has extended his lead -- 56 percent to McCain's 36 percent. Five percent of women remain undecided.

University of Wisconsin-Madison political scientist Charles Franklin said the turning point is the economy and that's reflected in the latest poll numbers.

When survey participants were asked which presidential candidate they trust more to handle the economy, 57 percent said Obama and 31 percent said McCain, with 12 percent not sure.

The poll also determined the favorable opinions for both the presidential and vice-presidential candidates. Obama was 57 percent favorable and Joe Biden was 49 percent. McCain was favorable at 44 percent and Sarah Palin had a favorability rating of 42 percent.

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 10/6
Wisconsin
Added: 10/8/08

Quote:

Obama is viewed favorably by 58% of Wisconsin voters, McCain by 52%.

Forty-eight percent (48%) named the economy as the most important issue at a time when just 8% rate the nation�s economy as good or excellent. Sixty-one percent (61%) say it�s in poor condition. Only 5% of voters say that economic conditions are getting better while 82% say they are getting worse.

The recent economic turmoil has clearly helped Obama both in the state and nationwide. In Wisconsin, 52% say they trust Obama more than McCain on economic issues. Just 43% take the opposite view and trust McCain.

No Republican presidential candidate has carried Wisconsin since 1984, but the last two elections were particularly close. In 2000, Al Gore won the state by only 5,000 votes, and four years later John Kerry carried Wisconsin by just 10,000 votes out of three million cast.

Survey USA
Date: 10/5-6
Wisconsin
Added: 10/7/08

Quote:

Measure Obama for a Wisconsin Cheese-Head: In an election for President of the United States in Wisconsin today, 10/07/08, four weeks till votes are counted and one week until early voting begins, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 52% to 42%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WGBA-TV Green Bay, WDIO-TV Duluth, and KSTP-TV Minneapolis. McCain leads in greater Milwaukee and among Pro-Life voters. Obama leads, or ties McCain, in all other regions and demographic groups: young and old, male and female, Moderate and Independent, more educated and less educated, lower income and higher income, religious and not so religious.

CNN/TIME
Date: 10/3-6
Wisconsin
Added: 10/7/08

Quote:

In Wisconsin, which hasn�t voted Republican since 1984, Obama is holding a 51 to 46 percent lead among likely voters.

�Obama continues to maintain a �home field advantage� in the southern Wisconsin counties that border Illinois,� noted Holland. �He has nearly a 30-point lead in the city of Milwaukee, although he loses the Milwaukee suburbs by nearly as large a margin.�

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Wisconsin polls.

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